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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Sunday Afternoon - MLB
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
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#1
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:22:38 PM
'10-11 NBA:  90-67  (57.3%)  +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P:  30-16  (65.2%)  +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB:  8-1  (88.9%)  +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P:  11-4  (73.3%)  +7.00u
'10-11 MLB:  97-66  (59.8%)  +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P:  9-3  (75.0%)  +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF:  16-21  (43.2%)  -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P:  9-6  (60.0%)  +1.65u
'11-12 NFL:  42-35  (54.5%)  +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P:  5-5  (50.0%)  -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB:  9-3  (75.0%)  +5.70u
'11-12 NCAAB-P:  5-3  (62.5%)  +1.60u
'11-12 NBA:  77-80  (49.0%)  -13.28u
'11-12 NBA-P:  23-20  (53.2%)  +2.30u
'11-12 NHL-P:  2-1  (66.6%)  +1.10u

'11-12 MLB:  98-63-4 (61.1%)  +27.86u


2:10 EST - Milwaukee Brewers (-115)

4:05 EST - Oakland Athletics (-130)

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#2
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:24:07 PM
Good luck si1ly!
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#3
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:25:51 PM
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#4
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:26:03 PM

Love the plays     When ANY MLB Team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - Last 3 years - After a non division game - Coming off a loss in game 3 of a series - Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent MILWAUKEE 18-4 SU in this spot.

Like this write-up

The oddsmakers fell asleep on this one. Cleveland is a long way from home and playing terrible baseball, a brutal four game skid allowing 9, 8, 6 and 8 runs. They've been in a massive slump ever since the All Star break, should be with bad pitching today and an offense ranked 18th in runs scored while 20th in slugging. Cleveland is awful on the road and goes with Justin Masterson (9-10, 4.50 ERA), a guy with average stuff on a below average team. He has a 4.76 ERA his last three starts and is 1-3 lifetime against Oakland with a 6.00 ERA, including a loss this season with a 7.20 ERA. The Indians are 17-36 in their last 53 road games and 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, they are matched up against a team in a pennant race playing excellent baseball both home and away, on a three game win streak, scoring 14 runs on these Indians the last two nights. Cleveland has never faced Oakland starter Jarrod Parker (3.71 ERA), who has allowed fewer hits than innings pitched and has fanned 95 in 121 innings, a top prospect doing well. The Athletics are 25-10 in their last 35 home games and 20-6 at home against a right-handed starter. And the Indians are 7-17 in the last 24 meetings in Oakland.

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#5
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:26:17 PM
Gl silly
Posted using a mobile device.
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#6
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:31:08 PM

GL.....

Any thoughts on Nats RL and Giants ML?

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#7
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:32:46 PM
Bol buddy
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#8
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:33:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thecrippler:

Love the plays     When ANY MLB Team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - Last 3 years - After a non division game - Coming off a loss in game 3 of a series - Coming off a Loss vs. NL EAST opponent MILWAUKEE 18-4 SU in this spot.

Like this write-up

The oddsmakers fell asleep on this one. Cleveland is a long way from home and playing terrible baseball, a brutal four game skid allowing 9, 8, 6 and 8 runs. They've been in a massive slump ever since the All Star break, should be with bad pitching today and an offense ranked 18th in runs scored while 20th in slugging. Cleveland is awful on the road and goes with Justin Masterson (9-10, 4.50 ERA), a guy with average stuff on a below average team. He has a 4.76 ERA his last three starts and is 1-3 lifetime against Oakland with a 6.00 ERA, including a loss this season with a 7.20 ERA. The Indians are 17-36 in their last 53 road games and 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, they are matched up against a team in a pennant race playing excellent baseball both home and away, on a three game win streak, scoring 14 runs on these Indians the last two nights. Cleveland has never faced Oakland starter Jarrod Parker (3.71 ERA), who has allowed fewer hits than innings pitched and has fanned 95 in 121 innings, a top prospect doing well. The Athletics are 25-10 in their last 35 home games and 20-6 at home against a right-handed starter. And the Indians are 7-17 in the last 24 meetings in Oakland.



Why don't you credit the source you stole that from?


