Oregon/Arizona Line Movement

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Author: [College Football] Topic: Oregon/Arizona Line Movement
Degenerate PM Degenerate
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Posted: 11/15/2007 8:50:22 AM
Looks like it is at -11 at thegreek, down from -12.5 at the opening.  Isn't that surprising considering wagerline shows exactly TWICE as much money coming in on Oregon?  Seems like a standard reverse line movement begging for more money on Oregon, right?


SportFanatic71 PM SportFanatic71
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Posted: 11/15/2007 8:51:23 AM
vegas wants you to take zona..ducks blow em out
Degenerate PM Degenerate
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Posted: 11/15/2007 8:56:16 AM
If vegas wanted you to take Arizona expecting the Ducks to blow them out then they would move it to Arizona +13.5 or +14.... thereby enticing more money on Arizona, right?
BustinPiles PM BustinPiles
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Posted: 11/15/2007 8:58:01 AM
Or it could be the old sharp/square double reverse line movement
 
Buckeyebomb PM Buckeyebomb
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:05:15 AM
Very good point Deg and definitely an issue for Oregon backers
 
I will watch this line very closely today... As of 9 am here it looks like its Ari or no play (which is ludacris IMO)
 
 
Matador PM Matador
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:07:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BustinPiles:

Or it could be the old sharp/square double reverse line movement
 



Degenerate PM Degenerate
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:15:39 AM
oh noooes not the double reverse!
THEMUGG PM THEMUGG
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:23:58 AM
Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........
Buckeyebomb PM Buckeyebomb
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:29:05 AM
11/15/2007
21:00 ET
Oregon
Arizona U
-12.5
XX
-12.0 
67.0 
-450
+350
-11
67
-12.5
 
87%
13%
97%
3%
36%
64%
Team Stats

 

Nearly 90% on oregon -12  on sportsbook

Line is Oregon -12 (-105)

           Arizona +12 (-115)

Scary...

Degenerate PM Degenerate
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:29:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by THEMUGG:

Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........


I just think it's something to make note of especially considering Arizonas tendency to play spoiler...
dnguyen59 PM dnguyen59
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:30:31 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by THEMUGG]
Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........
[/Quote

U got that rite sir . GO DUCKS
BustinPiles PM BustinPiles
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:31:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by THEMUGG:

Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........
 
I agree Mugg... I think much can be said for the Oklahoma Sooners who's line is also showing reverse movement.

 

Rasputen PM Rasputen
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:38:12 AM
ASU is tough at home.
ASU/un
KOAJ PM KOAJ
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:39:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BustinPiles:

 
I agree Mugg... I think much can be said for the Oklahoma Sooners who's line is also showing reverse movement.

 



more times than not road chalk will show such movement

the real issue is whether you would like to take road chalk on a thursday night...those seem to work out real well


banans PM banans
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:41:12 AM
WTF??? This is making me very nervous. I feel like I want to hammer Oregon at -11 but this line movement is holding me back. I know Dixon might not be 100% due to a bum ankle, but still. How do you not take Oregon at -11 or is that what Vegas wants?
takepoints PM takepoints
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:44:57 AM
Dixon is hurt?
 
I knew that ONE course he is taking this semester was a dangerous one.
 
Which course was it again?  Billiards I or Billiards II?
yankees2k6 PM yankees2k6
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:46:24 AM
Arizona will be close in 1st half but Ducks will end up winning by 17-24 range or more!!!v
SteelHop PM SteelHop
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:53:42 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by KOAJ:



more times than not road chalk will show such movement

the real issue is whether you would like to take road chalk on a thursday night...those seem to work out real well


Yup, the thursday night home dawg is usually the play.  Otherwise I think Oregon takes them to the woodshed.

KOAJ PM KOAJ
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Posted: 11/15/2007 9:56:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by banans:

WTF??? This is making me very nervous. I feel like I want to hammer Oregon at -11 but this line movement is holding me back. I know Dixon might not be 100% due to a bum ankle, but still. How do you not take Oregon at -11 or is that what Vegas wants?


why dont you try and make a case for taking Arizona +11 or 12 or whatever it is...if you cant, probably a bad sign

handicap it from the other way around...look at thursday night home dogs in the last year or two...pretty good ats record

look at conference road chalk, nationwide and pac 10

then concentrate on matchups
inFAMOUS-STYLE PM inFAMOUS-STYLE
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Posted: 11/15/2007 10:19:54 AM
or could be the ol double reverse triple stack line movement with a little misdirection on the back side
slimjim511 PM slimjim511
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Posted: 11/15/2007 10:23:21 AM
Oregon has no pass D....the cats will kill them through the air....Oregon wins by 7-10
Matador PM Matador
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Posted: 11/15/2007 10:30:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KOAJ:



why dont you try and make a case for taking Arizona +11 or 12 or whatever it is...if you cant, probably a bad sign

handicap it from the other way around...look at thursday night home dogs in the last year or two...pretty good ats record

look at conference road chalk, nationwide and pac 10

then concentrate on matchups


Watch your language! Using the "H" word around here gets people upset......


HotRoute PM HotRoute
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Posted: 11/15/2007 10:33:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by inFAMOUS-STYLE:

or could be the ol double reverse triple stack line movement with a little misdirection on the back side

Oh no...not the triple stack

KOAJ PM KOAJ
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Posted: 11/15/2007 10:34:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Matador:



Watch your language! Using the "H" word around here gets people upset......




understood sir. i wont try and infuse logic into any argument anymore

people should stick with their locks and conspiracies


Degenerate PM Degenerate
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Posted: 11/15/2007 10:41:31 AM
Okay I swear it went from -12.5 all the way down to -11 this morning and now it is back up to 11.5!!!  All my line movement thoughts just got rearranged. 

My head may explode before I make a pick...
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