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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 7:05 EST - Arizona Diamondbacks @ Philadelphia Phillies
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:25:07 PM
'10-11 NBA:  90-67  (57.3%)  +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P:  30-16  (65.2%)  +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB:  8-1  (88.9%)  +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P:  11-4  (73.3%)  +7.00u
'10-11 MLB:  97-66  (59.8%)  +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P:  9-3  (75.0%)  +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF:  16-21  (43.2%)  -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P:  9-6  (60.0%)  +1.65u
'11-12 NFL:  42-35  (54.5%)  +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P:  5-5  (50.0%)  -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB:  9-3  (75.0%)  +5.70u
'11-12 NCAAB-P:  5-3  (62.5%)  +1.60u
'11-12 NBA:  77-80  (49.0%)  -13.28u
'11-12 NBA-P:  23-20  (53.2%)  +2.30u
'11-12 NHL-P:  2-1  (66.6%)  +1.10u

'11-12 MLB:  76-46-4 (62.3%)  +24.18u 


7:05 EST - Arizona Diamondbacks (+125)

In the last 30 days Saunders has improved his numbers to a 8.0 K/9, 3.3 K/BB, opponents are hitting .225 off him and he has a SIERA and xFIP of 3.6.  These are very solid for a starting pitcher.  He's also one of the leagues best against lefties.  Well the Phillies line-up has been decimated and the only three names they're really left with are Howard, Utley and Rollins.  Howard and Utley are both lefties and Rollins as a switch hitter is barely hitting above .200 as a righty facing a lefty.  It's going to be very difficult for the Phillies to score today.  Halladay seems disinterested and that's probably because he has nothing to pitch for.  At this point in his career, he's looking for a world series ring.  Since the Phillies won't take him there this year, I don't think you'll see Doc reach 100% in any start for the rest of the season.  Quite simply, I don't think he cares to.  He'll save his body and his mind for another year.  The D-Backs have a much higher offensive probability (#19 ; #24), a stronger bullpen (#6 ; #17), and they're even better defensively (#6 ; #17).  Diamondbacks look like the best dog on the board.  Don't get suckered into the low line on Halladay at home because that's exactly what that bet is, a sucker bet.
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#2
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:28:17 PM
Love to see you on them Sil1y, probably stupid of me but I am playing AZ RRL @ +180 as well!  GL buddy!
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#3
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:30:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MGD:

Love to see you on them Sil1y, probably stupid of me but I am playing AZ RRL @ +180 as well!  GL buddy!

Naw I like it.  I love this play in fact.
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#4
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:31:01 PM
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#5
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:31:10 PM

gl, nice work
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#6
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:36:22 PM
Let's try and get back to that winning streak
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#7
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:36:46 PM
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#8
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:37:40 PM
BOL silly 
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#9
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:39:01 PM
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#10
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:41:34 PM
Hey S1lly, 

What do you think about the giants vs colorado?...  If u had to lean to one of them 
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#11
Posted: 8/4/2012 3:44:22 PM
your 100% right si1ly, with no Victorino, Pence, and no Riuz/Polanco because of injuries, this team is not the Phillies... especially with Howard hitting below .200
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#12
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:22:50 PM
Good luck today Mr. si1ly 
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#13
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:24:22 PM
wow -300 on Kershaw. I do not think I have seen that before


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#14
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:25:49 PM
the over in the Angels game seems appealing - any thoughts?

10
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#15
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:37:33 PM

What do u think about Wash tonight ? The other game is the White Sox & the over. Their has never been a total at 10.5 in this series, since 9-5-2008 , just one time a total of 10 was the highest in last 35 games. Sox won that game 9-2. I was thinking of playing the over before the 1st game yesterday. Looking at both pitchers stats last 3 games. Also, from a wagering stanpoint, Sox look better. Any thoughts on this game?

 

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#16
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:42:51 PM
Sil


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#17
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:45:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jabz90:

Hey S1lly, 

What do you think about the giants vs colorado?...  If u had to lean to one of them 

Colorado.  They have solid line value.
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#18
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:46:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:

the over in the Angels game seems appealing - any thoughts?

10

Yeah, I like the over.  I'm not going to play it myself because 11 runs is a lot to ask for in a given game, but all signs point to the over being the right play.
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#19
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:48:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RLeith35:

What do u think about Wash tonight ? The other game is the White Sox & the over. Their has never been a total at 10.5 in this series, since 9-5-2008 , just one time a total of 10 was the highest in last 35 games. Sox won that game 9-2. I was thinking of playing the over before the 1st game yesterday. Looking at both pitchers stats last 3 games. Also, from a wagering stanpoint, Sox look better. Any thoughts on this game?

 


Washington looks like fair value, although I do think they win, in my opinion the juice at -170 isn't quite worth the squeeze.  They're definitely prime for an action parlay with another heavy favorite to get an even or plus money resultant.
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#20
Posted: 8/4/2012 4:48:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:

wow -300 on Kershaw. I do not think I have seen that before



CC used to get those lines against Baltimore, but yeah, -300 doesn't come around more than a few times in a season.  Dodgers or nothing, and obviously at that price it's nothing.
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#21
Posted: 8/4/2012 5:08:02 PM
like the zona play...unfortunately lol. It's hard for me to watch the phillies these days but how can I complain after what they did the past several years BOL hope it hits for you
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#22
Posted: 8/4/2012 5:20:11 PM

BOL MASTER si1ly...as always I'm on board!!!

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#23
Posted: 8/4/2012 5:37:47 PM
I'm a Snakes fan tonight......thanks, Sir Si1ly!  
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#24
Posted: 8/4/2012 5:37:57 PM
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#25
Posted: 8/4/2012 5:56:42 PM
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