Dumb darn.
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#9
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:34:19 PM
1. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS          .252 BA
2. Kevin Frandsen (R) 3B          .235 BA
3. John Mayberry (R) CF          .262 BA
4. Ryan Howard (L) 1B          .184 BA
5. Ty Wigginton (R) LF          .225 BA
6. Domonic Brown (L) RF          .125 BA
7. Michael Martinez (S) 2B          .148 BA
8. Brian Schneider (L) C          .143 BA
9. Kyle Kendrick (R) P          .100 BA

TEAM BATTING AVERAGE VERSUS LEFTIES:  (.186 BA)

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#10
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:34:27 PM
BOL today silly 
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#11
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:35:37 PM
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#12
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:37:54 PM
I am a little uneasy with the Brewers. Their BP has blown quite a few games for us. Just curious why not F5 or what makes you feel differently?
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#13
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:38:00 PM
I don't care who the Brewers put on the mound.  The Phillies are without Utley playing on the road with a .186 team batting average against lefties.  Kyle Kendrick is a 4th or 5th rotation starter.  He has no business laying any sort of chalk on the road against a top 10 ranked offense.  Given the Phillies line-up, the Brewers are a steal at this price.  I would line Milwaukee -145 in this spot.
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#14
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:39:38 PM

Gilmo  Chill Out  Just contributing  It was an e-mail I recieved this morning.

Game: Cleveland at Oakland (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland -125 (moneyline) Wunderdog

Take your ANGER and turn it into a Smile 

 

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#15
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:39:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

1. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS          .252 BA
2. Kevin Frandsen (R) 3B          .235 BA
3. John Mayberry (R) CF          .262 BA
4. Ryan Howard (L) 1B          .184 BA
5. Ty Wigginton (R) LF          .225 BA
6. Domonic Brown (L) RF          .125 BA
7. Michael Martinez (S) 2B          .148 BA
8. Brian Schneider (L) C          .143 BA
9. Kyle Kendrick (R) P          .100 BA

TEAM BATTING AVERAGE VERSUS LEFTIES:  (.186 BA)


That helps me. I should've refreshed. 
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#16
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:39:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:

I am a little uneasy with the Brewers. Their BP has blown quite a few games for us. Just curious why not F5 or what makes you feel differently?

Brewers BP ranks #15
Phillies BP ranks #16

I see no advantage to take away the bottom innings from the home team late in the game.  I expect Milwaukee's pen to come around with some stronger performances going forward - they just hit a rough patch - like everybody does.
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#17
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:43:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thecrippler:

Gilmo  Chill Out  Just contributing  It was an e-mail I recieved this morning.

Game: Cleveland at Oakland (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland -125 (moneyline) Wunderdog

Take your ANGER and turn it into a Smile 

 





No anger.  But you're copy & pasting stolen PAID information in a posters forum who is 1,000 times better then your paid Tout Info...









































































But that does help my lean on the Brewers furthermore...  
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#18
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:45:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Brewers BP ranks #15
Phillies BP ranks #16

I see no advantage to take away the bottom innings from the home team late in the game.  I expect Milwaukee's pen to come around with some stronger performances going forward - they just hit a rough patch - like everybody does.

Thanks for addressing my concerns! I still remember that week were Mil BP blew 2-3 picks and I was thinking what happened to Mil and their dominant 8th and 9th inning closers. 
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#19
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:47:41 PM
love brew crew today...since they blew it for me yesterday!
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#20
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:48:24 PM
Plus estes is on the Brewers.  He isn't losing his first posted pick here.   
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#21
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:48:50 PM

Gilmo  The play was a free e-mail  I felt the write up expressed very clearly some important points that I thought were relevant.

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#22
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:49:10 PM
Any leans for any action Parlays?
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#23
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:51:55 PM
love brew crew today...since they blew it for me yesterday!
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#24
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:53:50 PM
BOL   
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#25
Posted: 8/19/2012 12:55:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:

Any leans for any action Parlays?

No more parlays for awhile.  I had my fun the last few days trying to take advantage of a hot streak and a good overall read on the card.  Lines tightened up and I'm not seeing enough openings to test the waters again.  I'll be playing light cards until I see things open up.
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