I have studied and finished handicapping 90% of the Thursday Card, and I see a lot of playable games and selections.
A number of these will be BEST BETS tonight.
The Last 2 nights I am 8-1, with my 5 "BEST BETS" over the last few days winning quite easily.
Before Posting my selections I will double check every game that is a play, because I want to be 100% sure that every play qualifies as a selection.
I have a great 5 year track record, only wagering on totals that qualify as "Best Bets", which are 7 points from my predicted line.
I like to think that my methodology is quite unique, but I thank all covers posters who open my eyes to new and interesting angles which I might be able to quantify in future editions of my "method"
After posting I welcome all comments, because I can not possibly know every team, injury, revenge situation or other motivations that exist within the framework of every game.
Best of luck to all that follow my selections, and cross your fingers as there will be a lot of action tonight.
Totally...............Shirley
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I have studied and finished handicapping 90% of the Thursday Card, and I see a lot of playable games and selections.
A number of these will be BEST BETS tonight.
The Last 2 nights I am 8-1, with my 5 "BEST BETS" over the last few days winning quite easily.
Before Posting my selections I will double check every game that is a play, because I want to be 100% sure that every play qualifies as a selection.
I have a great 5 year track record, only wagering on totals that qualify as "Best Bets", which are 7 points from my predicted line.
I like to think that my methodology is quite unique, but I thank all covers posters who open my eyes to new and interesting angles which I might be able to quantify in future editions of my "method"
After posting I welcome all comments, because I can not possibly know every team, injury, revenge situation or other motivations that exist within the framework of every game.
Best of luck to all that follow my selections, and cross your fingers as there will be a lot of action tonight.
Nice run Shirley totals master! Still looking at things and will be back to see rest of your plays. At first glance like Duke under the best and I know you do not do sides but, think the jackets stay with in the 13 points.
Good luck
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Nice run Shirley totals master! Still looking at things and will be back to see rest of your plays. At first glance like Duke under the best and I know you do not do sides but, think the jackets stay with in the 13 points.
Here are all of my plays and my cutoff lines in parenthesis. Do not wager if any of the games dip beyond the cutoff point. It is highly unusual to have this many best bets on a Thursday night, but here they are.
(In Stereo now, so please adjust your computers). All of the games are "Best Bets" with the exception of game #9 Gonzaga. If I were to choose 1 game of the day, it would be a difficult task, but I would probably take 2 games: Tenn UNDER and Citadel UNDER. This is based on my perceived pace of the game combined with gut feelings and of course my quantitative analysis, which is the foundation of my total prediction "method".
1) Florida UNDER 129 (125)
2) Duke UNDER 143 (139)
3) Citadel UNDER 108 (103)
4) Jax St. UNDER 132.5 (131)
5) Austin Peay UNDER 146 (145)
6) Maryland UNDER 137.5 (137)
7) Tenn UNDER 131.5 (127)
8) Cal Riverside UNDER 133 (126)
9) Gonzaga OVER 145 (145)
Thank you for all of your support and comments.
As always, best of luck to all.
Totally............Shirley
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I am finished.....Finally
Here are all of my plays and my cutoff lines in parenthesis. Do not wager if any of the games dip beyond the cutoff point. It is highly unusual to have this many best bets on a Thursday night, but here they are.
(In Stereo now, so please adjust your computers). All of the games are "Best Bets" with the exception of game #9 Gonzaga. If I were to choose 1 game of the day, it would be a difficult task, but I would probably take 2 games: Tenn UNDER and Citadel UNDER. This is based on my perceived pace of the game combined with gut feelings and of course my quantitative analysis, which is the foundation of my total prediction "method".
Here are all of my plays and my cutoff lines in parenthesis. Do not wager if any of the games dip beyond the cutoff point. It is highly unusual to have this many best bets on a Thursday night, but here they are.
(In Stereo now, so please adjust your computers). All of the games are "Best Bets" with the exception of game #9 Gonzaga. If I were to choose 1 game of the day, it would be a difficult task, but I would probably take 2 games: Tenn UNDER and Citadel UNDER. This is based on my perceived pace of the game combined with gut feelings and of course my quantitative analysis, which is the foundation of my total prediction "method".
1) Florida UNDER 129 (125)
2) Duke UNDER 143 (139)
3) Citadel UNDER 108 (103)
4) Jax St. UNDER 132.5 (131)
5) Austin Peay UNDER 146 (145)
6) Maryland UNDER 137.5 (137)
7) Tenn UNDER 131.5 (127)
8) Cal Riverside UNDER 133 (126)
9) Gonzaga OVER 145 (145)
Thank you for all of your support and comments.
As always, best of luck to all.
Totally............Shirley
Looks like a post from that Dakota? guy
Good Luck Shirley--like a few of those myself!
