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[College Football] Topic: These Schools Will be a ATM , ATS this Season--Agree? add some |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#1 Posted: 7/11/2012 9:39:27 AM  
The College Football season will be here before we know it ..
Looking to get a nice List together of schools that will be a ATM,  ATS this season ... Either Betting on , or Fading ..
If you care to agree /disagree or add some , please do ....
BOL Brothers , May WE ALL LIVE in Fantastic  Health |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#2 Posted: 7/11/2012 9:47:19 AM
16 Starters return ..Including 4 of 5 on the O-line ...WR Nick Harwell is back after catching 97 Balls last season . Zac Dysert could be the next MAC QB in the NFL ( 3513 23 TD 11 Ints)
HC Don Treadwell's 2nd yr.
11-6 ATS vs the MAC the last 2 years
Should catch some good ATS Value early if they get pounded at Ohio St, and at Boise St in weeks 1, and 3...
Possible betting spots
Week 1 at Ohio St with 29+ Week 3 at Boise St with 29+ week 5 at Akron laying 6 or less week 6 at Cincinnati catching 21+ week 9 vs Ohio if catching 4+ Week 10 at Buffalo if laying 6 or less Week 12 at CMU if catching points
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#3 Posted: 7/11/2012 9:58:01 AM
Love the system Gundy has in place . Defense returns 12 of 14 in the back 7. Offense is loaded with solid RB's . FR Wes Lunt should not have a problem throwing bubble screens and 5-15 yard crossing patterns .
6 Straight winning season ATS vs the BIG12 30-16-3
26-13-1 ATS as a Home Fav the last 10 Years
19-5 ATS as a Road Fav the last 10 years including 11-1 the last 3 years
14-6-1 ATS of a Su/Win the last 2 years
Possible Betting spots ( )= 5Dimes GOY lines
Game 2 at Arizona (-9.5) will Rich Rod have things working this soon ???
Game 4 vs Texas (-1.5) game seems like a coin flip , like the short line at home
Game 5 at Kansas coming in off a bye week and should name score vs horrible Kansas.
Game 7 vs TCU (-8.5) would like it under a TD
Game 9 vs WVA (-5) if they come in off a loss at KST. there is a chance of catching points at home
Game 11 at Oklahoma (+9.5) Would like it with DD.
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#4 Posted: 7/11/2012 10:13:59 AM
61 Lettermen return . The Ducks on paper have their best defense in along time . SO. QB Bryan Bennett should be a upgrade of D Thomas . De'Anthony Thomas and Kenjon Barner can take it to the house at anytime .
ATS Winners in 8 of the last 9 seasons 67-44-2
9 Straight winning season ATS vs the PAC12 47-30-2
47-30-2 ATS the last 9 years off a S/Up win
Possible betting spots
Game 2 vs Fresno St if laying 30 or less , Bulldogs going through rebuilding process with new staff.
Game 4 vs Arizona first conference game
Game 5 at Washington St have won 5 Straight by Avg of 35 PPG
Game 7 AT ASU Might be laying 13 or less for this thursday nite matchup
Game 9 at USC (+6) would like a TD or more for a nice hedge on my USC Futures
Game 11 Stanford (-13.5) tempted to bet this now , could see this line being at least 17-20 when this kickoffs .
