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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Money Ball, Thursday, 8-16-2012
KeyElement	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 7294 Location: Arizona	#1 Posted: 8/16/2012 11:16:43 AM 5-2, +252 Wednesday has the week back on a very nice pace of 9-7, +286. 5 Inning Plays White Sox -.5, +105 (Liriano / Laffey) Unlike earlier in the season Liriano has been bouncing back with outstanding performances after his lesser ones. I look for the same today against a Blue Jays outfit that has won just 5 of their last 15 vs lefty starters and established a median offensive era of 4.33 per 9. The White Sox counter that with 10 wins in their last 15 vs lefty with a median offensive era of 6.78 per 9. Those are some huge offensive margins when you have the higher probability starter on the hill. 9 Inning Plays White Sox -1.5, +125 (Liriano / Laffey) Padres-Braves Over 8, -110, (Marquis / Medlen) Rays -117 (Price / Haren) *BOL* All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at 5 Dimes or BetOnline as I type the plays 5 Inning YTD: 81-92-19, -391 9 Inning YTD: 148-138, +3,099 NET. +2,708 (+5.90 % RoR)
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glenndef62	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: BetDSI \|
Captain Joined: Jun 2008 Posts: 7498 Location: Massachusetts	#2 Posted: 8/16/2012 2:54:57 PM Nice cappin, Key !!!......................
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MIKECOUU78	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 7471 Location: France	#3 Posted: 8/16/2012 3:02:34 PM good luck what's your reasoning on this Rays play ?
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KeyElement	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 7294 Location: Arizona	#4 Posted: 8/16/2012 3:13:58 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by MIKECOUU78: good luck what's your reasoning on this Rays play ? Price vs Haren? The Rays were the victim of a perfect game yesterday. Today's assassin could be Price. One of the things about Felix gem yesterday was that actually the Rays have been hitting very well lately, he wasn't shooting a lame duck, and who better to bounce back against than Haren?
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andreagassi6969	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Nov 2006 Posts: 20265 Location: Nevada	#5 Posted: 8/16/2012 3:15:02 PM
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MIKECOUU78	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Aug 2011 Posts: 7471 Location: France	#6 Posted: 8/16/2012 3:24:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by KeyElement: Price vs Haren? The Rays were the victim of a perfect game yesterday. Today's assassin could be Price. One of the things about Felix gem yesterday was that actually the Rays have been hitting very well lately, he wasn't shooting a lame duck, and who better to bounce back against than Haren? seen from this angle, it is certain that the Rays are the better play, but at really think the Halos are a streaky team and they right back to hitting well.. So I think they will win this game behind a solid outing from Haren. Anyway I respect your play and I wish you best of luck
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dermluvsbobo	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2012 Posts: 27 Location:	#7 Posted: 8/16/2012 3:32:50 PM love the rays tonight key.
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backdooor_cover	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 5607 Location: Hawaii	#8 Posted: 8/16/2012 3:51:50 PM First 5: Dodgers Phillies Marlins NFL: Browns +3 Atlanta over 37.5
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JEG53	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Stations \|
Hall of Fame Joined: Jul 2007 Posts: 20325 Location: Afghanistan	#9 Posted: 8/16/2012 3:51:57 PM Also looking at Rays tonight, GL today Key,back to work after 3 days off,
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cjm2008	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3796 Location: Ohio	#10 Posted: 8/16/2012 4:24:30 PM GL today. Have the White Sox/Jays Over
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Donnie_Baseball	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 1937 Location: California	#11 Posted: 8/16/2012 4:31:23 PM White Sox seem square as can be. I know that doesn't produce a winner, but why do you like them besides a small sample size 5-10 for Blue Jays vs lefties, median offense in the same sample, and you're using the same sample to say the White Sox are hot vs lefties. I question the betting strategy, especially when you have to pay big juice on Liriano on the road. You do realize you had to pay -125 on the White Sox if you got a good line, and you posted +125
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Donnie_Baseball	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 1937 Location: California	#12 Posted: 8/16/2012 4:32:12 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball: White Sox seem square as can be. I know that doesn't produce a winner, but why do you like them besides a small sample size 5-10 for Blue Jays vs lefties, median offense in the same sample, and you're using the same sample to say the White Sox are hot vs lefties. I question the betting strategy, especially when you have to pay big juice on Liriano on the road. You do realize you had to pay -125 on the White Sox if you got a good line, and you posted +125 realized it was rl right after I posted. still would like more reasoning than just these trends if you have it. the only reason i ask is because i am leaning blue jays myself and always love to have more info and learn.
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Donnie_Baseball	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 1937 Location: California	#13 Posted: 8/16/2012 4:44:14 PM I wouldn't make a play against the Jays right now as there's not really any way they can be undervalued. The public hates them and everyone knows what's going on. Liriano on the road -1.5, fk man gl. It's like the stockmarket, and I just feel for the time being the Jays are undervalued.
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BentleySports	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Las Vegas Hotel and Casino \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 1416 Location: Virginia	#14 Posted: 8/16/2012 5:08:07 PM Good Luck Today
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sabia	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: WagerWeb.com \|
All-Star Joined: Aug 2008 Posts: 10337 Location: Mexico	#15 Posted: 8/16/2012 5:09:46 PM
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figgity07	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 2234 Location: New Jersey	#16 Posted: 8/16/2012 7:58:51 PM Cws are terrible they never come to play on o
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figgity07	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2008 Posts: 2234 Location: New Jersey	#17 Posted: 8/16/2012 7:59:15 PM Pretty pissed I invested in them
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CoverLane	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 6903 Location:	#18 Posted: 8/16/2012 9:42:18 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by figgity07: Cws are terrible they never come to play on o 7 runs not good enough for you Jersey boy??
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KeyElement	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 7294 Location: Arizona	#19 Posted: 8/16/2012 10:00:45 PM BOTTOM LINE White Sox, 3-2, +105 and 7-2, +125
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bullmoose	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 1411 Location:	#20 Posted: 8/16/2012 10:45:03 PM nice call on cws- sd no help on ur over- gl with tb
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KeyElement	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2007 Posts: 7294 Location: Arizona	#21 Posted: 8/17/2012 12:29:04 AM Gentlemen I think the Rays are safe enough, I'm tired, I'm going to bed, BOL Good night
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MGD	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Aug 2010 Posts: 1360 Location: Nevada	#22 Posted: 8/17/2012 4:38:47 AM Great work Key!!
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