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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: GiLz Thread'ers ((Mon. 7/30))
GiLmo574 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Hard Rock |
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#1
Posted: 7/30/2012 12:55:01 AM

  =  *YTD*  @  +81.62 unit$



Had one of the best days all year yesterday... went 5-1 collecting +19.36 unit$ overall.  Only loser was the Red Sox not scoring 4 or more, but they did win the ball game and had 'em on the moneyline  -  just a great day overall.  Big relief.  Which is great because the day prior, I garbage the bed.  Up over +80 unit$ for the first time all year.  Hope we keep rockin', Thread'ers...





Moving on to the new week...





CURRENT CARD:    (Mon. 7/30)

 Reds -1 @ -120  =  [4U]

> Fade Train Operator of Edison Volquez coming off a Quality Start...



 Marlins
ML @ +135  =  [4U]

>
Fade Train Operator of the Monday Braves... just like the Sunday Rockies.



 Mets
ML @ +185  =  [2U]

> Fade Train Operator of the Giants watching the Dodgers run away with the division.  I think the Giants will have trouble -vs- the Mets the whole 4 game series.  They are lucky they'll be facing Jonathan Sanchez come Friday @ Coors Field.



 Brewers/Astros *OVER
8.5* @ +105  =  [2U]

> Fade Train Operator of Bum Norris off a Quality Start + Michael Estrada is a handy dandy OVER pitcher.  Estrada last 12 starts, 9 have gone OVER.  Dating back to last year, the OVER is 8-2 after Bum pitches a Quality Start.  I'd take the Brewers RL but I don't want to get greedy.  I am thrilled to get this OVER @ +105.





B
est of Luck today, Thread'ers.    






I will be LARGE on the OAK/TB *UNDER* on the Night Capper  -  but won't be locking anything in until an hour before game time.  The A's will not be hitting Price tomorrow and the Rays bats aren't hitting at all, really  +  AJ Griffin is a special, special talent.
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#2
Posted: 7/30/2012 12:58:59 AM
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#3
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:13:43 AM

CURRENT CARD:    (Mon. 7/30)

 Reds -1 @ -120  =  [4U]

 Marlins
ML @ +135  =  [4U]

 Mets
ML @ +185  =  [2U]

 Brewers/Astros *OVER
8.5* @ +105  =  [2U]

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#4
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:22:28 AM
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#5
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:24:49 AM
I like a couple of those , Gilmo  
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#6
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:46:15 AM
Love the Mets pick.  I had them circled at +1.5 but you might convince me to grow a pair.

BOL


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#7
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:48:26 AM
be careful on the Mets...

Bumgarner has a 1.89 era at home this year
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#8
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:49:07 AM
AMDiesel

SJ

CY

Pasteur



@ Pasteur = that's funny cuz I was going to play the +RL, but I decided to grow a pair. Giants are funking right now. And like I said, I expect them to struggle -vs- the scrappy, road tough, Metropolitans. I'm a sucker for Mets facing Lefties on the road @ some good +value.
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#9
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:51:00 AM
@ SJ = yes. True. But no freaking way they should he favored like that after getting swept @ home by the Dodgers. Mets is the play. I like the OVER, too, but the Giants aren't hitting @ the moment.


I wonder where that box dogunder is...

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#10
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:53:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GiLmo574:

@ SJ = yes. True. But no freaking way they should he favored like that after getting swept @ home by the Dodgers. Mets is the play. I like the OVER, too, but the Giants aren't hitting @ the moment.


I wonder where that box dogunder is...




I agree the line is definitely based more on Bumgarners home success rather then an indicator of recent play. The Giants are definitely in a funk and missing Sandoval really hurts us. I would be very surprised if we don't make a move tomorrow or tuesday before the deadline.
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#11
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:55:36 AM
people usually hide when the tides are rough and then pop out of nowhere when the storm has calmed.. lol
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#12
Posted: 7/30/2012 1:57:46 AM
gl with mets 
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#13
Posted: 7/30/2012 2:36:16 AM

Wow.  You cleaned friggin house yesterday.  Thread'ers stock went up 30% in one day.  You know your garbage man.  I like your thinking for tonight (besides Mets), but you always suprise me.  So Mets may actually win. 

GL

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#14
Posted: 7/30/2012 2:41:42 AM
keep it rollin G-MO 
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#15
Posted: 7/30/2012 7:41:19 AM
BOL buddy
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#16
Posted: 7/30/2012 7:51:17 AM

like the Marlins and Over Astros plays....on my short list.

gL

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#17
Posted: 7/30/2012 9:53:39 AM
The Brewers bullpen alone might get you the over.
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#18
Posted: 7/30/2012 10:06:29 AM
Great job GiL, you deserve one of these 

I do have a question for you.  I understand playing the -1 gives you a chance to push, but do you think in the long run you might be giving up too much $?  I say this because you are turning a +$ wager (if you played -1.5) into -$ wager (by playing -1).  
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#19
Posted: 7/30/2012 10:20:39 AM

reds runnin and gunnin

Gilz

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#20
Posted: 7/30/2012 10:28:39 AM
has sf had any success against left handed pitchers?
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#21
Posted: 7/30/2012 10:44:21 AM
good luck gil!
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#22
Posted: 7/30/2012 11:34:46 AM

Marlins

I gotta feeling you and I may be the only ones on them. That's never a bad thing. BOL today Gil.

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#23
Posted: 7/30/2012 11:35:29 AM
@ Nate = This is a trial and run thing I'm doing with the -1 wagers. I was getting screwed on the RL and wanted to try this method. So far it's working to my advantage. I'm still profiting off it. Not as much as a +RL, but still gaining. In the long run it's a bit safe and less stress and I coming out of pocket to by a new phone or laptop may be cost effective for breaking one of them for Defensive Indifference, friggin over my +RL selection. In this case, I push, and only kick one of my cats. They're tough pussies.


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#24
Posted: 7/30/2012 11:52:56 AM
Good Luck GiL. 
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#25
Posted: 7/30/2012 11:54:08 AM
The line on Buehrle stuck out like a soar thumb. GL Gil
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