Posted:
#1
Last week I didn't make any "Big" plays but went undefeated (3-0-1) on my smaller plays. This week I like a couple games but will only have one big play.
San Jose St -11.5 at UTSA
I expected this line to be about 17 but understand that San Jose St's big loss at Utah St last week will have some bettors scared a bit. I am not one of them. Utah St is a good team and that loss helped our line tremendously. UTSA is 5-1 but has to have one of the weakest schedules I have ever seen. Their wins are @ South Alabama, vs Texas A&M-Commerce, @ Georgia St, vs Northwestern Oklahoma St, @ New Mexico St. Last week they got blown out 34-14 at Rice. I think that game was a pretty good preview of the rest of their season. Their stats are extremely inflated because of their soft schedule. San Jose St was overrated last week after opening 5-0 ats. I correctly bet against them last week but now think they are underrated as the books have overreacted to that loss. I expect them to get up by 21 or so and cruise to a victory.
Smaller plays. Fade or follow.
Washington +7.5 at Arizona.
Love having the hook here. Expect a close game that could go either way but within a TD.
Rutgers -4 at Temple.
This game screams trap game. A 6-0 Rutgers team ranked 15th vs a mediocre 3-2 Temple team only laying 4? Call me a sucker but I think Rutgers defense is too good to lose this game.
Kansas St +2.5 at West Virginia
K St/WVU under 72.5
WVU team total under 38
Couldn't decide which of these I liked most so taking all 3 small. K St has a good defense and think they will give Geno Smith trouble. Maybe even bait him into throwing his first pick of the year.
BOL
San Jose St -11.5 at UTSA
I expected this line to be about 17 but understand that San Jose St's big loss at Utah St last week will have some bettors scared a bit. I am not one of them. Utah St is a good team and that loss helped our line tremendously. UTSA is 5-1 but has to have one of the weakest schedules I have ever seen. Their wins are @ South Alabama, vs Texas A&M-Commerce, @ Georgia St, vs Northwestern Oklahoma St, @ New Mexico St. Last week they got blown out 34-14 at Rice. I think that game was a pretty good preview of the rest of their season. Their stats are extremely inflated because of their soft schedule. San Jose St was overrated last week after opening 5-0 ats. I correctly bet against them last week but now think they are underrated as the books have overreacted to that loss. I expect them to get up by 21 or so and cruise to a victory.
Smaller plays. Fade or follow.
Washington +7.5 at Arizona.
Love having the hook here. Expect a close game that could go either way but within a TD.
Rutgers -4 at Temple.
This game screams trap game. A 6-0 Rutgers team ranked 15th vs a mediocre 3-2 Temple team only laying 4? Call me a sucker but I think Rutgers defense is too good to lose this game.
Kansas St +2.5 at West Virginia
K St/WVU under 72.5
WVU team total under 38
Couldn't decide which of these I liked most so taking all 3 small. K St has a good defense and think they will give Geno Smith trouble. Maybe even bait him into throwing his first pick of the year.
BOL
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