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Author: [College Football] Topic: Akron vs UCF ......I'm not calling for an upset, but......
TRAIN69
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#1
Posted: 8/14/2012 10:37:16 PM

Come on people. Line opened at 16ish and is now at 24ish .....That kinda movement takes some money.....Its way to early to be a "steam play", so I gotta wonder if people are just being sheep......

Yes Akron is a perennial cellar dwellar and only covered 2 games last year (3 if you count VA Military).....

However, this is :

A) opening game

B) at night

C) on a thursday

D) UCF has Urban Meyer and the Buckeyes on deck

E) Akron has a new coaching staff including head coach Terry Bowden, special teams coach Jeff Bowden and DC Chuck Amato . Not saying they are the best ever, but are a huge upgrade and bring a ton of experience which means they gain instant respect and credibility from the players.

UCF only scored more than 31 points 1 time last year, and that was against Memphis (41) (not counting the 62-0 win vs Charleston Southern).....They will have most of offense back, but will be switching up at qb.....

Again, I'm not calling from a SU Akron win. But, a td swing always makes me take a peek...Total has also dropped from 49 to 47....Should be an ugly game....If I can get 24.5 I may make this a play.

 

Just food for thought. 

 

 

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#2
Posted: 8/14/2012 10:51:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Come on people. Line opened at 16ish and is now at 24ish .....That kinda movement takes some money.....Its way to early to be a "steam play", so I gotta wonder if people are just being sheep......

Yes Akron is a perennial cellar dwellar and only covered 2 games last year (3 if you count VA Military).....

However, this is :

A) opening game

B) at night

C) on a thursday

D) UCF has Urban Meyer and the Buckeyes on deck

E) Akron has a new coaching staff including head coach Terry Bowden, special teams coach Jeff Bowden and DC Chuck Amato . Not saying they are the best ever, but are a huge upgrade and bring a ton of experience which means they gain instant respect and credibility from the players.

UCF only scored more than 31 points 1 time last year, and that was against Memphis (41) (not counting the 62-0 win vs Charleston Southern).....They will have most of offense back, but will be switching up at qb.....

Again, I'm not calling from a SU Akron win. But, a td swing always makes me take a peek...Total has also dropped from 49 to 47....Should be an ugly game....If I can get 24.5 I may make this a play.

 

Just food for thought. 

 

 



Train, I agree with you.I'm partial to the Bowden "boys",as I cashed
a few tickets betting on Clemson vs Florida State when Terry was
the HC.Akron now has a first class coaching staff, and Tommy
set ly starting QB down and named Dalton Williams (JUCO XFER). Starting QB.Moore (Sr.) subsequently transferred.He is starting  to change the culture there.They could even be competative  in the MAC.
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#3
Posted: 8/14/2012 10:57:44 PM
akron might only score 6 points...ly they averaged 8 PPG in D-1A games.

the line looks spot on.

i have UCF -21, i dont actually think anyone could have bet the line at -16, or at least i didnt think so.

i think the line is pretty spot on.
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#4
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:00:01 PM
i am personally of the opinion that anybody who wagers money on teams like Akron deserves the consequences that come with it... and they're not good...

so good luck with that...
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#5
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:04:07 PM
agree apocalypse....

Train: dont trust akron...much better plays than a crappy, severly outclassed team with an unproven QB and horrid 3rd down %...

akron will struggle greatly
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#6
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:08:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:

i am personally of the opinion that anybody who wagers money on teams like Akron deserves the consequences that come with it... and they're not good...

so good luck with that...


AL, I am not wagering on Akron,but I will leave the option open
to wager on them in the future.All I'm saying is that I believe
they will be an improved team.They were the worst last year,so
they can only improve.
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#7
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:28:08 PM
The more I look at this game, and I'm trying to find a reason to like Akron. The more I like UCF. 

