I'd like to find a way to work the Dodgers and the Yankees into my card. Maybe an action parlay is in order. Pays +180 with both teams on the ML. I love the Dodger line-up verus Buhrle, I think they light him up. They've had success against him in the past and they have 8 righties with a lot of power in there. Burhle also ranks in the bottom 30 pitchers over the last 30 days. Miami sitting their hottest hitter after failing to continue his hit streak yesterday afternoon doesn't hurt either. And here are my thoughts on the Yankee game from my breakdown sheets thread: Romero's last two outings were against bottom-tier offenses so I don't put much stock in his recent success. This season he's seen 5 offenses that I rank in the top 10 overall (including the Yankees once already). In those games he has an ERA almost at 9 and is averaging almost 2 hits per inning! He also has almost twice as many walks as strikeouts (10 K / 18 BB). This guy simply can't fool good offenses. Obviously the Yankees are one of those teams. The Blue Jays are missing a number of key offensive players - so their O-probability is way down from their season averages. This also means that most of the Blue Jays that have had success against Garcia (including all 5 of the home runs he's given up to Jays hitters) are not playing today. Unfamiliarity factor in Garcia's favor. Yankees also have a much better bullpen. Yankees ML are a very strong lean of mine.. no take on the total though, the line looks pretty fair and it's hard to say how many the Jays will muster today.
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I'd like to find a way to work the Dodgers and the Yankees into my card. Maybe an action parlay is in order. Pays +180 with both teams on the ML. I love the Dodger line-up verus Buhrle, I think they light him up. They've had success against him in the past and they have 8 righties with a lot of power in there. Burhle also ranks in the bottom 30 pitchers over the last 30 days. Miami sitting their hottest hitter after failing to continue his hit streak yesterday afternoon doesn't hurt either. And here are my thoughts on the Yankee game from my breakdown sheets thread: Romero's last two outings were against bottom-tier offenses so I don't put much stock in his recent success. This season he's seen 5 offenses that I rank in the top 10 overall (including the Yankees once already). In those games he has an ERA almost at 9 and is averaging almost 2 hits per inning! He also has almost twice as many walks as strikeouts (10 K / 18 BB). This guy simply can't fool good offenses. Obviously the Yankees are one of those teams. The Blue Jays are missing a number of key offensive players - so their O-probability is way down from their season averages. This also means that most of the Blue Jays that have had success against Garcia (including all 5 of the home runs he's given up to Jays hitters) are not playing today. Unfamiliarity factor in Garcia's favor. Yankees also have a much better bullpen. Yankees ML are a very strong lean of mine.. no take on the total though, the line looks pretty fair and it's hard to say how many the Jays will muster today.
Something doesn't seem right about the Yankee line. Lot of one sided action on the Yankees but the line isn't budging. I thought about playing both NYY and LAD, but I didn't want to risk splitting and losing the juice. I'm just going to play the Dodgers (posted above^) and sit the Yankee game out entirely. I may be giving away an easy unit, but it's a long season and I trust my gut sometimes. Hind sight is always 20/20, I don't mind passing up on something because I have a bad feeling.. plenty of games out there that look good on paper and feel good in the gut.. this just ain't one of them.
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Quote Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:
How about that action par?
Something doesn't seem right about the Yankee line. Lot of one sided action on the Yankees but the line isn't budging. I thought about playing both NYY and LAD, but I didn't want to risk splitting and losing the juice. I'm just going to play the Dodgers (posted above^) and sit the Yankee game out entirely. I may be giving away an easy unit, but it's a long season and I trust my gut sometimes. Hind sight is always 20/20, I don't mind passing up on something because I have a bad feeling.. plenty of games out there that look good on paper and feel good in the gut.. this just ain't one of them.
Weather, Mets bullpen, Mets line-up, Maholm's splits on the road and against righties were enough reasons to keep me off the total and put me on the Mets first 5 instead.
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Quote Originally Posted by Jmt908:
not feeling the mets under i see...
Weather, Mets bullpen, Mets line-up, Maholm's splits on the road and against righties were enough reasons to keep me off the total and put me on the Mets first 5 instead.
hey silly you like boston tonight thinking of going big on them tonight
From what I know about Seddon (not much to be honest), he might as well be throwing underhand. I would think the Sox could tee off on him tonight. But with that said, Clay has been dog shit this year and the Red Sox have no qualms under-performing night-in and night-out. Plus the Indians have a line-up stacked with lefties and can probably do some offensive damage themselves. Slight lean to Boston, but definitely not a game or price that you should be going "big" on.
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Quote Originally Posted by 438:
hey silly you like boston tonight thinking of going big on them tonight
From what I know about Seddon (not much to be honest), he might as well be throwing underhand. I would think the Sox could tee off on him tonight. But with that said, Clay has been dog shit this year and the Red Sox have no qualms under-performing night-in and night-out. Plus the Indians have a line-up stacked with lefties and can probably do some offensive damage themselves. Slight lean to Boston, but definitely not a game or price that you should be going "big" on.
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