Now, as far as my plays are concerned.....My plays are "GAME TOTALS" only, no sides, etc. I will only be posting my strongest, most profitable plays. The result of that will provide you with a minimal amount of plays, maybe 1-3 per week, sometimes more sometimes less. If you are a bettor who likes action and who likes to wager everyday that's perfectly ok. If you tail someone else in the forum or someone not located in this forum continue doing so but I would recommend to play my plays for a larger unit amount if you decide to tail. My wager amount for all of the plays that I post is one unit, which, for me is probably more than most here but that amount is dictated by each individual's total bankroll.
Also, I will post a brief write-up with each play, which I haven't provided this season. This will give everyone with a very brief explanation of how I derived with my decision on my plays. As you can see I said "Brief" and that's because I just don't have the time to post a in depth analysis with each play because it would take me quite a while to do so.
I wish everyone the best of luck for the remainder of the season.
Monday, 06/03/2013
4:05PM PST 951Miami (T. Koehler) @ 952Philadelphia (K. Kendrick)
PLAY: UNDER 7.5 +100 (5Dimes)
Tonight's starter for the Philadelphia Phillies, Kyle Kendrick, has dominated the Marlins in recent matchups and will try to win his 10th straight decision in the series Monday night. He is 8-0 with a 2.24 ERA in his last 10 starts in the series, winning 9 straight starts. In his most recent start versus Boston he allowed two runs and four hits in six innings in Wednesday's 4-3 win. The under is 6-2 in Kendricks last 8 starts and the under is 10-4-1 in Kendricks last 15 home starts, both versus a team with a losing record.
Tonight's starter for the Miami Marlins, Tom Koehler, has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his five career starts, four of those starts this season. More importantly he has received a combined five runs of support in those starts. In his most recent start he allowed three runs over a career-high eight innings Wednesday against Tampa Bay in a 3-1 defeat. The Under is 4-0-1 in Koehlers last 5 starts, 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in this series, six of which have had a game total runs scored of 5 or less. Although both pitchers are due for a slight ERA correction (Kendrick ERA 3.27, FIP 4.00; Koehler ERA 3.24, FIP 3.51) the success of Kyle Kendrick in this series versus the Marlins and the lack of run support and lack of runs against for Tom Koehler in his starts this season are hard to ignore.







