Okay, gang here we go for another edition of this thing we do in honor of Semper and McShady, the Chase Masters! Without them we would never have found each other!
Thanks to all who have contributed and keep this thing going! You know who you are! I will attempt to post the spreadsheet links from the last thread. Also welcome to those who are here to support and keep this thread positive!
Go_Nads set line sheet... https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AqJA39cKbuspdFo5ZTg4eC1wWkFINEx0Sl9uX3c0Umc
Okay, gang here we go for another edition of this thing we do in honor of Semper and McShady, the Chase Masters! Without them we would never have found each other!
Thanks to all who have contributed and keep this thing going! You know who you are! I will attempt to post the spreadsheet links from the last thread. Also welcome to those who are here to support and keep this thread positive!
Go_Nads set line sheet... https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AqJA39cKbuspdFo5ZTg4eC1wWkFINEx0Sl9uX3c0Umc
I have watched the MAC all year and and here is my take on tonight's championship game:
I can say with certainity that the most improved team in the MAC is Kent State. Coach Hazell is a Tressell disciple and has done great things for this program. They have the electric Dri Archer that is threat on offense and on special teams. Archer is 5'8" and can flat out fly as his 9.7 yards per carry would demonstrate.
Northern Illinois is an offensive powerhouse. Beating teams by an avg of 20.4 pts in the MAC this season and they feature MAC offensive POY in QB Jordan Lynch. A duel threat QB that that led the MAC in rushing with 1,611 yds and also threw for over 2,700 yds with a 23TD/4INT ratio. Lynch is short by NFL standards at 6 ft even but can this guy play.
Both teams come in undefeated in MAC play and I see a very entertraining game tonight.
Prediction: Lots of points..love the over. I am rooting for Kent State becasue I like Hazell and wish him well. The winner of this game will be in the 40's. No prediction on the side but gun to my head I am taking the points. 41-38
I have watched the MAC all year and and here is my take on tonight's championship game:
I can say with certainity that the most improved team in the MAC is Kent State. Coach Hazell is a Tressell disciple and has done great things for this program. They have the electric Dri Archer that is threat on offense and on special teams. Archer is 5'8" and can flat out fly as his 9.7 yards per carry would demonstrate.
Northern Illinois is an offensive powerhouse. Beating teams by an avg of 20.4 pts in the MAC this season and they feature MAC offensive POY in QB Jordan Lynch. A duel threat QB that that led the MAC in rushing with 1,611 yds and also threw for over 2,700 yds with a 23TD/4INT ratio. Lynch is short by NFL standards at 6 ft even but can this guy play.
Both teams come in undefeated in MAC play and I see a very entertraining game tonight.
Prediction: Lots of points..love the over. I am rooting for Kent State becasue I like Hazell and wish him well. The winner of this game will be in the 40's. No prediction on the side but gun to my head I am taking the points. 41-38
Thanks to Angle, Semperi, Mc Shady, Nads, Moth,Mj Norman, and I'm sure I left somone out but this is to all the guys who contribute. You guys make this thread what it is . I look forward to seeing the comments and it has help alot. Keep up the good work and thanks again.
Thanks to Angle, Semperi, Mc Shady, Nads, Moth,Mj Norman, and I'm sure I left somone out but this is to all the guys who contribute. You guys make this thread what it is . I look forward to seeing the comments and it has help alot. Keep up the good work and thanks again.
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
brb unloading my savings account, chequing account and student loans into pinnacle. thanks semper
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
brb unloading my savings account, chequing account and student loans into pinnacle. thanks semper
Shawty.......very funny. I have received thank you notes complete with pictures of a whole family on a vaction paid for with winnngs from my advice and also have recieved death threats ,so as always, bet what you feel comfortable. I have learned to never bet more than 10% of my bankroll no matter how much I like the pick.
Shawty.......very funny. I have received thank you notes complete with pictures of a whole family on a vaction paid for with winnngs from my advice and also have recieved death threats ,so as always, bet what you feel comfortable. I have learned to never bet more than 10% of my bankroll no matter how much I like the pick.
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
Total of the Month and on the LAST day of the month! I like it!
Plus, Kent St has a chance at a BCS bowl game with a win. I like them plus at least 7.5, but have to wonder why such a large dog. Maybe a trap but I'll bite even though N ILL has been steamrolling teams.
I am making this NIU/Kent OVER 58 my total of the month! NIU has been here before so I expect no jitters, and Hazell will have his team ready to play,plus,the field conditions will be perfect for a indoor track meet in Detroit!!!
Total of the Month and on the LAST day of the month! I like it!
Plus, Kent St has a chance at a BCS bowl game with a win. I like them plus at least 7.5, but have to wonder why such a large dog. Maybe a trap but I'll bite even though N ILL has been steamrolling teams.
I have GM2 of 2 on Portland vs. Boston, but hear me out. This play was compromised by outright loss to winless Wash, plus Boston having Rondo suspended has negatively affected our line. I saw lines of around +10 last night on other books BEFORE my books opened (of course) and now I am seeing Port +4.5 to 5. I have been advised to buy up to +8, but I am not able to as one of my books allows a 1.5 point buy and the other a 1 point buy on NBA.
Here is what I am doing. I am playing to get my money back from GM1 loss at Portland +6.
If you played GM1 and lost, you can do this or skip this play and take a loss as there will be many more plays in the future and you can add a small amount of your loss to future plays until you get it back. The same thing goes for me at +6, if I lose I can make it back on another chase.
If you can buy up to +8 it will be very juicy and I don't recommend playing anything over a 1% or 1 unit profit while recovering the loss from GM1.
Just be aware that if I could buy to +8, I would still feel worried about this one because buying three points is not usually required and is too juicy in my opinion.
Another note, many teams play EXTREMELY WELL when starters suspended or rested, just look at the Spurs last night! That is another reason why I am going LIGHT on this play!!!
I have GM2 of 2 on Portland vs. Boston, but hear me out. This play was compromised by outright loss to winless Wash, plus Boston having Rondo suspended has negatively affected our line. I saw lines of around +10 last night on other books BEFORE my books opened (of course) and now I am seeing Port +4.5 to 5. I have been advised to buy up to +8, but I am not able to as one of my books allows a 1.5 point buy and the other a 1 point buy on NBA.
Here is what I am doing. I am playing to get my money back from GM1 loss at Portland +6.
If you played GM1 and lost, you can do this or skip this play and take a loss as there will be many more plays in the future and you can add a small amount of your loss to future plays until you get it back. The same thing goes for me at +6, if I lose I can make it back on another chase.
If you can buy up to +8 it will be very juicy and I don't recommend playing anything over a 1% or 1 unit profit while recovering the loss from GM1.
Just be aware that if I could buy to +8, I would still feel worried about this one because buying three points is not usually required and is too juicy in my opinion.
Another note, many teams play EXTREMELY WELL when starters suspended or rested, just look at the Spurs last night! That is another reason why I am going LIGHT on this play!!!
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