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Author: [Tennis] Topic: tennis_friday
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#1
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:11:59 AM
running late tonight.  number forthcoming...

for now, I'm on...

Lamine Ouahab +125 .33 units
Daniel Brands -165 1 unit
Antonio Veic -185 1.33 units
Jan Hajek -150 2 units
Feliciano Lopez +155 .33 units (I'll probably reexamine this wager)
Flavio Cipolla -115 .33 units
L.Ouahab/S.Gutierrez-Ferrol Games Over 21½ -120 1 unit
Mona Barthel -150 (I'm not sure of this one either) 1.33 units
Potito Starace +110 1 unit
P.Starace Games/P.Andujar Over 21½ -114 .66 units
A.Dolgopolov/M.Jaziri +105 .33 units

so, some small plays on some faves.  not real confident in these picks, so most of them are pretty small.  Not sure of the Barthel pick.  There's something about the spread I don't like, since Kerber's been playing lights out also and has high surface ratings here.  Probably an over game for sure, but I'm beginning to like Kerber instead.
 
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#2
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:13:11 AM
A.Kerber Games Won* +3 -110 3 units (I'm reversing my pick on Barthel.
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#3
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:16:14 AM
M.Barthel Games /A.Kerber Games Over 21 -105  .66 units
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#4
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:17:51 AM
A.Dolgopolov/M.Jaziri +260 line moved in my direction so I'm laying another .33 units
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#5
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:20:07 AM
Kerber    Cant pass up that kinda value 
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#6
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:24:23 AM
parlay

  1. 4/13/2012 11:00 AM WTA Tennis 307 Dominika Cibulkova* -490  vs Yuliya Beygelzimer
  2. 4/13/2012 10:15 AM WTA Tennis 401 Caroline Wozniacki* -1600  vs Alize Cornet
  3. 4/13/2012 11:45 AM WTA Tennis 408 Petra Martic* -140  vs Bojana Jovanovski 

.66 units pays 1.2:1



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#7
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:26:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KBrick84:

Kerber    Cant pass up that kinda value 


I totally agree.  I'm a little surprised by the amount of action on Barthel, driving her up to -170


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#8
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:27:19 AM
Jelena Jankovic +115 1 unit
Sarra Errani -120 1 unit
Sorana Cirstea -175 1 unit
Simona Halep -175 2 units

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#9
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:28:45 AM
I'm bummed I missed wagering on Marti and Schoorel.  Just couldn't break away from work in time.  Looks like they're both gonna win in dose.
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#10
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:07:03 AM
Kerber is kicking behind!  Oh yea baby!
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#11
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:07:40 AM
fast first set win by Kerber.
over not looking so good if Barthel doesn't win a set.
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#12
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:31:03 AM
Kerber looked like dog garbage in the 2nd...when she got down 3-0 she was in energy conserving mode.
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#13
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:33:54 AM
I.Begu/L.Dominguez Lino +177 .66 units
K.Date Krumm/R.Fujiwara -210 1 unit

WOW, what a crazy match!  Both players wipe each other up for one set each!



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#14
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:34:02 AM

I think we're on the better player in Kerber.  Barthel is just taking advantage of her 6'1" frame and getting some cheap points when her 1st serve finds the box.

If Kerber breaks first, you'll see her energy level and effort spike.

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#15
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:34:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KBrick84:

Kerber looked like dog garbage in the 2nd...when she got down 3-0 she was in energy conserving mode.


sounds like she's banking on this set.
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#16
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:35:10 AM
where you guys watching this match?

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#17
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:35:50 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Anent:

I.Begu/L.Dominguez Lino +177 .66 units
K.Date Krumm/R.Fujiwara -210 1 unit

WOW, what a crazy match!  Both players wipe each other up for one set each!



Crazy match, but not indicitive of the tennis Kerber is playing.  Once she got down double break in the 2nd...she had ZERO effort.

Just like that, she breaks to open the 3rd.  Big service point coming.

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#18
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:37:02 AM

I'm on firstrow watching.  On a side note...Barthel is one ugly broad.

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#19
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:38:49 AM
Kerber is the more mobile player.  Barthel has the power.  Both vulnerable if the 1st serve aint droppin.
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#20
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:44:10 AM
cool thanks.

is there anyone in the crowd?  I can't believe how dead the scene is!!??
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#21
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:45:02 AM
There's maybe 5-10 people there from the sounds of it.  Nobody is attending this tournament.
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#22
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:49:07 AM
Kerber people it up and gives back the early break.  Back on serve.  Not where we want to be with the shittier of the 2 servers.
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#23
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:51:16 AM
We are in trouble now...this is usually when Kerber gets dusted.
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#24
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:58:27 AM

Kerber gets broken again on a DF.  This wager is done.  Up 2-0, now down 4-2...

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#25
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:00:08 AM
looks like Barthel might take the match!

that's not what I want, but the over will hit and the hedge is small.

interesting match.

thanks for the link KBrick84
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