Game 12 at Oregon St (-16.5) this could get ugly again . |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#5 Posted: 7/11/2012 10:29:34 AM
UNLV
Love fading these Losers . Defense losses 3 of it's top 4 tacklers . Offense ??? what Offense ?? anyways just fade away and make Money ....BUT BE CAREFUL THEY ARE 18-9-1 ATS AS A HOME DOG THE LAST 8 YEARS
ATS losers 9 of the last 10 years vs the MWC 28-47-1
11-24-1 ATS the last 3 years
16-43-1 ATS on the road the last 10 years
7-19 ATS vs the MWC the last 3 years
28-51-1 ATS off a S/Up loss the last 10 years (including 6-20 the last 3 years)
6-17 as a home Fav the last 10 Years
Possible fading spots
Game 1 vs Minnesota Like the Gophers if laying less than DD's
Game 2 NO Arizona don't laugh UNLV did lose to Souther Utah last season 16-41
Game 3 vs Washington St Leach could run this way up
Game 4 vs Air Force 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs falcons
any of these road games at Utah St at La tech long trip at Boise st at Sd St at Colorado St at Hawai'i |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#6 Posted: 7/11/2012 10:51:37 AM
Tulane
Saints WR Coach takes over as HC ... the OC comes over from crappy Memphis .
ATS losers 7 Straight years 29-51-1
7 Straight losing years vs CUSA 16-39-1
7-18-1 As a Home Dog the last 7 years
2-10 ATS last 5 years as Home Fav
Possible Betting spots
why not just Fade Away ??? |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#7 Posted: 7/11/2012 10:58:37 AM |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#8 Posted: 7/11/2012 11:01:50 AM |
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THEMUGG |
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#9 Posted: 7/11/2012 11:08:46 AM |
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shark_apreza |
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#10 Posted: 7/11/2012 11:43:14 AM
ONE OF THE WORST SCHOOLS ON THE FCS
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#11 Posted: 7/11/2012 11:49:45 AM
West Virginia
Ok don't get all pissed off .. Playing in the BIG12 is a HUGE step up for the Neers . Don't let the blowout win over Clemson get to your head . Remember this is also the team that gave up 49 to Syracuse and 38 to Louisville . Sure West Virginia likely goes 8-4 S/Up , BUT WE ARE TALKING ATS HERE.
Possible Fade spots
at Texas (+6.5) hopefully WVA comes in 4-0 with some easy covers
at Texas Tech Again depending what happens the week before at the Horns this line could be inflated .
Kansas St. (-7) Game could down to the wire
TCU (-6) another coin Flip ??
at Oklahoma St (+5) Welcome to Stillwater
Oklahoma (+4) Sooners are a little shakey on road
at Iowa St Classic letdown spot
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PROPHET4 |
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#12 Posted: 7/11/2012 12:02:36 PM  |
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gridironguy |
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#13 Posted: 7/11/2012 12:39:36 PM OK STATE will disappoint ATS this year, write that down, remember it, and come back to thread at the end of this yr so we can talk about it again |
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TreyInventor |
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#14 Posted: 7/11/2012 1:26:25 PM |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#15 Posted: 7/11/2012 2:02:55 PM
Big fan of HC Tom O'Brien. O -Line is #2 overall in career starts 112. Rushing duo of Washington and Creecy should put up Wolfpack's best numbers in years. 6-6 SR Mike Glennon is back after throwing for 3054 with 31 TD's and 12 Ints ... Not sure about the first game playing Tennessee in Atlanta , but after that I will be looking to Bet on them in the right spots
25-14-1 ATS vs ACC the last 5 years
15-4-1 ATS the last 4 years after a S/Up loss
13-8 ATS as a Road dog last 5 years
9-3-1 ATS at home the last 2 years
17-12 ATS after a S/Up win the last 5 years
Possible Betting spots
Game 2 at UCONN hoping they get blown out weeks 1 vs Vols so they might be catching points in this spot
Game 5 at Miami would love to be catching a TD+ vs a team they have beat back to back .
Game 8 at UNC Wolfpack have won 5 straight
Game 9 Virginia NC St won outright 28-14 as a 5 point dog last season
Game 12 vs BC O'Brien vs old squad, better Bowl might be on the Line .
