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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Friday Night - MLB
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#1 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:17:47 PM '10-11 NBA: 90-67 (57.3%) +19.90u '10-11 NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u '10-11 NCAAB: 8-1 (88.9%) +7.90u '10-11 NHL-P: 11-4 (73.3%) +7.00u '10-11 MLB: 97-66 (59.8%) +31.61u '10-11 MLB-P: 9-3 (75.0%) +9.22u '11-12 NCAAF: 16-21 (43.2%) -7.40u '11-12 NCAAF-P: 9-6 (60.0%) +1.65u '11-12 NFL: 42-35 (54.5%) +5.05u '11-12 NFL-P: 5-5 (50.0%) -0.40u '11-12 NCAAB: 9-3 (75.0%) +5.70u '11-12 NCAAB-P: 5-3 (62.5%) +1.60u '11-12 NBA: 77-80 (49.0%) -13.28u '11-12 NBA-P: 23-20 (53.2%) +2.30u '11-12 NHL-P: 2-1 (66.6%) +1.10u '11-12 MLB: 81-53-4 (60.4%) +21.48u First 5 Innings - Oakland Athletics (+105) First 5 Innings - New York Mets (+110) 7:05 EST - San Diego Padres (+138)
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BJaRz	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 2409 Location: New York	#2 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:20:30 PM
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RKapper	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2009 Posts: 6544 Location: New Jersey	#3 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:21:47 PM I like A's as well and good value on the Padres. BOL.
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SJSharks99	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2008 Posts: 9037 Location: California	#4 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:21:52 PM bol
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keepitstrict	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
All-Star Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 11113 Location: Ontario	#5 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:25:17 PM
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#6 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:25:25 PM I'd like to find a way to work the Dodgers and the Yankees into my card. Maybe an action parlay is in order. Pays +180 with both teams on the ML. I love the Dodger line-up verus Buhrle, I think they light him up. They've had success against him in the past and they have 8 righties with a lot of power in there. Burhle also ranks in the bottom 30 pitchers over the last 30 days. Miami sitting their hottest hitter after failing to continue his hit streak yesterday afternoon doesn't hurt either. And here are my thoughts on the Yankee game from my breakdown sheets thread: Romero's last two outings were against bottom-tier offenses so I don't put much stock in his recent success. This season he's seen 5 offenses that I rank in the top 10 overall (including the Yankees once already). In those games he has an ERA almost at 9 and is averaging almost 2 hits per inning! He also has almost twice as many walks as strikeouts (10 K / 18 BB). This guy simply can't fool good offenses. Obviously the Yankees are one of those teams. The Blue Jays are missing a number of key offensive players - so their O-probability is way down from their season averages. This also means that most of the Blue Jays that have had success against Garcia (including all 5 of the home runs he's given up to Jays hitters) are not playing today. Unfamiliarity factor in Garcia's favor. Yankees also have a much better bullpen. Yankees ML are a very strong lean of mine.. no take on the total though, the line looks pretty fair and it's hard to say how many the Jays will muster today.
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Tone10	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2010 Posts: 4929 Location:	#7 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:27:46 PM Very good to see you on the Mets... let's hope we both cash. BOL tonight bud.
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Albertcore	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 8932 Location:	#8 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:28:13 PM Good luck tonight
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Trader4	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Stations \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2003 Posts: 637 Location: Nevada	#9 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:29:33 PM Nice little situational trend comes into play on LAD: Away favs off series loss 1st game of series current year: 33-14 (70%) Avg win by 3.8 runs Above and facing non div team: 18-6 (75%) Avg win by 4.0 runs Both of the above and facing lefty: 8-1 (89%) Avg win by 5.2 runs
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9289 Location: Virginia	#10 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:31:16 PM GL tonight Silly
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tinfoils	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jun 2002 Posts: 34949 Location:	#11 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:33:12 PM Good luck si1ly!
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#12 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:33:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Trader4: Nice little situational trend comes into play on LAD: Away favs off series loss 1st game of series current year: 33-14 (70%) Avg win by 3.8 runs Above and facing non div team: 18-6 (75%) Avg win by 4.0 runs Both of the above and facing lefty: 8-1 (89%) Avg win by 5.2 runs Good stuff. Thanks for sharing!
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#13 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:37:28 PM I'm going to juice up my card a little bit...
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#14 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:40:56 PM * Added Play * 7:10 EST - Los Angeles Dodgers (-155)
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eyemtlaw	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 1266 Location: California	#15 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:51:36 PM How about that action par?
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brent0887	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2009 Posts: 17099 Location: New Hampshire	#16 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:52:30 PM GL
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438	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2008 Posts: 343 Location:	#17 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:54:10 PM hey silly you like boston tonight thinking of going big on them tonight
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ManassaMauler	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 56986 Location: New York	#18 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:54:52 PM bol
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Jmt908	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2009 Posts: 2103 Location: Maryland	#19 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:55:28 PM not feeling the mets under i see...
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#20 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:55:31 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw: How about that action par? Something doesn't seem right about the Yankee line. Lot of one sided action on the Yankees but the line isn't budging. I thought about playing both NYY and LAD, but I didn't want to risk splitting and losing the juice. I'm just going to play the Dodgers (posted above^) and sit the Yankee game out entirely. I may be giving away an easy unit, but it's a long season and I trust my gut sometimes. Hind sight is always 20/20, I don't mind passing up on something because I have a bad feeling.. plenty of games out there that look good on paper and feel good in the gut.. this just ain't one of them.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#21 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:57:01 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Jmt908: not feeling the mets under i see... Weather, Mets bullpen, Mets line-up, Maholm's splits on the road and against righties were enough reasons to keep me off the total and put me on the Mets first 5 instead.
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tuck321	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Feb 2002 Posts: 13257 Location:	#22 Posted: 8/10/2012 5:58:20 PM Like the Padres
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#23 Posted: 8/10/2012 6:00:21 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by 438: hey silly you like boston tonight thinking of going big on them tonight From what I know about Seddon (not much to be honest), he might as well be throwing underhand. I would think the Sox could tee off on him tonight. But with that said, Clay has been dog garbage this year and the Red Sox have no qualms under-performing night-in and night-out. Plus the Indians have a line-up stacked with lefties and can probably do some offensive damage themselves. Slight lean to Boston, but definitely not a game or price that you should be going "big" on.
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LEBRONNN	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2010 Posts: 1367 Location:	#24 Posted: 8/10/2012 6:00:30 PM These are my plays tonight: Mets ml and +1.5...Cardinals ml and +1.5...Royals ml and +1.5...White Sox ml...Twins ml and +1.5...and Angels ml
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eyemtlaw	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 1266 Location: California	#25 Posted: 8/10/2012 6:00:46 PM I did a small parlay for fun on the Sdp, Oak, and mets first 5. A jamba juice wager to win a nice dinner!!
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