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Quote Originally Posted by shirley-jester:
I am finished.....Finally
Here are all of my plays and my cutoff lines in parenthesis. Do not wager if any of the games dip beyond the cutoff point. It is highly unusual to have this many best bets on a Thursday night, but here they are.
(In Stereo now, so please adjust your computers). All of the games are "Best Bets" with the exception of game #9 Gonzaga. If I were to choose 1 game of the day, it would be a difficult task, but I would probably take 2 games: Tenn UNDER and Citadel UNDER. This is based on my perceived pace of the game combined with gut feelings and of course my quantitative analysis, which is the foundation of my total prediction "method".
so is the duke and bama game not your two best bets?...also read on another thread that the bama game is the one your betting large on...have you changed your mind?...thx
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so is the duke and bama game not your two best bets?...also read on another thread that the bama game is the one your betting large on...have you changed your mind?...thx
Liking several of those totals, just not sure on the Terp total yet, as Coach Gary loves to foul early if the Terps are down by a few after the under 4 minute media timeout....I see the Zags are your only over, but I like that one too. GL Tonight
Covers Referee
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Liking several of those totals, just not sure on the Terp total yet, as Coach Gary loves to foul early if the Terps are down by a few after the under 4 minute media timeout....I see the Zags are your only over, but I like that one too. GL Tonight
so is the duke and bama game not your two best bets?...also read on another thread that the bama game is the one your betting large on...have you changed your mind?...thx
ALL of my unders are BEST BETS for me, providing they don't go beyond the cutoff points in parenthesis.
As stated earlier, If I had to choose 2 games it would be Citadel and Tenn both under. The Alabama/ Florida game I commented on is indeed a selection and best bet by my qualifications. I didn't change my mind at all. I am wagering a lot of money on these games. Without giving away the amounts of my wagers, what I will say is that my minimum wager on any "UNDER" play is $500, so I am wagering on ALL of my selections (as I do every night) with conviction. I believe I have an edge, and am willing to exploit it.
My 'UNDER" plays over the last 5 years have outperformed my "over" plays by about 7%. This is why anytime I have an Under totals play, it is most likely going to be a BEST BET. I hope this helps to answer your question and wasn't way too much information.
Thank you for your comments and support.
Best of luck
Totally.............Shirley
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Quote Originally Posted by jain75:
so is the duke and bama game not your two best bets?...also read on another thread that the bama game is the one your betting large on...have you changed your mind?...thx
ALL of my unders are BEST BETS for me, providing they don't go beyond the cutoff points in parenthesis.
As stated earlier, If I had to choose 2 games it would be Citadel and Tenn both under. The Alabama/ Florida game I commented on is indeed a selection and best bet by my qualifications. I didn't change my mind at all. I am wagering a lot of money on these games. Without giving away the amounts of my wagers, what I will say is that my minimum wager on any "UNDER" play is $500, so I am wagering on ALL of my selections (as I do every night) with conviction. I believe I have an edge, and am willing to exploit it.
My 'UNDER" plays over the last 5 years have outperformed my "over" plays by about 7%. This is why anytime I have an Under totals play, it is most likely going to be a BEST BET. I hope this helps to answer your question and wasn't way too much information.
Liking several of those totals, just not sure on the Terp total yet, as Coach Gary loves to foul early if the Terps are down by a few after the under 4 minute media timeout....I see the Zags are your only over, but I like that one too. GL Tonight
This is a valid point, and I did some research on this event. This year I only saw 1 game where Md. went into a foul-a-thon, and that was against William and Mary. They were absolutely getting plastered at home, when with 4 minutes left they went SUPER desperate. They scored and fouled like crazy and both teams scored 31 total points in the last 4 minutes. This strategy will not likely work against a great defensive team like Fl State, because Maryland if behind, will not be able to get easy shots off against a squad that plays in your face defense. All of the shots will be contested. However as you mention, it is always a concern. I don't have a crystal ball, but I am hoping for a low scoring bump and grind type game that Fl State plays with regularity.
Great comment and thanks for your continued support.
Best of luck
Totally.............Shirley
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Quote Originally Posted by webba:
Liking several of those totals, just not sure on the Terp total yet, as Coach Gary loves to foul early if the Terps are down by a few after the under 4 minute media timeout....I see the Zags are your only over, but I like that one too. GL Tonight
This is a valid point, and I did some research on this event. This year I only saw 1 game where Md. went into a foul-a-thon, and that was against William and Mary. They were absolutely getting plastered at home, when with 4 minutes left they went SUPER desperate. They scored and fouled like crazy and both teams scored 31 total points in the last 4 minutes. This strategy will not likely work against a great defensive team like Fl State, because Maryland if behind, will not be able to get easy shots off against a squad that plays in your face defense. All of the shots will be contested. However as you mention, it is always a concern. I don't have a crystal ball, but I am hoping for a low scoring bump and grind type game that Fl State plays with regularity.
Great comment and thanks for your continued support.
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