No writeups...
My only Money Management is Limited Plays with high Confidence...
Fade or Follow season long picks.
Let's do this.
Didn’t have much time yesterday to kick this off properly, so here is a quick introduction.
First off, I don’t deserve your respect as I’m new here so I don’t really expect any. I will say that I have been doing this for a long time with success. I have a background in statistical analysis and computer programming. I also study the game of football extensively and restrict all wagers to football. I have built two computer modeling systems over the last several years and over the last couple years have combined the two into one that has proven to be very profitable. I do not make automatic plays from my modeling system, but I do use it to weed out the games with no value allowing me to focus more on a smaller number of games and make a more informed decision. What I found out early on was that the perfectionist in me wanted to predict every game so I lost out on fully analyzing the ones with true value. So when I say “limited plays”, I really mean it. I expect approximately 50-60 plays over the course of the NCAA season, but each will have real value. I won’t give you a unit play or provide a money management scheme in my plays; because I believe that each player has to figure that out for themselves. Each of my picks will be with confidence and I tend to wager the same on all.
I do this as an investment, so I plan to make a profit. I hope that you all continue to tune in and we have very profitable year. Best of luck to us all.
As always, Let Do This.
Didn’t have much time yesterday to kick this off properly, so here is a quick introduction.
First off, I don’t deserve your respect as I’m new here so I don’t really expect any. I will say that I have been doing this for a long time with success. I have a background in statistical analysis and computer programming. I also study the game of football extensively and restrict all wagers to football. I have built two computer modeling systems over the last several years and over the last couple years have combined the two into one that has proven to be very profitable. I do not make automatic plays from my modeling system, but I do use it to weed out the games with no value allowing me to focus more on a smaller number of games and make a more informed decision. What I found out early on was that the perfectionist in me wanted to predict every game so I lost out on fully analyzing the ones with true value. So when I say “limited plays”, I really mean it. I expect approximately 50-60 plays over the course of the NCAA season, but each will have real value. I won’t give you a unit play or provide a money management scheme in my plays; because I believe that each player has to figure that out for themselves. Each of my picks will be with confidence and I tend to wager the same on all.
I do this as an investment, so I plan to make a profit. I hope that you all continue to tune in and we have very profitable year. Best of luck to us all.
As always, Let Do This.
9/1/2012 Plays:
Western Michigan +10 LOSS
Colorado -6.5 LOSS
Terrible Weekend especially with my Auburn Tigers taking beating, but nothing we can't survive. I stretched a little on these plays wanting some action on the first week. Lesson learned.
9/1/2012 Plays:
Western Michigan +10 LOSS
Colorado -6.5 LOSS
Terrible Weekend especially with my Auburn Tigers taking beating, but nothing we can't survive. I stretched a little on these plays wanting some action on the first week. Lesson learned.
This game doesn't meet my criteria, but I'm tempted to play it anyway. I'll work on my discipline here and pass on tonight. If you just gotta have it, take the points with Pitt. Shop around and get all you can get out of it.
This game doesn't meet my criteria, but I'm tempted to play it anyway. I'll work on my discipline here and pass on tonight. If you just gotta have it, take the points with Pitt. Shop around and get all you can get out of it.
As I have stated, I do not post unit plays. Therefore, all of my plays are "1 Unit".
The reason I say this is that I would like to give you followeres an ROI.
As I have stated, I do not post unit plays. Therefore, all of my plays are "1 Unit".
The reason I say this is that I would like to give you followeres an ROI.
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