But I saw in my thread on this game some recommend Akron TT under and that looks to be an excellent call to me. Akron offense was putrid and not getting better.
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#8
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:31:25 PM
not arguing with that, Wiseguy... they will not be any worse than last year... but that's no reason to bet on them, especially in week 1...

so many games on the board, there is no reason to put money on Akron... if you don't like UCF, then stay away... but find better things to do with your money than bet on Akron...
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#9
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:35:34 PM
Would never bet on worst team in cfb but another angle could be ucf is no longer bowl elgible so might come out flat in truely pointless game, whereas akron Will be throwing everything at them and ucf wake up after halftime and win, just a thought
Posted using a mobile device.
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#10
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:36:28 PM
Darn it train, was chuckling when opening, but like always you do make some good points, might have to "zip" off a small play on Akron myself, GL this season Sir
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#11
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:37:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:

not arguing with that, Wiseguy... they will not be any worse than last year... but that's no reason to bet on them, especially in week 1...

so many games on the board, there is no reason to put money on Akron... if you don't like UCF, then stay away... but find better things to do with your money than bet on Akron...


I totally agree.I would not bet this game under any circumstances.
But I will check the box score to see if there is any improvement.

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#12
Posted: 8/14/2012 11:53:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:

not arguing with that, Wiseguy... they will not be any worse than last year... but that's no reason to bet on them, especially in week 1...

so many games on the board, there is no reason to put money on Akron... if you don't like UCF, then stay away... but find better things to do with your money than bet on Akron...


AL,I've got all my week 1 bets down,starting work on week 2.
I agree.There too many better plays out there to go with.
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#13
Posted: 8/15/2012 1:08:12 AM
UCF is going to beat the living garbage out of Akron...the only reason this spread is not 30 is due to UCF's struggles to cover on the road last year...however, in 2010, they were 4-1 ATS on the road...
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#14
Posted: 8/15/2012 1:19:24 AM
Just reading this thread makes me like Akron even more......
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#15
Posted: 8/15/2012 9:45:55 AM

just reading this thread makes me realize a journey of a thousand games begins with one step......   and will require  alot of    

i imagine you got a better opener up your sleeve than that.....   but...that UCF total figure is the most compelling argument

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#16
Posted: 8/15/2012 9:48:57 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Just reading this thread makes me like Akron even more......


their-gonna-killem Train....!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Akron has no shot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!..............
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#17
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:14:01 AM
Some Crazy stuff can go on ATS when MAC teams play at home vs OOC Foes... seen in first hand here in Buffalo

Thinking the Backdoor is left WIDE Open in this one ..
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#18
Posted: 8/15/2012 8:49:45 PM
rovin,bookiea, dup
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#19
Posted: 8/15/2012 9:03:42 PM

Akron will be one of the worst teams in CFB this year again, fact.

UCF may win by 40pts, even with the Buckeyes on deck, fact.

As highly touted UCF is this pre-season, am I confident in laying these points? No.

I hope Akron turns it around, but good god, they're terrible.

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#20
Posted: 8/15/2012 9:55:04 PM
You're the biggest sheep square on this board turned sudden wannabe sharp fading a big public bet and dismissing an 8 pt move as square money cannot make it up
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TRAIN69
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#21
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:10:10 PM

sheep square?

sharp?

fading?

big public bet?

square money?

Did you just read Gambling for Dummies?

this board? you been here less than a month

Good luck at school tomorrow.

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#22
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:11:16 PM
I always wonder what former tout veteran that is, dont you Train?
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#23
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:32:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

sheep square?

sharp?

fading?

big public bet?

square money?

Did you just read Gambling for Dummies?

this board? you been here less than a month

Good luck at school tomorrow.

wow, that opener at 16 was never available in my world as everything I saw I could wager on was 23 or so with opener "listed"  at 16
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#24
Posted: 8/15/2012 10:45:15 PM
opened at 21,

i snagged it the 1st day...

never saw 16 anyplace


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#25
Posted: 8/15/2012 11:00:25 PM

16 was just the number I pulled from vegas insider. Not sure exactly where they got that number.

nc1/jd

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