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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SJSharks - Sunday Bases
SJSharks99 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
SJSharks99
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#1
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:36:42 AM
Saturday: 2-2, After starting the day off missing with the Cards and Tigers, I was very happy to get the split on the day with the Nats and Reds coming through. I was able to squeak out a small profit thanks to my bigger bet on the Nats coming through.


This Week
: 18-10, hoping to finish this profitable week on a strong note


Season
: 116-120-3
ML: 65-65
RL: 14-11
Totals: 27-31-2
Props: 10-14-1

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#2
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:36:52 AM
Sunday Picks

Braves/Phillies O7.5 (-110): At first glance Tim Hudson vs. Roy Halladay on paper might seem like a good stab on an under play. But this is 2012 and so far neither one has been the dominating pitcher they once were. Hudson has been ok but nothing special, meanwhile Halladay is still searching for his game since his return from a long DL Stint. Entering this contest Hudson has a respectable 9-4 record to go with a 3.71 era, but he has struggled in home starts this year with an era in the 5s. The Phillies big bats have pretty good careers numbers vs. Hudson. Let's start with Ryan Howard, he is 19 for 55 .345 avg with 9 of those hits being XBH and 6 of those being homers, Hunter Pence is 5 for 15 .333 avg, Juan Pierre is 8 for 29 .292 avg. Carlos Ruiz is 7 for 30 .233 avg with a couple homers, but keep in mind the 2012 Carlos Ruiz is much better player. Hudson won't me bringing anything to the table that the Phillies haven't seen before. Meanwhile on the other side of the hill you have Roy Halladay. Since returning from his DL stint Hallday has allowed 8 runs in 11 innings of work. In an earlier start this season prior to his DL stint the Atlanta Braves had their way with Halladay tagging him for 8 runs on 12 hits and chasing him in the 5th. Those 12 hits came on just 27 total batters face, which is an outstanding .444 team batting average for the Braves. The Braves big bats also have good career numbers vs Halladay. Let's start with the ageless wonder Chipper Jones, he is 8-16 .500 avg with 5 XBH and a pair of homers, Brian McCann is 9-23 .391 avg with a homer, Dan Uggla is 10-28 .357 avg to go with 3 homers, Freddie Freeman is 4-14 .400 avg and it probably helps that the speedster Bourn has a .308 avg, he can get on base and set the table for big innings. These 2 teams have played under the total in the first two games, but look for the bats to come alive tomorrow in what should be a 5-4 type of game.


Nationals ML (-142) @ Brewers: What's not to like about this Nationals team. They have clutch hitting and a great pitching staff. On Sunday they will hand the rock over to Gio Gonzalez and he will look to improve on a solid an 8-2 3.09 era road record. The Nationals have had recent their struggles recently against right handed pitching but they will get the benefit of facing Mark Rogers. This guy is a reliever, who hasn't pitched in the big leagues for 2 years and he will be making his 1st ever start. That's quite the tall task for your 1st ever outing as a starter. In his 18 Triple A starts he was 6-6 with an era of 4.72. The Nationals are a very hot team and the Brewers are just 1-9 in their last 10. Despite struggling against righties, I think the Nationals will still be able to get to Rogers quick and often and will provide Gio with enough run support to take down the rubber match.


Astros ML +135 vs. Pirates: Yep, I said it. I am taking the Astros on Sunday and I am sure I will be one of the few people that do. The fact of the matter is they stand a very good chance at winning this game. I know everyone will be all over McDonald and continue the pure fade of the Astros. But before making that automatic fire on the Pirates, let's look into a few things. Let's start off with Mcdonald, he has been awful in his recent outings. He has an era of 8.62 in his last 3 starts. The 3 starts also came against 3 awful teams (Cubs, Rockies and Brewers). On the road this year he has an era of 4.65. This guy truly loves the home cooking and playing in front of his home fans. The Astros will be countering with their best pitcher (now that wandy is gone), in Lucas Harrell. This is a young pitcher with great stuff and he loves the home cooking too. Lucas is 5-1 with a 1.89 era at home this season, he is also getting better in his last 3 starts he has an era of 1.42. Both of these starters are right handed and the Astros are actually the better team against righties The Astros rank 19th compared to the Pirates who are ranked 26th. In the last 10 games vs Right handed pitching the Astros are batting .249 and the Pirates are batting .232. Let's face it, we all know how bad this Astros team is, but these guys are still professional athletes and have a big thing called pride to play for. The Astros have let a few games slip away in the late innings during this 13 game losing streak but they are on the verge of getting a win. Trust me, if I lose this bet you won't see me starting threads complaining about how bad this team is etc. I am going into this bet knowing, I am taking a shot with the league's worst, and if they play like it then so be it. I honestly feel like this is a good spot for them. All streaks eventually come to a stop, and I am taking a shot that it ends on Sunday... flame away!!



