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[MLB Betting] Topic: SJSharks - Saturday Bases |
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SJSharks99 |
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#1 Posted: 8/4/2012 5:12:47 AM
32-21 Last 53 (60%) 
Season: 129-131-3
ML: 72-72
RL: 18-12
Totals: 28-34-2
Props: 11-13-1
Saturday Bases
Yankees/Mariners U 8 (-104): I know I told myself I would lay off totals for a while and so far I have. But this one is calling my name big time and it has lot to do with the fact it's a day game. The Yankees Kuroda has not allowed a single run during day starts all year. Let me repeat that Kuroda has a 0.00 era during 4 day starts (4-0), he has pitched 30 innings during the day without surrendering a run. On the year he has a 2.63 home era, and he has a 1.23 era in his last 3 outings. Kuroda also had a strong 7 inning, 1 run, 3 hit performance vs the Mariners a couple weeks ago. His counterpart is Felix Hernandez whose daytime numbers aren't too shabby at all either, he has a 2.53 era in those starts. He has pitched well lately with a 2.20 era in his last 3 outings. He held the Yankees in check with a 7 inning, 2 run, 4 hit in a victory vs them a couple weeks ago in Seattle. The under is 78% in Kuroda last 14 starts. Both of these 2 pitchers are very capable of shutting each other down. There is probably a pretty fair chance the Mariners get shut out in this game, meanwhile the Yankees should be held to 3-4 runs. This game should definitely stay under the 8 total, with at least one of these two teams being held in check. The Mariners rank dead last in the MLB vs right handed pitching. I expect a pitchers dual in this one with both starting pitchers going deep into this ballgame. We shouldn't need to worry about any late inning bullpen collapses either with both teams ranking in the top 5.
Braves RL (+100): The Braves are simply on fire lately and they have a lethal combination that's working for them. Outstanding pitching and clutch hitting from most of there line up. It's a recipe for disaster for the leagues worst the Astros. If Friday was a tough game for them, Saturday's might only be even tougher. The Braves will be sending one of the hottest pitchers in all of baseball to the hill to make his braves debut. Paul Malholm has not allowed more then 1 run in 7 straight contests (7-0). His era in his last 3 outings is a 1.29. In addition to absolutely dominating lately, he is also a south paw and will be facing the leagues #30 rank team against lefties. The Astros will attempt to slow down the red hot Braves with their young pitcher Lucas Harrell. This kid has good stuff and I even backed him last week when he beat McDonald and the Pirates. However he has a huge discrepancy when it comes to his Home/Away splits. This young rookie tends to struggle on the road with a 2-6 record to go with a 5.71 era. He has allowed 5 runs or more in every road start expect for 2. Those 2 starts that he didn't allow 5 or more runs came in 2 pitchers parks (San Fran/San Diego) and also featured a Giants team who were ice cold at the plate and a Padres team who always struggles to score. Something to also keep in mind as this season carries on for this young pitcher, is his risking pitch count. He has gone over the century mark in 7 of his last 8, and is 2 starts removed from his career high of 121. He will be faced with a very tall task in shutting down a Braves team who is hitting .306 in there last 5 games vs righties and are ranked #9 on the year. The Braves will also benefit from the #1 ranked bullpen, which is always very nice to have on your side when your trying to protect a run line lead. The Braves improved to 8-1 in there last 9 and 6 of those wins they covered the RL for a nice 75%. Look for this red hot team to get an early lead, Malholm to have a strong outing and Kimbrel to shut the door for a nice RL cover on Saturday.
The rest of Saturday's card looks like complete dog garbage, with ridiculous juice, low totals and tough games. I may add something later, but there is a very good chance these will be my only 2 plays for the day.
Best of luck!!!
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SJSharks99 |
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#2 Posted: 8/4/2012 5:15:54 AM 
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potvin |
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#3 Posted: 8/4/2012 5:56:56 AM  |
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tinfoils |
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#4 Posted: 8/4/2012 6:00:31 AM Good luck SJS!  |
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SJSharks99 |
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#5 Posted: 8/4/2012 6:00:38 AM
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SJSharks99 |
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#6 Posted: 8/4/2012 6:00:59 AM
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alien11 |
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#7 Posted: 8/4/2012 6:27:32 AM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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Jeeves |
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#8 Posted: 8/4/2012 7:54:42 AM 
GL today - love the Braves pick
Cheers
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dcgmt |
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#9 Posted: 8/4/2012 8:07:22 AM  |
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#10 Posted: 8/4/2012 9:30:48 AM |
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Mkuhi |
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#11 Posted: 8/4/2012 9:56:01 AM SJS this is gonna sound like a degenerate, but I am one so what am I saying...I couldn't sleep just dreaming about under 8 in this yanks game. Its friggin hot as garbage in the tri-state area today, but I've seen Kuroda be a gangsta in the heat against the White Sox. Bottom line is my book has juiced the over to 120 today and when those sneaky person do that something is usually up. You are the only covers member I've been following lately and usually when we agree (last time Reds run line with Cueto couple days ago) things go well. Anywho I got $350 on the Under so I'm praying for a good pitching matchup. King Felix keeps a not fully healthy Yanks lineup in check and Kuroda sticks to his guns. I'm hoping for a 4-2 ending in this one. GOOD LUCK!!
o yeh f the mets they  when I bet on them, they are my team and I don't think I can bet on them again this season, to hit or miss |
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#12 Posted: 8/4/2012 9:57:20 AM
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#13 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:01:59 AM |
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#14 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:03:29 AM Shark,
Very impressive work, love your write-ups. Good luck today brother. |
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#15 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:05:31 AM |
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#16 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:18:05 AM |
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#17 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:20:47 AM  |
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#18 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:23:26 AM |
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#19 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:23:29 AM |
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#20 Posted: 8/4/2012 10:40:03 AM |
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#21 Posted: 8/4/2012 11:44:16 AM
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#22 Posted: 8/4/2012 11:52:12 AM
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#23 Posted: 8/4/2012 11:52:21 AM
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#24 Posted: 8/4/2012 11:52:33 AM
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#25 Posted: 8/4/2012 12:03:14 PM
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