a little discussion of this weeks games...
FSU @ BC... under 45.5, FSU allowing something like 16 pts per game, maybe BC puts up 7 but I think they'll end up losing something like 30-3. I'm not gonna lay the 14.5 as of now but i would if i had a gun to my head.
'VILLE +13 @ UWV... i've been quietly riding this team for the last 3 weeks i believe they've covered 3 straight, underrated defense, and i'll ride em again
A&M +14 @ OU... yeah OU is pissed off after choking it up at home to a shit team like Tech and they scare me because they're always dangerous but give me the value with the 14 & A&M here ... lets be real all OU did was beat the fuck out of an overrated K.State team.
RUTGERS +3... im not buying USF favored on the road, looking for a gritty performance from rutgers @ home, USF has lost something since beating Notre Dame in week 1 and im not sure they'll find it again this season, fading BJ Daniels here and riding a gutsy Rutgers performance. Rutgers wins by field goal 20 - 17.
CINCY @ PITT +3.5... yeah cincy's hot, but honestly who have they played? they lack a marquee victory, something that stands out on their resume. Their big wins are USF, Louisville and NC State. Enough said. Oh yeah they got dismantled by Tennessee. Now I know Pitt has struggled at 4-4 losing to some sub par opponents but to me this is a gamblers spot and there's value on PITT @ home. Yes they lost their starting running back Ray Graham but I learned a long time ago that betting against teams because star players are injured especially in NCAA is not a wise decision, theres usually fresh young talent waiting to fill the void left behind. Not to mention first place in the Big East is on the line and a win here puts Pittsburgh in the drivers seat for a BCS Bowl berth.
MIZZOU @ BAYLOR -2.5... u know Mizzou is a fiesty team, I like 'em and they're certainly underrated but they're coming off a big OT road win against A&M, A&M very well may have been looking ahead to their matchup w/ OU this week. Baylor comes in off two road beat downs after being a beloved team by so many to start the season. Now here they are playing a solid mizzou team coming off a big win against A&M that just so happened to have stomped the piss out of Baylor a couple weeks ago. Give me Baylor, not even getting 3 points for home field. I'll take Baylor 48-45. Of course I'm scared shitless of Baylors defense.
S.C. @ ARK -4.5... real simple for me, I like Arkansas alot and I strongly dislike this S.C. team. ARK less than a TD at home, I'll bite.
LSU +4.5 @ BAMA... this is a tough game to call, the hype surrounding these teams and this matchup is larger then life. I love Les Myles but I fear Nick Saban and I greatly respect them both as coaches. LSU is a team I have supported throughout the years and in the right spots they've done me very well, on the other hand so has Bama. They both were easy covers in their BCS championship games. They're teams that don't miss a beat year in and year out. I think the spread is right on the number, 4.5 is a beautiful number. To me the evidence points to Bama winning this game, they've got home field advantage, the star Heisman candidate running back, etc... LSU seems to be a team that just gets it done, doesn't matter who is suspended, QB, RB, DB's they just get it done and with overwhelming dominant performances. I like LSU's versatility and believe LSU is a notch ahead of Bama and thats why I side with LSU in this game.
The thing that I find most interesting about this game is that the number didn't land on Bama -3. Clearly Vegas beleives Bama is a better team, and home field will play a mojor role, if this game is in Death Valley is the spread reversed? I don't think so, prob looking at a -3 for LSU.
Enjoy the games.
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