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Bballday10 Week 12 Picks and Leans (21-7 L2 Weeks)

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Posted: #1
So, I had my biggest week of the season in Week 11, going 10-3 and picking up 56+ units and I am now .500 on the year in terms of record.. at first glance, these lines look pretty sharp- so not sure how many games I'll have, but for the time being..
YTD:  68-68-2, +71.25 units 

Week 12 Picks Locked In- Analysis to Come

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Minnesota +10 at Iowa

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Cal +7 at Stanford

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
Kentucky +8.5 at UGA

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
Mich St +3 vs. Penn St

Teasers
3 team, 10 point
Risk 13 units to Win 10
OSU -2.5, SMU +14, Air Force +20

BOL 
 
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Posted: #2
I like Penn State alot.

I also was leaning Stanford.

Don't like going against someone so hot like you.

Good Luck.
 
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Posted: #3
 
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Posted: #4

Please share your analysis

 
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Posted: #5
Get Money

DovJak

Barkley- analysis will be up in next day or two

 
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Posted: #6
Adding- a lot of short numbers for totals, I'm surprised..

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
CU at Okie St, Over 47.5, Thursday

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Wisconsin at Northwestern, Over 51

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Purdue at Indiana, Over 58

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
LSU at Ole Miss, Over 42

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
SMU at Marshall, Over 48


Card to Date, 11.18
Minn +10, 8 units
Cal +7, 8 units
Wisc at Northwestern, Over 51, 8 units
Purdue at IU, Over 58, 8 units
LSU at Ole Miss, Over 42, 8 units
Col/Okie St, Over 47.5, 6 units
Kentucky +8.5, 6 units
MSU +3, 6 units
SMU at Marshall, Over 48, 6 units

Teasers
3 team, 10 point
Risk 13 units to Win 10
OSU -2.5, SMU +14, Air Force +20

 
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Posted: #7
 
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Posted: #8
Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Minnesota +10 at Iowa
Iowa has to be pissed- two straight losses, no Rose Bowl- now has to get up for a noon game against a Gopher team they blanked 55-0 last year.  Minn has won two of its last three and should be able to keep this close.
Iowa- 24  Minnesota- 21

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Cal +7 at Stanford
A lot of respected cappers here are on Stanford- I don't see it.  Coming off b2b emotional wins, might be tough for Cardinal to get up. Cal pretty good against the run, Riley been pretty good all year. Think Stanford wins, but Cal keeps it close.
Stanford- 34  Cal- 31

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
Kentucky +8.5 at UGA
Obviously got bad line- as its 9.5 and 10 now, but this seems like a lot. UK has won 4 of 5- Both offenses are pretty similiar, UGA's D is actually worse than Kentucky.  I'll give Bulldogs 4 pts for home field- and this line still seems off.
UGA- 27  Kentucky- 21

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
Mich St +3 vs. Penn St
MSU doesn't have signature win in Dantonio's career. Penn St is awful- only two tough games, got smoked in both. MSU played better at home, think they finally take out Nittany Lions.
Michigan State- 24  Penn St- 23

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
CU at Okie St, Over 47.5, Thursday

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Wisconsin at Northwestern, Over 51
Wisc has put up 37, 31 and 45 last three games.  Northwestern averages 26 ppg. Wildcats D isn't that good- Wisc should be able to dictate pace with the run and pass.
Wisconsin- 31  Northwestern- 27

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
Purdue at Indiana, Over 58
Both offenses are solid, both D's are awful. 

Risk 8.8 units to Win 8
LSU at Ole Miss, Over 42
this has 24-31 written all over it.  Ole Miss and LSU both can put up points, even though everyone thinks both have great defenses. 

Risk 6.6 units to Win 6
SMU at Marshall, Over 48
SMU has solid O, Marshall plays good at home- think it hits the 50s easily.


 
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Posted: #9
Good start to the week.. On huge 22-7 run- hope it continues into Saturday..

Card to Date, 11.19
Minn +10, 8 units
Cal +7, 8 units
Wisc at Northwestern, Over 51, 8 units
Purdue at IU, Over 58, 8 units
LSU at Ole Miss, Over 42, 8 units
Col/Okie St, Over 47.5, 6 units 
Kentucky +8.5, 6 units
MSU +3, 6 units
SMU at Marshall, Over 48, 6 units

Teasers
3 team, 10 point
Risk 13 units to Win 10
OSU -2.5, SMU +14, Air Force +20
 
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Posted: #10
BOL with your card B
 
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Posted: #11
GL
 
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Posted: #12
Cal and Cash 


 
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Posted: #13
Good luck with your card this week -
 
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Posted: #14

Fla  - 33

Miami - 9

AF  + 20

What do you think

 
 
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Posted: #15
Another solid week- going 8-2, picking up 44.6 units..
YTD:  76-70-2, +115.85 units 

Thoughts:
  1. Minnesota is just awful and I can't wait to fade them in any bowl whatsoever, Weber looks lost w/o Decker
  2. Most cappers I saw on Stanford, it's real tough for a team to get up 3 straight games, esp. against a Cal team that is pretty good.
  3. Like I posted earlier, I thought Vegas gave out real short numbers on a lot of games.. right before kickoff I saw Wisc/Northwestern drop to 48?? Very strange.
  4. MSU was just a bad pick- didn't think Sparty was that bad, or PSU that good
  5. Kentucky/UGA were two evenly matched teams- but Joe Cox blows and GT might put up 600 rushing yards against em next week
  6. Finally, who has Texas beaten? Oklahoma got manhandled by Texas Tech, and Houston has beaten both of Texas' "good" wins, in Okie St and Tech- I pray Nebraska can knock em off so TCU gets a shot- otherwise it looks like TCU is going to the Fiesta against a piss 10-2 team

Card to Date, 11.19
Minn +10, 8 units  
Cal +7, 8 units  
Wisc at Northwestern, Over 51, 8 units 
Purdue at IU, Over 58, 8 units 
LSU at Ole Miss, Over 42, 8 units 
Col/Okie St, Over 47.5, 6 units 
Kentucky +8.5, 6 units 
MSU +3, 6 units 
SMU at Marshall, Over 48, 6 units 

Teasers
3 team, 10 point
Risk 13 units to Win 10 
OSU -2.5, SMU +14, Air Force +20
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