Reds/Rockies O 10.5 (-110): I am usually not a fan of double digit totals, and very rarely will you ever see me playing an over when the total in the 10s. But Sunday presents one of the rare times I just can't pass up. The Reds will be sending Mat Latos to the hill and he enters this contest with a 4.30 era, with a road era of 4.86. Recent outings haven't been that good for Latos tho, he has a 5.52 era in his last 3 starts. In his only start vs the Rockies this season he allowed 5 runs on 5 hits, ready for the crazy part... all 5 of those runs were via the long ball and 2 of those were from Cargo. The Rockies bats have good #s vs Latos and those numbers should only improve at the #1 hitters park Coors Field. Latos left his last start with an ankle injury and was questionable for this start. He is gonna pitch but you have to wonder if he is 100%. Dusty Baker would love to not have rely on his bullpen, because they were taxed in Saturdays contest due to Cueto's struggles. Dusty had to use 5 bullpen players to finish off the last 4 innings of Saturday's game. On the other side of the hill we have Johnathon Sanchez. As a Giants fan, I am very familiar with this guy. He is a very streaky pitcher, and very inconsistent with his command. He gets rattled very easily and any sign of struggling his confidence dwindles and it's gets ugly really fast. He hasn't had a quality start this entire season and you know it's bad when the Royals deal you for Guthrie in return. On the year Sanchez has a 1-7 record with an era in the 8s. He will be making his debut for the Rockies and unfortunately for him he is racing a red hot Reds team who have won 8 in a row and 17 of 19.  The Reds have seen Sanchez before when he was a member of the Giants and they have had success against him. Brandon Phillies is 3 for 11 but all 3 hits were home runs, Drew Stubbs is 4 for 7 and Scott Rolen is 4 for 8. If I had to pick a side in this game I would obviously take the Reds. But I feel much better about laying -110 on the over, then laying -164+ on the Reds. I feel the over will hit with relative easy, and I could care less who wins this game.


That's about it for me... Best of luck on Sunday - let's all end the week on a high note.
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#3
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:40:40 AM
liked all but then went  when i saw you backing the astro's lol
GL though 
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#4
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:44:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by timmow:

liked all but then went  when i saw you backing the astro's lol
GL though 


understandable... thank you
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#5
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:45:20 AM
i think houstons a good play, best of luck shark! 
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#6
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:45:25 AM
goodluck bro. racked up another nice day 21 units including a sweet 5 teamer for 9. Lets get em today!
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#7
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:46:38 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by potvin:

i think houstons a good play, best of luck shark! 


thanks potvin, bol 2 u tomorrow
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#8
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:47:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Aniki:

goodluck bro. racked up another nice day 21 units including a sweet 5 teamer for 9. Lets get em today!



thanks bro... sick day for you... stay hot!!!!
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#9
Posted: 7/29/2012 6:03:38 AM
I can't put my money on the Astros, but the fact their opposition is not on my card for the first time in about a week says something about what I think could happen.

BOL Sunday
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#10
Posted: 7/29/2012 6:05:29 AM
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#11
Posted: 7/29/2012 6:08:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by spidermonkey224:

I can't put my money on the Astros, but the fact their opposition is not on my card for the first time in about a week says something about what I think could happen.

BOL Sunday



trust me I don't blame you... bol on sunday bro
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#12
Posted: 7/29/2012 6:09:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ekrres:




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#13
Posted: 7/29/2012 6:39:12 AM
BOL buddy, keep cashing
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#14
Posted: 7/29/2012 6:41:57 AM
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#15
Posted: 7/29/2012 7:33:12 AM
thanks bro. Im rolling with the A's again and Atl again for the early ones
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#16
Posted: 7/29/2012 9:07:06 AM
Best of Luck Today....
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#17
Posted: 7/29/2012 9:19:45 AM
gl SJS 
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#18
Posted: 7/29/2012 9:23:34 AM
like em all, BOL to you!
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#19
Posted: 7/29/2012 9:43:45 AM
Love the Braves over. 
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#20
Posted: 7/29/2012 9:58:56 AM
Bol 
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#21
Posted: 7/29/2012 10:01:37 AM
Sharky

<<<<<< on all but one play
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#22
Posted: 7/29/2012 10:09:50 AM
BOL on the bases today SJSharks!! 
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#23
Posted: 7/29/2012 10:49:54 AM
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#24
Posted: 7/29/2012 10:50:29 AM

Good Luck

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#25
Posted: 7/29/2012 10:55:11 AM
friggin solid.
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