8-3-1, +26.78 Units Wednesday has another week
rolling again at 12-9-1, +21.35units.
5 & 9 Inning
Plays Today
Mariners +115, +119, (Beavan / Duensing)
Every now and then for a
short time Duensing looks like a major league pitcher, then the full moon comes
around and he reverts to being himself. Full moon tonight. This guy is a
disaster and the Mariners can hit lefties. Coming off a shutout I look for them to pund
him early and often.
Red Sox +145, +153, (Lester / Greinke)
Explosive bats were the rule
last night but tonight stacks up as a pitchers duel. When that happens a buck
fifty dog is worth taking a shot with. My current ratings have Lester and
Greinke pretty close but Lester is on the rise and Greinke is slipping. Forget
the last performance by each, that is not how I measure things. Trust me.
Grand Salami
Visitors -135
Home field advantage is
almost non existent tonight and the scoring potential lies with the road teams. I
just know someone will read that and soil his diaper at the thought of home
teams being at a disadvantage, but it is true as, by three different methods, I
have visitors winning 7 to 9 of the 11 games and probably by 2 or more in 5 of
those games. Those who fear surrendering the hypothetical home field advantage
should be aware that the betting public feels exactly the same way, so the home
field advantage penalty is built into this line just as it is in the game
lines.
BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 272-262-21, +215.9 Units, +8.41% RoR
8-3-1, +26.78 Units Wednesday has another week
rolling again at 12-9-1, +21.35units.
5 & 9 Inning
Plays Today
Mariners +115, +119, (Beavan / Duensing)
Every now and then for a
short time Duensing looks like a major league pitcher, then the full moon comes
around and he reverts to being himself. Full moon tonight. This guy is a
disaster and the Mariners can hit lefties. Coming off a shutout I look for them to pund
him early and often.
Red Sox +145, +153, (Lester / Greinke)
Explosive bats were the rule
last night but tonight stacks up as a pitchers duel. When that happens a buck
fifty dog is worth taking a shot with. My current ratings have Lester and
Greinke pretty close but Lester is on the rise and Greinke is slipping. Forget
the last performance by each, that is not how I measure things. Trust me.
Grand Salami
Visitors -135
Home field advantage is
almost non existent tonight and the scoring potential lies with the road teams. I
just know someone will read that and soil his diaper at the thought of home
teams being at a disadvantage, but it is true as, by three different methods, I
have visitors winning 7 to 9 of the 11 games and probably by 2 or more in 5 of
those games. Those who fear surrendering the hypothetical home field advantage
should be aware that the betting public feels exactly the same way, so the home
field advantage penalty is built into this line just as it is in the game
lines.
Love these when first five and full game are in agreement. Would there ever be an occasion where first five is for one team and full game be on the other? Like football first half wager can be a different side then the second half? Still learning so much about wagering in bases, glad I am able to follow along. Thanks. Your write ups onTwinks and BoSox games are very accurate.
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Love these when first five and full game are in agreement. Would there ever be an occasion where first five is for one team and full game be on the other? Like football first half wager can be a different side then the second half? Still learning so much about wagering in bases, glad I am able to follow along. Thanks. Your write ups onTwinks and BoSox games are very accurate.
ShadowWarrior: Probably no way you will ever see a reversal by me in an MLB game. To bet the first 5 you have to believe you will be winning after the first 5. Why would you then want to have to cover that lead plus a winning margin after 5? Don't even get into bullpens and comeback possibilities after 5, if you have the lead you can live with the bullpen you have got. Bullpens, any of them, are more often a reflection of what the starter turned over to them than they are of any miracles or disasters they may create on their own. Given a 6+ inning starter with a lead versus a 4 or 5 inning starter with the better bullpen I will take the 6+ guy with a lead every time.
The only exception I can imagine might be a 5 inning Over and a 9 inning Under because on average 60% of the scoring occurs in the first 5 innings, but the lines usually neutralize that by placing an extra half run on the first five. It might happen some day, but don't hold your breath.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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ShadowWarrior: Probably no way you will ever see a reversal by me in an MLB game. To bet the first 5 you have to believe you will be winning after the first 5. Why would you then want to have to cover that lead plus a winning margin after 5? Don't even get into bullpens and comeback possibilities after 5, if you have the lead you can live with the bullpen you have got. Bullpens, any of them, are more often a reflection of what the starter turned over to them than they are of any miracles or disasters they may create on their own. Given a 6+ inning starter with a lead versus a 4 or 5 inning starter with the better bullpen I will take the 6+ guy with a lead every time.
The only exception I can imagine might be a 5 inning Over and a 9 inning Under because on average 60% of the scoring occurs in the first 5 innings, but the lines usually neutralize that by placing an extra half run on the first five. It might happen some day, but don't hold your breath.
Is there any specific reason you pick the 1st 5 and 9 instead of just placing double the wager on whichever one of those you feel more comfortable about?
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Is there any specific reason you pick the 1st 5 and 9 instead of just placing double the wager on whichever one of those you feel more comfortable about?
well, so far we pick up a little on the Mariners by splitting and at this moment are up 31-23 in the Grand Salami. The Brewers should seal the deal and set us up nicely for the evening games. At least that is the theory. bd_c you got your foots pick ready? .
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
well, so far we pick up a little on the Mariners by splitting and at this moment are up 31-23 in the Grand Salami. The Brewers should seal the deal and set us up nicely for the evening games. At least that is the theory. bd_c you got your foots pick ready? .
well, so far we pick up a little on the Mariners by splitting and at this moment are up 31-23 in the Grand Salami. The Brewers should seal the deal and set us up nicely for the evening games. At least that is the theory. bd_c you got your foots pick ready? .
Sorry for the late response. This was posted about 2 hours ago in the NCAAF thread
Wek 1 plays
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
well, so far we pick up a little on the Mariners by splitting and at this moment are up 31-23 in the Grand Salami. The Brewers should seal the deal and set us up nicely for the evening games. At least that is the theory. bd_c you got your foots pick ready? .
Sorry for the late response. This was posted about 2 hours ago in the NCAAF thread
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