Posted:
#1
much different from last year... cant bet like that dont have the time.. trying to keep it simple as I am not in the country for the next week and it is hard to wager.. I dont wanna touch Wta till at least the third round, just to unpredicatable.... Plus I lost 31units last week and dont really want to just throw money away, confidence is low, but a few wins will cure that...
Futures:
10u
Joker to win +152
2u
Tsonga +1880
Vika +640
- Anyone who doesnt think joker is dominant is probably just hating... been hitting this play consistently since last november... the only thing that can stop Joker is injury and he is 100%
- Tsonga is my pick to make it out of his Quarter and beat murray... after that I will look at the future again...
- Vika is my darkhorse and the only play I saw with value.. no way I can take Serena or Kvitova at their prices... She should breeze into the Semis...
Parlay pending:
2u
-Bryan Bros (Sydney Final); Nihikori; Gasquet; Bogo; Tsonga; Peng; Bepa; Zheng; Bartoli +217
1st Round:
4u
Dmitrov -175
Dmitrov -3 -124
Berdych -10.5 -114
2u
Huta-Galung +110
Jarkko/Nalby over 39.5 -101
Anderson 3-0 +166
.5u
Kohls 3-0 +242
Almagro 3-0 +171
- think the books made a mistake here of Dmitrov... Definately in great form, i would love to see a fourth round match with Berdych... BReakout year is imminent for Dmitrov who is a top 10 player... To lose in the first round would be a shocker...
- Berdych is the most on form player... Dont see any reason he comes into this rusty... I see at least one dominant 6-0, 6-1 type set... Proably the first
- Stab at a guy who is a career underachiever.. hasnt had to many opportunities to make a splash, I think this match favors him, even if only slightly...
- Jarkko rolling last week and faces a geriatric in Nalby... you cant play Nalby's game anymore and win clean... guys will get to that up the line shot.. Two vets who will be slugging it out... Unless one of them totally doesnt show up I cant imagine this thing not going at least 4... Liked the value in this more than taking Jarkko as a dog...
- Neilsen is just not a guy I am high on.. got some good match experience in the Hopman cup but its almost a bad thing because he played the best he could and couldnt win... Even against Fish who was playing terrible... Anderson is an elite player... I can see maybe a few set being tight but as many matches end 3-0 I just dont see him fighting hard enough for llong enough to pull off a set.
- Last two are stabs.. lots of matches you would expect to be tight end 3-0.. these are two players that tend to up the game when the stakes are higher... I dont like Monanco off clay, and Almagro would have been a mush heavier fave if this match was played 1 yr ago...
GL ALL
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