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Author: [College Football] Topic: Max bet - 9/15 Michigan State -2.5
rated91
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rated91
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#1
Posted: 7/22/2012 11:57:07 AM
Notre Dame at Michigan State - has action if played before 9/18
Sat 9/15 187 Notre Dame  +2½ -110      
8:00PM 188 Michigan State  -2½ -110 



This looks like a great value to me. The Spartans overachieved a little bit last season and didn't run the ball particularly well, but underachieved big time at ND in losing 13-31. This is a revenge play, and this year the Spartans bring in a defense almost as good as a top SEC defense, have the #1 rated O-Line in the country and the #2 rated D-Line in the country - thats where the games are won. This years squad gets back to the title game with a 10 win season. As for ND- the visitor in this matchup has dropped 4 straight. This is a nasty rivalry, and I think ND is being overvalued by only getting 2.5, as their going to be struggling in their first real test of the season after wins over Navy and Purdue.
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SatNightFever05 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#2
Posted: 7/22/2012 12:02:21 PM
It's also a night game.

Will really depend on how Maxwell works- but you are getting solid line value here
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rated91
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#3
Posted: 7/22/2012 12:07:48 PM
Ohio State at Michigan State - has action if played before 10/02
Sat 9/29 209 Ohio State  +2½ -110      
12:00PM 210 Michigan State  -2½ -110       
Do the oddsmakers really think this years Irish are just as good as this years Buckeyes? I think Ohio State is fairly priced here on the road, but the Notre Dame # is off the mark.
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nc1capper send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#4
Posted: 7/22/2012 12:18:22 PM
looks solid at this time
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rated91
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#5
Posted: 7/22/2012 11:13:07 PM
I'm also betting MSU to cover against Boise on opening weekend. Phil Steele dropped a forecast on his facebook page, here it is:

Boise St at Michigan St Aug. 31. First meeting. BSU will open the season vs a ranked BCS tm for a 4th str yr. Boise is 8-1 S/'06 vs BCS schools (only loss at Wash in '07). They are also 21-1 the L/4 yrs in true road gms. However, Boise is one of the least exp'd tms in the country with just 7 st'rs back replacing 6 NFL DC's and QB Kellen Moore. MSU has 13 ret st'rs but just 21% of their off yds returning while Boise has 36%. MSU will field one of the best D's in the country, with a top notch RB corps and OL going against a Boise front 7 that returns 0 st'rs. My computer calls for MSU to have a 195-50 rush yd edge, a 227-196 pass edge (422-246 overall) and projects a 30-18 Spartan victory. With Boise's young team making their first road trip I'll go with MSU 30-20 for my forecast!
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