Quote Originally Posted by bense197969:
Actually, Shirley I'm very interested in this "discussion of mathematics" that you speak of. I'm a big "numbers guy" and I can virtually assure you that it will not be over my head. I'm leaving to go play poker and will be gone for 10-12 hours, but I would love to see you "quantify" this for us. If not today, maybe sometime in the next few days would be great. Any ratings sytsem that spits out the words "tremendously overrated" to describe Duke is either A) Completely made up, or B) Full of flaws, or C) Perhaps the greatest formula ever developed if it ends up being correct.
Either way, like I said, I agree with both of your plays and am interested in this "discussion into the realm of mathematics."
The words tremendously, can be a deception.
At this moment of time, this instantaneous moment, with tonights matchup, I believe based on recent games that Duke is overrated enough and F St is underrated enough to make this a best bet for me.
It's no guarantee that this wager will win, however my analysis of recent performances by both teams dictates this potential mismatch.
I use both medians and means for all of my analysis, and both must be satisfied to warrant a BEST BET for me. This prevents any 1 games results skewing the cumulative data.
I'll give you a hint :
I do not even look at the point differential of recently played games, until I am done with my analysis. This is all most people remember, but let me ask you this question:
Does anyone know how many deflections occurred in the game?
How about offensive fouls?
I doubt it. These are just 2 key ingredients of a bunch to coming up with the true score of a BB game, not the final score, which is usually off by 6- 12 points from the "true" result.
As far as sharing my methods, that is not going to happen, sorry. I have to protect my intellectual property.
I believe I have a creative mind, and love to solve puzzles. I think out of the box, and if ever I need reassurances, can run them by some mathematical gifted friends of mine, confirming my theories or not.
I have spent 7 years developing my "totals" method, and nobody gets these but myself. I will post a few in the future, if time allows, but the work involved every night is just unreal.
What I can tell you is that every year for the last 7 years I have had a streak of at least 15 winners in a row. Totals, not sides.
Perhaps if you can somehow give me your email address, I can discuss a little about the "theory" of my methods. However I will be travelling over the next few days, and it's unlikely this will get done soon.
Good luck at poker
Totally...................Shirley