Baseball Run Lines

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Baseball Run Lines
HokiePokie14 PM HokiePokie14
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Posted: 1/26/2013 5:37:59 PM
Anyone here bet RL's consistently? I know 5 dimes allows you to flip the dog RL and make them -1.5 for big + money. Curious if anyone here has tried this consistently.
dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 1/26/2013 10:22:10 PM
I play Fav's RL the whole season. I never play Fav's straight.  But when I play the dog, I play the straight ML, no reverse Dog RL. I have kept track. The reverse Dog RL hits, but not enough. Baseball is about being POSITIVE for the day and hit it again the next. It's a long season.
dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 1/26/2013 10:26:53 PM
I will tell you this. Everyday I will make a 2 team parlay. Tx -1.5 and whoever is playing the Astros, ML on that team. If Tx is playing Astros, then it's Tx's -1.5. Also, 2 teamer, Atlanta -1.5 and whoever is playing the Astros, ML on that team.
HokiePokie14 PM HokiePokie14
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Posted: 1/27/2013 11:36:39 AM
Thanks dc for your response.  Gearing up for MLB, I've been betting Puck Lines in Hockey at -1.5 and been successful at it. I was wondering if that strategy can translate into baseball run lines, but it doesn't look like it.  I might play Fav's RL to get +money, but will try to avoid juice at all costs.
dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 1/27/2013 8:30:32 PM
Favs won at 55% clip last year. When they won, {55% of the time}, they then covered their RL at 76% of the time. You follow? They then covered their -2.5 RL 50% of the time. Now, do you follow? Key is of course, is to get the INITIAL win first. No INTIAL win, then you will lose your RL anyway in the 1st place. I play Fav's RL's year around
earthWake PM earthWake
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Posted: 1/27/2013 9:16:52 PM
I did some research on the Yanks last year and over 80% of their wins were by more than 1 run. Just a tidbit of info
dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 1/27/2013 10:29:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by earthWake:

I did some research on the Yanks last year and over 80% of their wins were by more than 1 run. Just a tidbit of info
EXACTLY. Most teams follow this format. Example, Cardinals won 54% of their games, then covered their RL, 75% of those games. Dodgers, won 54% of their games, then covered 73% of those games. Rangers won 57% of their games, then covered the RL 75%.
j-walk PM j-walk
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Posted: 1/28/2013 12:49:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dcmc34f:

Favs won at 55% clip last year. When they won, {55% of the time}, they then covered their RL at 76% of the time.


I've been looking for that exact stat all over the place.  Can you link me to where you got that?
dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 1/28/2013 7:23:20 PM
It takes 2 minutes per team to find those numbers. ESPN.com. Go through a certain team, any team, and scroll through their records and count how many RL's wins they have. The 1st number is EASY. But for the WHOLE SEASON NUMBER, go to the "TRENDS". It updates the season everyday
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