No need for a big introduction here. Just let me say that I follow FCS football, specifically the Big Sky Conference, closer than any capper on here. It's my goal to expose Vegas for not knowing sh*t about FCS. Here's your proof:
Idaho St is on the road at Georgia. The line is -43 1/2. I know ISU sucks, but Georgia isn't that impressive. The timing of this game is strange too, as this would normally be a week one or week two game. For that reason, I have to think the Bulldogs will be of less focus, and likely looking ahead to their big game versus Auburn the following the week. Because at this point of the season, that's all Georgia has to play for. Well, that and a bid to the Gator bowl or something like that. And speaking of nothing to play for. This is all ISU has, and they've been playing hard recently. I'm inclined to say stay away here, but i know you degenerates will eat this up, so I say rock Idaho St +43 1/2 Prediction: Georgia 44 Idaho St 10
Montana St home versus Weber State. Alright, MSU favored at home by 5. Montana St is in the drivers seat for the Big Sky outright title. If they win out (no easy task) they win the title outright and will host a playoff game. And Weber St is coming off a huge emotional win over da griz. This is what makes Montana St, Montana St though. They suck in these situations. Conventional wisdom would say the Cats would roll here, but these are the cats, and they constantly piss down their legs in these situations. Weber St is the conference wrecking ball this year, and despite their sluggish start, actually find themselves with an outside shot at the playoffs themselves. The Bobcats defensive woes continue, and Weber will jump out to a big early lead. Both of these teams have above average offensives and pretty porous defensives. The O/U is 61, so I say pound the Over. And why you're at it, take the easy money and hit Weber St +5. Ah screw it - hit the ML! Prediction: Weber St 40 Montana St 36
Battle of the Northerns. Northern Colorado is a 9 point home dog versus Northern Arizona. And like every home game this season, Northern Colorado will cover. That's it. They've been an ATS monster this year, and it will continue versus a rocky Lumberjack squad searching for an identity. The vicious Big Sky conference has eaten up and spit out Northern Arizona, and after their disappointing loss last week, they have no time left to figure out what's wrong and correct it. A trip to blustery cold Northern Colorado is the last thing they need right now. They just don't have the personal to make a statement. This game will be ugly, but it will make you money. Northern Colorado +9. Prediction N. Arz 16 N. Co 10
Pick of the weekend
Talk about a reactionary line - holy shit. Or more accurately, Vegas doesn't know shit about the Sky.
Sacramento St -15 at home versus Portland St
Here are two truths. Sac St blew out N. Arizona last week (a huge upset I predicted) and Portland St was blown out by an Eastern team playing their best game of the season.
But neither of those games tell the whole stories of Sac St and Portland St seasons. These teams are very evenly matched, so much so, that if this game was played last weekend I could see this being a straight pick em game. So where does the 15 come from? Good f*cking question. OK, Sac St is playing pretty decent ball and they're at home. So that's worth 3-4 points. And Portland St is the opposite playing a little sluggish, and they're on the road. So that's 3-4 points. There are no major injuries, no time zone or travel or weather related issues, NOTHING. I guess the morale of my story is that this game at the very most extreme should be like a 6 or 8 point spread. F*cking 15!? Are you kidding me.
Jump all over Portland State +15 and thank me later. For those of you with mortgages, bust out those slips and put them on this game too. Prediction: Sacramento St 27 Portland St 26
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