Runline betting

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Runline betting
j-walk PM j-walk
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j-walk
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Posted: 1/22/2013 1:07:56 PM
This crossed my head the other day, I hear the stat that roughly 30% of games are 1 run games.  And thats the stat that keeps people away from runlines.  But, isn't part of that 30% the team you're betting against?   So both runline and moneyline would lose in that case and doesnt affect whether you bet RL or ML.  So really only 15-18% of those games affect you playing the runline (because moneyline would lose anyway on the other 12-15%).

So if what I said above makes sense, is it fair to say that you'll only lose 18% (overestimating) more games betting the runline vs the moneyline?  And not the 30% number that you hear everywhere?
dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 1/26/2013 10:28:56 PM
RL's are the ONLY way to play MLB.
TheGoldenGoose PM TheGoldenGoose
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TheGoldenGoose
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Posted: 1/27/2013 12:33:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dcmc34f:

RL's are the ONLY way to play MLB.


Not if you are betting dogs.
NoWorries21 PM NoWorries21
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Posted: 1/27/2013 6:46:30 PM
Boy do I disagree If you make a habit of betting runlines you will lose just like if you lay big juice or even straight betting all dogs in baseball is a loser.
dcmc34f PM dcmc34f
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Posted: 1/27/2013 8:25:36 PM
I don't lay heavy juice, I play RL's. And I don't play DOGS all year, just occasionally. Last year Favs won 55% of the time, that mean Dogs won 45% of the time. You almost have a 50/50 chance  when you play Favs or Dogs anyway.
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