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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Runline betting
j-walk	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 720 Location: United States	#1 Posted: 1/22/2013 1:07:56 PM This crossed my head the other day, I hear the stat that roughly 30% of games are 1 run games. And thats the stat that keeps people away from runlines. But, isn't part of that 30% the team you're betting against? So both runline and moneyline would lose in that case and doesnt affect whether you bet RL or ML. So really only 15-18% of those games affect you playing the runline (because moneyline would lose anyway on the other 12-15%). So if what I said above makes sense, is it fair to say that you'll only lose 18% (overestimating) more games betting the runline vs the moneyline? And not the 30% number that you hear everywhere?
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dcmc34f	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 4755 Location: Georgia	#2 Posted: 1/26/2013 10:28:56 PM RL's are the ONLY way to play MLB.
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TheGoldenGoose	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: BetDSI \|
MVP Joined: Jan 2003 Posts: 18012 Location: United States	#3 Posted: 1/27/2013 12:33:51 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by dcmc34f: RL's are the ONLY way to play MLB. Not if you are betting dogs.
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NoWorries21	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2009 Posts: 7232 Location: Texas	#4 Posted: 1/27/2013 6:46:30 PM Boy do I disagree If you make a habit of betting runlines you will lose just like if you lay big juice or even straight betting all dogs in baseball is a loser.
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dcmc34f	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 4755 Location: Georgia	#5 Posted: 1/27/2013 8:25:36 PM I don't lay heavy juice, I play RL's. And I don't play DOGS all year, just occasionally. Last year Favs won 55% of the time, that mean Dogs won 45% of the time. You almost have a 50/50 chance when you play Favs or Dogs anyway.
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