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Author: [College Football] Topic: Oregon/Arizona Line Movement
Degenerate
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#1
Posted: 11/15/2007 8:50:22 AM
Looks like it is at -11 at thegreek, down from -12.5 at the opening.  Isn't that surprising considering wagerline shows exactly TWICE as much money coming in on Oregon?  Seems like a standard reverse line movement begging for more money on Oregon, right?


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#2
Posted: 11/15/2007 8:51:23 AM
vegas wants you to take zona..ducks blow em out
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#3
Posted: 11/15/2007 8:56:16 AM
If vegas wanted you to take Arizona expecting the Ducks to blow them out then they would move it to Arizona +13.5 or +14.... thereby enticing more money on Arizona, right?
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#4
Posted: 11/15/2007 8:58:01 AM
Or it could be the old sharp/square double reverse line movement
 
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#5
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:05:15 AM
Very good point Deg and definitely an issue for Oregon backers
 
I will watch this line very closely today... As of 9 am here it looks like its Ari or no play (which is ludacris IMO)
 
 
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#6
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:07:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BustinPiles:

Or it could be the old sharp/square double reverse line movement
 



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#7
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:15:39 AM
oh noooes not the double reverse!
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#8
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:23:58 AM
Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........
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#9
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:29:05 AM
11/15/2007
21:00 ET
Oregon
Arizona U
-12.5
XX
-12.0 
67.0 
-450
+350
-11
67
-12.5
 
87%
13%
97%
3%
36%
64%
Team Stats

 

Nearly 90% on oregon -12  on sportsbook

Line is Oregon -12 (-105)

           Arizona +12 (-115)

Scary...

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#10
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:29:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by THEMUGG:

Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........


I just think it's something to make note of especially considering Arizonas tendency to play spoiler...
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#11
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:30:31 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by THEMUGG]
Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........
[/Quote

U got that rite sir . GO DUCKS
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#12
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:31:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by THEMUGG:

Screw the line movement...............with 2-3 teams breathing down their neck, Oregon has every reason to pour it on tonight........
 
I agree Mugg... I think much can be said for the Oklahoma Sooners who's line is also showing reverse movement.

 

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#13
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:38:12 AM
ASU is tough at home.
ASU/un
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#14
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:39:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BustinPiles:

 
I agree Mugg... I think much can be said for the Oklahoma Sooners who's line is also showing reverse movement.

 



more times than not road chalk will show such movement

the real issue is whether you would like to take road chalk on a thursday night...those seem to work out real well


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#15
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:41:12 AM
WTF??? This is making me very nervous. I feel like I want to hammer Oregon at -11 but this line movement is holding me back. I know Dixon might not be 100% due to a bum ankle, but still. How do you not take Oregon at -11 or is that what Vegas wants?
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#16
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:44:57 AM
Dixon is hurt?
 
I knew that ONE course he is taking this semester was a dangerous one.
 
Which course was it again?  Billiards I or Billiards II?
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#17
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:46:24 AM
Arizona will be close in 1st half but Ducks will end up winning by 17-24 range or more!!!v
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#18
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:53:42 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by KOAJ:



more times than not road chalk will show such movement

the real issue is whether you would like to take road chalk on a thursday night...those seem to work out real well


Yup, the thursday night home dawg is usually the play.  Otherwise I think Oregon takes them to the woodshed.

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#19
Posted: 11/15/2007 9:56:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by banans:

WTF??? This is making me very nervous. I feel like I want to hammer Oregon at -11 but this line movement is holding me back. I know Dixon might not be 100% due to a bum ankle, but still. How do you not take Oregon at -11 or is that what Vegas wants?


why dont you try and make a case for taking Arizona +11 or 12 or whatever it is...if you cant, probably a bad sign

handicap it from the other way around...look at thursday night home dogs in the last year or two...pretty good ats record

look at conference road chalk, nationwide and pac 10

then concentrate on matchups
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#20
Posted: 11/15/2007 10:19:54 AM
or could be the ol double reverse triple stack line movement with a little misdirection on the back side
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#21
Posted: 11/15/2007 10:23:21 AM
Oregon has no pass D....the cats will kill them through the air....Oregon wins by 7-10
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#22
Posted: 11/15/2007 10:30:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KOAJ:



why dont you try and make a case for taking Arizona +11 or 12 or whatever it is...if you cant, probably a bad sign

handicap it from the other way around...look at thursday night home dogs in the last year or two...pretty good ats record

look at conference road chalk, nationwide and pac 10

then concentrate on matchups


Watch your language! Using the "H" word around here gets people upset......


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#23
Posted: 11/15/2007 10:33:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by inFAMOUS-STYLE:

or could be the ol double reverse triple stack line movement with a little misdirection on the back side

Oh no...not the triple stack

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#24
Posted: 11/15/2007 10:34:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Matador:



Watch your language! Using the "H" word around here gets people upset......




understood sir. i wont try and infuse logic into any argument anymore

people should stick with their locks and conspiracies


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#25
Posted: 11/15/2007 10:41:31 AM
Okay I swear it went from -12.5 all the way down to -11 this morning and now it is back up to 11.5!!!  All my line movement thoughts just got rearranged. 

My head may explode before I make a pick...
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