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Saturday Plays 3/28

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Posted: #1
I won't be around most of the day so here are the plays I'm locked into last night:

4units each:
Nova +2 FG
Under 142 Nova FG
UConn -5.5
Over 150 FG

My added plays from this morning:
2 units each on nba plays
Indy +8.5
Knicks +7
Under 107.5 Indy 1H
Under 66.5 Nova 1H (3 units)

I know Ax is on the under for the NYK game and the Portland game.  Unfortunately I saw these late and both lines have moved against me by 1 pt and 2pts, respectively.  I'm going to wait to see if the lines improve at all. 

GLTA.
 
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Posted: #2
Ahh shit joe nova really I see atight game but 2pts is a in if it was 5 or more i would have took nova cause pitt cant cover shit but 2 Is a win. what are youre thoughts.
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by REDFOX73:

Ahh shit joe nova really I see atight game but 2pts is a in if it was 5 or more i would have took nova cause pitt cant cover shit but 2 Is a win. what are youre thoughts.


I think it is going to be a really tight game as well.  My deciding factor was that Nova found a way to contain Blair in both games.  To me, it seemed like each team won b/c of home court advantage.  If you go back and see the amount of fouls called on the visiting team and how many FTs each home team received, then you'll see what I'm talking about.

It'll be interesting to see what happens on a neutral court.  I gave the nod to Nova b/c I love the way they are playing right now.  Crushed UCLA.  Handled the pressure from Duke really well.  Pitt on the other hand hasn't had a game where they looked great.  I give them credit for being able to pull out the wins and they might be able to do it against Nova, but I'll take the team that's looked sharper.
 
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Posted: #4
Gonna dble up on uconn and the over cause i can see the pitt game going either way , thx joe.
gl
 
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Posted: #5
 
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Posted: #6
Hey Joe- Thanks for the insight on Kansas/Mich st last night. I flip flopped my first half bet and went over. I knew it could go either way, but after ur info decided over and hit by 1pt which won me a 3 teamer with UNC and that Over. Was a total ball squeezer like I said. Still stayed under for the game tho. Like ur pics for today. That Nova/Pitt under looks ballsy tho. I dont know why but I see it being a high scoring game similar to OK st/Pitt
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Logan-NYC:

Hey Joe- Thanks for the insight on Kansas/Mich st last night. I flip flopped my first half bet and went over. I knew it could go either way, but after ur info decided over and hit by 1pt which won me a 3 teamer with UNC and that Over. Was a total ball squeezer like I said. Still stayed under for the game tho. Like ur pics for today. That Nova/Pitt under looks ballsy tho. I dont know why but I see it being a high scoring game similar to OK st/Pitt


Way to hit your 3 teamer.  I knew I had to lock in the under in the Nova/Pitt as early as possible, figured the line would move down.  The only line I see moving against me is my Nova +2.

Nova scares me on the under, Pitt does not.  They have been struggling shooting the ball lately.  I'm hoping for a slow start out of the gate. 

GL on your plays.
 
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Posted: #8
its already starting to move, I just got it at 66. I agree, Pitt can score quickly but only if pushed to. Its Nova in transition that scares me. Redding & Cunningham bring great athleticism and finish and reynolds has been hitting those 3's lately as well as their SG whos name isnt coming to me. I was right about last night tho, both teams didnt get into double figures till about the 13:00 mark.
 
Either way  
 
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Posted: #9
thx and GL
 
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Posted: #10
Good to see we both like the UNDER in the Nova/Pitt game and both got in on it last night at 142 as it's now down to 140.5...I had posted it in last nights thread, I see a game very similar to the Kansas/Michigan St game last night.
 
Hit both of my teasers in the "Sweet 16"...
 
UConn -1.5/Pitt -2, (+100) 5 Units 
Villanova +10.5/Louisville -1/UNC -0.5 (-120) 4 Units 
 
I've locked in another 2 teasers so far for the "Elite 8"...
 
Villanova +7.5/UConn -0.5 (+100) 5 Units
UConn -0.5/Louisville -1.5 (+100) 5 Units
 
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Posted: #11

GL FAN...

 
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Posted: #12
I'm probably noticing this a little too late, but, has anybody else noticed how the UNDERS have been absolute money in the "Beaver Ball" tourney? 
 
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Posted: #13
Joe (if you're still around) - I see you like the Mizzou/UConn game OVER 150...I haven't been making any 1st Half or 2nd Half plays over the past couple days, but, I was thinking about the 1st Half OVER 71 in this one. Any thoughts on this one?
 
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Posted: #14
 L8 I LIKE IT BUT THINK EVERYONE WILL BE ON IT CAUSE ALL THE PTS MIZZOU SCORED ON MEMPHIS .AND DONT SEE THEM DOING IT AGAIN
 
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Posted: #15
Adrnaline pumping the will score in the 80 agin I have 2units on the over and 4 units on uconn.
gl
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by cubboy:

 L8 I LIKE IT BUT THINK EVERYONE WILL BE ON IT CAUSE ALL THE PTS MIZZOU SCORED ON MEMPHIS .AND DONT SEE THEM DOING IT AGAIN

Well, the contrarian angle is certainly one way of looking at it, but, who's to say they don't do it again? I think UConn would rather run with them than try to slow things down and the game should be played at a phrenetic pace...

 
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Posted: #17
If I win , I will take typing lessons.
 
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Posted: #18
 GOOD LUCK IM STILL UNDECIDED..ON BOTH GAMES
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by REDFOX73:

If I win , I will take typing lessons.

                    

 
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Posted: #20
I just heard this interview on CBS...AJ Price saying how him and his UConn teammates will not just attack the press to break it, but, they will attack the press to score and look for easy opportunities. I'm locking in that 1st Half OVER 71...
 
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Posted: #21
I hate reading back my posts and I sound like an  illiterate deuche.
 
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Posted: #22
Also, looking a little further into this... Mizzou 1st Halfs have hit 81 (vs. Marquette) and 85 (vs. Memphis) in their last 2 tourney games. Also, fellow Big XII foe Texas A&M sped things up with UConn and they hit 84 in the 1st Half of their 2nd round game, UConn going to the break with a 51-33 lead in that matchup.
 
Missouri/UConn 1st OVER 71
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by REDFOX73:

I hate reading back my posts and I sound like an  illiterate deuche.

LOL! A little early for you to be drunk over there in Cali, isn't it Red? 

 
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Posted: #24
Worse  the wife turned into a wino last night and I was sober forced to baby sit the carnage of 4 bottles later.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by REDFOX73:

Worse  the wife turned into a wino last night and I was sober forced to baby sit the carnage of 4 bottles later.

You're right! That IS worse!!!            

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