Take it to the Bank, April 15, 13-3 on season

Yesterday 0-1 -1.78units
Season 13-3, 17.51units

PITT +1.5 (1.60) vs Stl - risk 2 units to win 1.2

Lance Lynn take the ball for the Redbirds, bringing along with it a 1-0 record and a 4.50ERA/1.40whip/.256BAA. Last year he recorded 18 wins, but his 1.32whip and .253BAA weren't outstanding. His career line vs Pitt is 2-1 with a 4.44ERA, and his career road line is 4.15/1.40/.277. Clearly he enjoys pitching at home better than on the road. Stl is in the bottom half of the league in .OPS and Lance Lynn allowed opponents to have a .728OPS against him last year (league leaders were in the .500s). Lastly, Stl closer Jason Motte is injured, forcing them to paste together the back end of their bullpen. They blew the save in such a situation yesterday allowing 4ER in 3IP.

MacDonald goes for the Pirates, bringing his 1-1 record to the mound along with a decent 3.75ERA and 1.00whip. Last year he posted 12 wins and had good whip at 1.26 and BAA at .233. He is 4-1 in his career vs STL with 2.27/1.08/.199. He was 6-2 at home last year with a 2.73/0.97/.199. Comparing MacDonald's opponent OPS, he came in at .714 last year. The Pirates offence is clicking, scoring over 5 runs per game over their last 6.

The stats show MacDonald as the better pitcher, pitching at home where he does well, against a pitcher that doesn't like the road or Pitt. Take the +1.5 runs for a cushion, and Take it to the Bank.

Many requests have come in for a call on the early game.  While i will not be playing it, I would lean towards Boston.

Good luck.

Does the Madcapper on Randlethehandle know you copy his picks every day?  .randallthehandle.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=17&start=10.

Did you even read the rest of the thread from yesterday?  I am Madcapper.  I have posted proof to this both on this site and on Randallthehandle.  Please do a little research before you slander someone.  Thanks.

@bradscunn

pitt looks good, just don't like buying that extra run
i'll wait for some public money to come in on stl and then play em straight up @ +110 or better

Ya, I kept going back and forth on the extra run.  Hopefully it makes it up to +110 for you.  I am seeing +105 in a couple of places right now.

yeah, +104 is the best i could get right now
i'd play it at that as well, just want to wait and see what the line does


might take a shot at hellboy +132 even though their bats are ice cold
not sold on dumpster, so this looks like value
any thoughts?

Hellickson has been hit hard by Boston in his career...well, moreso he has been walked hard.  less than a hit an inning but has issued around 4.5BB/9, good for a 1.42whip.  Last year in 5 starts vs Bos he had a 4.71/1.47/.261 line.  The +132 is nice for a TB team that does everything well, but I am not sold on 'hellboy'
.  Neither team has a decent bullpen so far this year either, but TB was 3rd best in majors last year in ERA.

That said, I don't trust Dempster either, which is why I'm staying away.  Neither te

laid off after checking some more splits

no need to force anything just because it's the only early game

Pitt line moving to +1.5 (-155) and +107 on money line.

Up to +110 on the moneyline, if that interests you.  Run line holding.

It's at +1.5 -165 now. What do you think?

locked in +114 for two units


now they just gotta come through

Well I hope they win outright and I don't need the +1.5.  Glad it got to +114 for you.  I am only seeing +112 on one of my sites, and only +110 on the other 3.  It's going to come down to pitching, as there are no changes in the regular lineups.  Lets hope the stats play out the way they have in past.

I still have -155 on three sites.  The fact that your site has moved to -165 means they have got alot of money on Pitt and the line is moving, which supports the bet.

BOL Bud

Thanks snake.

Ugh.  3-1 in 2nd.  

oh boy, that got ugly in a hurry

not even the terrible cards pen is gonna blow that

at least the over is through already

7 runs with 2 outs in the 2nd. great job McDonald

Oh my!!!

wow. cards blowing up