GiLz Largest Package ((as of... Tues. 8/21))

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: GiLz Largest Package ((as of... Tues. 8/21))
GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
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Posted: 8/21/2012 5:03:49 AM

  =  *YTD*  @  +95.23 unit$

Hit the big play of the day with the Rangers yesterday.  Dropped 3 on the Night Capper though... picked up +4.75 unit$ overall.

Now, on to today  -  this will be my largest combined play of the year, thus far.  It's a big play on David Price, a bigger fade on Luke Hochevar, and a cherry on top of it all with Mr. Over himself, Paul. freaking. Emmel behind the plate.

FYI  -  GiLz Package Play is 3+ plays on the same game.

Ain't nothin' to it but to do it, Thread'ers...  

PACKAGE PLAY:    (Tues. 8/21)

 Rays RL @ -115  =  [6U]
 Rays/Royals *OVER 7* @ -110  =  [4U]
 Rays *TT OVER ?* @ -???  =  [4U]

= Not a hotter pitcher in the bigs then David Price.  Not a hotter team in the bigs right now then the Tampa Bay Rays.  Not a hotter OVER umpire in the bigs then Paul Emmel.  You have these 3 key ingredients... and then The Kicker.

Luke Hochevar is one of my favorite pitchers to fade... and this fade is after he pitches a Quality Start; his last outing, -vs- the Athletics, he went 7IP giving up 3ER, making it a Quality Start.

Since 2010, here are Luke Hochevar's stats after he pitches a Quality Start:

9-17  /  5.62 ERA  /  1.40 WHIP

YES  -  Luke Hochevar did pitch a complete game shutout -vs- the Rays back on June 25th of this year... but that was not the same Rays.  And, that was @ Home.  Luke Hochevar is a waaay different pitcher on the road away from Kauffman Stadium, and I've done some stat crunching since 2009.  Check it out:

15-22  /  6.18 ERA  /  1.49 WHIP

> His stats in 2 career starts @ The Trop:
0-1  /  9.31 ERA (9.2IP, 10ER)  /  2.17 WHIP (16H, 4BB)

So, as you can see, my fade on Luke Hochevar is strong.  And with the way the Ray-Rays are playing ball + David Price and his 2nd Half 5-0 record with an ERA @ 1.43 and a WHIP @ 0.90 + Mr. Emmel calling the game...

GiLz diggin' it...  

Best of Luck today, Thread'ers.    

tinfoils PM tinfoils
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Posted: 8/21/2012 5:06:30 AM
Good luck BEASTskeeeeeeeeeeee!
GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
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Posted: 8/21/2012 5:29:38 AM
GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
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Posted: 8/21/2012 5:46:07 AM
* Quick Notes:

UNDERS have hit around 65% @ The Trop since the start of 2011  -  one of the best UNDER parks in Baseball.

The Ray-Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 5 or more the previous game.

The Ray-Rays are 13-3 in their last 16 after winning the previous game.

David Price is off 4 days of rest  -  but the Rays have won 69% of the games he's started off 4 days of rest since 2010.

Majority off all Rays/Royals trends point to the UNDER  -  if Paul Emmel wasn't 23-1 this year to the OVER, then I wouldn't be betting this UNDER based on the trends, Price, and ballpark.

Bed time.

Catch y'all in a few hours or so...  

    GiLz Thread'ers    
Louis_IV PM Louis_IV
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Posted: 8/21/2012 7:38:17 AM
bol gil
CanadaCup PM CanadaCup
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Posted: 8/21/2012 7:50:29 AM

Great insight as always


2112 PM 2112
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Posted: 8/21/2012 8:11:17 AM
On it. GL Gilmo 
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Posted: 8/21/2012 8:26:01 AM
outlaw96 PM outlaw96
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Posted: 8/21/2012 8:27:24 AM
Mutha friggin Gilzzmo

hit that garbage big
ralph2026 PM ralph2026
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Posted: 8/21/2012 8:56:20 AM
Good Luck Buddy 
captjohn67 PM captjohn67
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Posted: 8/21/2012 9:24:05 AM
good luck Gil  
timdogs17 PM timdogs17
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Posted: 8/21/2012 9:27:25 AM
Enough said..... Mother friggin Gil
Posted using a mobile device.
motorcitymama PM motorcitymama
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:01:28 AM
you convinced me!!!  let's go Rays!!!!!   
YoungTal3nted76 PM YoungTal3nted76
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:06:32 AM


Grasshopper42 PM Grasshopper42
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:10:43 AM
on it with you!
Theone324 PM Theone324
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:17:30 AM
SJSharks99 PM SJSharks99
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:26:33 AM
I like your package Gil... no person!!!!

I am diggin those #s on Luke

See you @ the Cashiers window, if you happen to get there before me with the paul emmel over... hold my spot in line for the Rays RL buddy

jayakas PM jayakas
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:32:00 AM
Cash it 
Blue_Chips PM Blue_Chips
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:32:30 AM
kG-bRoOkLyN PM kG-bRoOkLyN
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Posted: 8/21/2012 10:37:52 AM
Had rays ml -1.5 -2.5 tto4 and o7.5 yesterday (4-1)
Could it possibly go the same way back to back..?
wiseman22 PM wiseman22
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Posted: 8/21/2012 11:14:37 AM
love it
Tone10 PM Tone10
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Posted: 8/21/2012 11:18:50 AM

Ironically enough, Hochevar is one of my favorite pitcher's to back. He's been my cash cow this season. But I certainly won't be backing him tonight.

BOL with the card Gil.

brent0887 PM brent0887
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Posted: 8/21/2012 11:19:19 AM
GL GiLmo
kinggeorge27 PM kinggeorge27
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Posted: 8/21/2012 11:32:28 AM
With ya GilMo!!! 
GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
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Posted: 8/21/2012 12:39:52 PM
Thanx, Thread'ers.    

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