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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: do you see what's i am seeing ?
eargasm send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
eargasm
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#1
Posted: 8/28/2012 1:58:17 PM
So far, I notice from Sunday through Friday. the favors win at least 50% each day . Example  if there is 15 games, favors will win 8, underdogs win 7.  Except Saturday the underdogs win more than favors maybe due to heavy volume of bettors. Feedback on this please.
 Also, what determine a team can win their division, because a team certain if they win enough games . it's make no sense for them to win more so they can afford to lose games. The reason I ask because to find out which teams it's likely to loose against the underdogs. What are the 8 favor teams that win today and what are the 7 favors  team loose to the underdogs
DET TIGERS [J. VERLANDER -R]CHI CUBS [T. WOOD -L]

what are the 2 favor teams will loose to underdogs. thanks


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#2
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:13:17 PM
DET TIGERS [J. VERLANDER -R]CHI CUBS [T. WOOD -L]

I think strongly the astro will win  SF giant today. I need to find one more upset team out of the 4 games above


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#3
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:19:52 PM
here are the 6 upsets of the day, i need to find one more.
1) astro win
2) boston red sox
3) col rockies
4) sea mariners
5) cle indian
6) pit priates
7) ???  help on this one



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#4
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:22:20 PM
7th upsets whould be 1 out of this three

1) chicago cubs
2) mia marlines
3) kan royals
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#5
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:24:43 PM
Seven is a lot today. BOL
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#6
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:26:30 PM
Your post appeared valid until you mentioned the Astros. Unless I'm getting +300 or more I'm staying clear of the Stros.
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#7
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:26:40 PM
I really like Houston today GL
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#8
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:27:30 PM
I hope not SF, I have them.  No one foresees the future so asking what dogs win is as good a guess as possible.  The best handicappers here can be wrong on any given day. They can give you their best advice but you can never say, especially in baseball with the many variables to deal with.  9 men, 9 innings, 27 outs, bull pens, starters, righty-lefty, sac, SB, errors, coaching, ...
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#9
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:33:14 PM
Think.....Astros will lose 100 games this year....just like last year....may even break the old Mets record of 120.
If your going to bet on a game the Astros are involved in why not WAIT on a game you think they will lose.
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#10
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:35:31 PM
i am looking at when the bookies give out the lines, if u have to pay more to loose than to win then is it fav.  if you go back and look at the back record, there are always about 45% underdogs will win every.
day. Saturday the underdogs win at 60%. Just go and do the reseach. that why most cappers loose more on saturday and they gain or loose very minimum money on the other days
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#11
Posted: 8/28/2012 2:44:43 PM
check tonight record of 15 games. 8 favors will win , 7 underdogs will win tonight   ( u have to find out which one ) .   just like yesterday monday   6 favors win,  5 underdogs win  .and last sunday.... and keep go back and look, u will see the pattern.

Vegas manipulate the last night games yankees and white sox ..


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#12
Posted: 8/28/2012 3:19:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eargasm:

check tonight record of 15 games. 8 favors will win , 7 underdogs will win tonight   ( u have to find out which one ) .   just like yesterday monday   6 favors win,  5 underdogs win  .and last sunday.... and keep go back and look, u will see the pattern.

Vegas manipulate the last night games yankees and white sox ..




Yes, Vegas waited until two outs in the top of the ninth, then made Colby Rasmus hit a three-run HR to give the Jays the lead. Vegas then enabled Derek Jeter to tie the game with a HR in the bottom of the 9th to make it look less suspicious. Vegas then allowed the Jays to take the lead again in extra innings, and paid off the umpire to punch out Swisher on a check swing to end the game.
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#13
Posted: 8/28/2012 3:29:47 PM
you have to think like vegas, i am not saying that you have to throw out all your statiistic analysis on the game. But the bottom line is , if it is too much money on one side then Vegas will step in and pocket the different. so stay out all those odds that sure win and don't go beyond -140. 
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#14
Posted: 8/28/2012 3:56:50 PM
Just talking bout the Stros....when we figure out what Vegas is thinking then we will all be driving Lamborghinis and drinking Crystal....
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#15
Posted: 8/28/2012 3:59:33 PM
DON'T WASTE MONEY ON HOUSTON! They are absolutely the worst team of the last decade, maybe even 25 years... they had a perfecto thrown against them once by Cain this year already, they will lose tonight, mind boggling that you have them as your top team for an upset, teams don't play well on the first game back after a long road trip.  Be smart with your money!
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#16
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:04:01 PM

i like the part where he says "8 teams will win and 7 teams will lose you have to find out which ones"

 

you dont say............

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#17
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:10:30 PM
my reaserch just for data, the reason i like to pin point all the underdogs that have more chance to win the favors. So I can stay away those games. I want to concentrate the other 8 favors game.
The late night game is the one that i go big unit. if you have one last game start at 10pm.  then you count how many favs win then you can determine which side to take on the last game. everything will fail if Vegas hand involve. 
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#18
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:13:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Daddydbol:

i like the part where he says "8 teams will win and 7 teams will lose you have to find out which ones"

 

you dont say............




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#19
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:13:41 PM
i will give you some advice.....fade the stros....i love them and will always be an astros fan and although some idiots say they are the worst team in the last 10 or 25 years they obviously are too friggin stupid to remember ryan, clemens, pettitte, bigio, bagwell and so on....truly stupid twats that have no clue about what they are talking about dont remember 99, 01, 04 or 97 thru 99 when they finished first in their division.....i would fade the stros tonight but be careful about some of the bottom feeding attention person here on covers
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#20
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:24:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Daddydbol:

i will give you some advice.....fade the stros....i love them and will always be an astros fan and although some idiots say they are the worst team in the last 10 or 25 years they obviously are too friggin stupid to remember ryan, clemens, pettitte, bigio, bagwell and so on....truly stupid twats that have no clue about what they are talking about dont remember 99, 01, 04 or 97 thru 99 when they finished first in their division.....i would fade the stros tonight but be careful about some of the bottom feeding attention person here on covers

I think people are saying that the 2012 Astros are one of the worst teams in the last 10-25 years, not the Astros origination. Just my humble opinion.
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#21
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:32:14 PM
You know the Disastros will win ONE more game, so you have a 1-34 chance...Good luck!!!
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#22
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:32:35 PM

yeah Tom i read it that way as well....im just tired of the same idiots bashing the astros as if we had no idea in every single thread that mentions the astros....i mean ok they are a great fade team but its starting to look like he walked in on the entire team banging his old lady.....literally since all star break i bet theres been 20 posts and an entire thread about this losers hate of the astros....not just a normal gamblers hate but like i said an i walked in on my girl on her knees in the lockeroom kinda hate

just saying.....enough is enough

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#23
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:37:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Top_5_Guy:



Yes, Vegas waited until two outs in the top of the ninth, then made Colby Rasmus hit a three-run HR to give the Jays the lead. Vegas then enabled Derek Jeter to tie the game with a HR in the bottom of the 9th to make it look less suspicious. Vegas then allowed the Jays to take the lead again in extra innings, and paid off the umpire to punch out Swisher on a check swing to end the game.
It's good to know that you've seen the light. All of these players are now wearing tiny earbud receivers and simply following directions from a clandestine control center in Vegas. 
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#24
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:47:53 PM

eargasm........just don't  bet with real money and everything will be fine.

You have no idea what you are talking about, no offense, I'm just being honest.

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#25
Posted: 8/28/2012 4:48:27 PM
The Las Vegas Gremlins!!!
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