Money Ball, Thursday, 8-16-2012

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Money Ball, Thursday, 8-16-2012
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/16/2012 11:16:43 AM

5-2, +252 Wednesday has the week back on a very nice pace of 9-7, +286.

5 Inning Plays

White Sox -.5, +105 (Liriano / Laffey)

Unlike earlier in the season Liriano has been bouncing back with outstanding performances after his lesser ones. I look for the same today against a Blue Jays outfit that has won just 5 of their last 15 vs lefty starters and established a median offensive era of 4.33 per 9. The White Sox counter that with 10 wins in their last 15 vs lefty with a median offensive era of 6.78 per 9. Those are some huge offensive margins when you have the higher probability starter on the hill.

9 Inning Plays

White Sox -1.5, +125 (Liriano / Laffey)

Padres-Braves Over 8, -110, (Marquis / Medlen)

Rays -117 (Price / Haren)

BOL

All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at 5 Dimes or BetOnline as I type the plays

5 Inning YTD: 81-92-19, -391 9 Inning YTD: 148-138, +3,099 NET. +2,708 (+5.90 % RoR)

glenndef62 PM glenndef62
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Posted: 8/16/2012 2:54:57 PM
Nice cappin, Key !!!......................
MIKECOUU78 PM MIKECOUU78
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Posted: 8/16/2012 3:02:34 PM
good luck 

what's your reasoning on this Rays play ?
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/16/2012 3:13:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MIKECOUU78:

good luck 

what's your reasoning on this Rays play ?
Price vs Haren? The Rays were the victim of a perfect game yesterday. Today's assassin could be Price. One of the things about Felix gem yesterday was that actually the Rays have been hitting very well lately, he wasn't shooting a lame duck, and who better to bounce back against than Haren?
andreagassi6969 PM andreagassi6969
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Posted: 8/16/2012 3:15:02 PM
MIKECOUU78 PM MIKECOUU78
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Posted: 8/16/2012 3:24:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Price vs Haren? The Rays were the victim of a perfect game yesterday. Today's assassin could be Price. One of the things about Felix gem yesterday was that actually the Rays have been hitting very well lately, he wasn't shooting a lame duck, and who better to bounce back against than Haren?


seen from this angle, it is certain that the Rays are the better play, but at really think the Halos are a streaky team and they right back to hitting well.. So I think they will win this game behind a solid outing from Haren.

Anyway I respect your play and I wish you best of luck 
dermluvsbobo PM dermluvsbobo
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Posted: 8/16/2012 3:32:50 PM
love the rays tonight key.
backdooor_cover PM backdooor_cover
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Posted: 8/16/2012 3:51:50 PM
First 5:
Dodgers
Phillies
Marlins

NFL:
Browns +3
Atlanta over 37.5
JEG53 PM JEG53
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Posted: 8/16/2012 3:51:57 PM
Also looking at Rays tonight,
GL today Key,back to work after 3 days off,
cjm2008 PM cjm2008
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Posted: 8/16/2012 4:24:30 PM
GL today. Have the White Sox/Jays Over
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/16/2012 4:31:23 PM
White Sox seem square as can be. I know that doesn't produce a winner, but why do you like them besides a small sample size 5-10 for Blue Jays vs lefties, median offense in the same sample, and you're using the same sample to say the White Sox are hot vs lefties. I question the betting strategy, especially when you have to pay big juice on Liriano on the road.

You do realize you had to pay -125 on the White Sox if you got a good line, and you posted +125
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/16/2012 4:32:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball:

White Sox seem square as can be. I know that doesn't produce a winner, but why do you like them besides a small sample size 5-10 for Blue Jays vs lefties, median offense in the same sample, and you're using the same sample to say the White Sox are hot vs lefties. I question the betting strategy, especially when you have to pay big juice on Liriano on the road.

You do realize you had to pay -125 on the White Sox if you got a good line, and you posted +125

realized it was rl right after I posted. still would like more reasoning than just these trends if you have it. the only reason i ask is because i am leaning blue jays myself and always love to have more info and learn.
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/16/2012 4:44:14 PM
I wouldn't make a play against the Jays right now as there's not really any way they can be undervalued. The public hates them and everyone knows what's going on. Liriano on the road -1.5, fk man gl.


It's like the stockmarket, and I just feel for the time being the Jays are undervalued.
BentleySports PM BentleySports
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Posted: 8/16/2012 5:08:07 PM
Good Luck Today
sabia PM sabia
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Posted: 8/16/2012 5:09:46 PM
figgity07 PM figgity07
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Posted: 8/16/2012 7:58:51 PM
Cws are terrible they never come to play on o
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figgity07 PM figgity07
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Posted: 8/16/2012 7:59:15 PM
Pretty pissed I invested in them
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CoverLane PM CoverLane
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Posted: 8/16/2012 9:42:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by figgity07:

Cws are terrible they never come to play on o

7 runs not good enough for you Jersey boy??
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/16/2012 10:00:45 PM
BOTTOM LINE
White Sox, 3-2, +105 and 7-2, +125

bullmoose PM bullmoose
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Posted: 8/16/2012 10:45:03 PM
nice call on cws- sd no help on ur over- gl with tb
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/17/2012 12:29:04 AM
Gentlemen I think the Rays are safe enough, I'm tired, I'm going to bed, BOL
Good night
MGD PM MGD
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Posted: 8/17/2012 4:38:47 AM
Great work Key!!
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