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2020dr |
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#16 Posted: 7/11/2012 2:03:09 PM |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#17 Posted: 7/11/2012 2:03:32 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:
clarification on UNLV...fade them on the road...at home,some how they have done well ATS in losing efforts...i am strongly considering Washington St. at UNLV in week 3...I think the Pirate with a good game from Tuel will be the difference ATS...
also like Washington St. in this spot
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#18 Posted: 7/11/2012 2:07:47 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by gridironguy: OK STATE will disappoint ATS this year, write that down, remember it, and come back to thread at the end of this yr so we can talk about it again
They Might , only time will tell  brother
fade away right now if you feel that way ... The GOY lines show oddsmakers giving them plenty of respect ( favorite over Texas and at Kansas St.)
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Rizaqboi23 |
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#19 Posted: 7/11/2012 4:07:37 PM |
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dugie243 |
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#20 Posted: 7/11/2012 5:19:03 PM
i know i thought the same on a lot of this last year, but here are a few i like (SEC special edition):
Betting:
Tennessee (offense should keep them close in many games)
Missouri (most SEC bettors will fade automatically and drive the number up)
Vandy (again, most usually fade, but this is a well coached team. watch out)
Fading:
UGA (way over rated this year. easy schedule, but should be some nice fade spots on big games)
Auburn (new assistants and gene is an idiot. this team does not know where it is going)
GL to all
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dugie243 |
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#21 Posted: 7/11/2012 5:28:49 PM
Maimi (love the number of returners)
Oregon (they should be able to pick how many points they put up week in a out)
Fading W Virginia (possible over reaction in early weeks to their bowl performance?)
GL to all
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BWS77 |
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#22 Posted: 7/11/2012 5:39:43 PM
Also will follow Arkansas closely to see how the WR's work with Wilson. Knile Davis should be great and they should score a ton of points in all their games other than Bama (Week 3) and LSU (Final week)
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bookieassassin |
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#23 Posted: 7/11/2012 11:21:07 PM
* but what is the PUBLIC PERCEPTION....of these teams.....> how is this right...or wrong....is team A really as good as when we saw them last?.....is team B really that bad?.....
My early list.....this is NOT a beauty contest remember
Bowling Green
Ohio St Urban 71-44 ATS......31-6 in non-conf games!
UCF
Troy
Utah...Texas.....CMich...Mia,O...Fresno...Ball St...Army.....USF......Duke?
*schedule allows roll?.....Georgia.....Miss St...Iowa...Utah...(Trojans better watch out.....Thurs nite at Utah 10/4....in Cal/@ Wash sandwich.....@ Tree before Cal too )....they can run + tough D = dangerous dog
I don't really look to fade anybody.....but these boys could be OVERvalued.....
Baylor....SMiss.....Michigan.....A&M?
UTEP.....New Mexico....HAWAII.....Kentucky.....should simply get killed
SPOT Plays....
CAL......as home fav.....17-3 ATS run.......and 26-19 with revenge.......Bears lost to 4 of their 2012 home opponents LY
(Nevada...UCLA...Ducks...Tree)
NC St....9-0 with rest...15-4-1 off loss.....21-10-1 in ACC
21-8 as ACC dog....with 15 upsets........and 26-0 ATS (vs FBS).....when they win SU > forget spread...just pick winner
ULA......13-0 road dog
MICH ST.....8-1-1 RF......14-6-1 B10 road
OKIE ST......28-10-1 as fav....19-6 B12 fav
VA TECH......22-3 as RF < 8 pts
NEVADA.....8-0 as non-conf HF.....24-8-1 as HF
UNLV.....on road.....0-14 SU .....1-13 ATS
SMU.....6-15 fav
numbers from Steele...ML.....Stat Fox.....Gold Sheet..++
*discrepancies occur because game lines are often different....different sources/cut-off times ....
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diptom |
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#24 Posted: 7/12/2012 12:00:22 AM |
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BarrelledIn |
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#25 Posted: 7/12/2012 12:10:34 AM
Nugget had these lines in June
-1 vs Mizzou
+5 vs Florida
+17 vs Bama
Mizzou line is one of the worst lines I have seen in my life. The other 2 are crazy value that many points at home
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