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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Monday's Miracle Madness
KeyElement
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#1
Posted: 7/16/2012 1:45:16 PM

That certainly was not a good weekend off the break at 6-7, -294, but it only makes me more intense and dedicated. All systems are still go, we just need the boys to throw the ball and hit the ball the way they should. Sounds simple enough doesn’t it? Best laid plans of mice and men, blah, blah, blah.

5 Inning POD

Indians +108 (McAllister / Cobb)  

Don’t tell the Indians they are not going to win the Central or go to the playoffs because they don’t know it yet and may take one of their productive bats to your head, which would do the bat very little harm but you can probably figure about what it would do to your head. If you can’t, your head probably is not worth having anyway. All that being said and set aside, the pitching matchup is very close and just comes down to who has the better evening. Obviously my money is on McAllister, since he faces a far less productive offense.

5 Inning Over

Angels-Tigers Over 5.5, -105 (Santana / Porcello)

Neither one of these guys is likely to make it 5 innings and the offenses should be good for 6 or more when either one or both exits the game. This is easily the most offensive oriented game of the night and should be rock and roll right from the outset.

Full Game Plays

Diamondbacks-Reds Under 8.5, +100 (Miley / Arroyo)

The betting world is stunned and holding its collective breath waiting for the explosion from the D-backs but frankly folks I will have to see it to believe it. Only 3 runs over the weekend at the Cubs (I gave you 2 unders and a Reds win), one of which scored on a double play the Reds turned and the other 2 were scored at meaningless times after the game was essentially over. The Reds will also struggle versus Miley, one of very few bright spots in the season for the Diamondbacks and at this point, probably their most likely winner. If he does get the win this game should be far under as he will probably have to throw a shutout to do it.

Indians +111 (McAllister / Cobb)  

See above.

Orioles-Twins Under 8.5, +110 (Tillman / Diamond)  

Not much offense here to speak of. There would have been no overs at Target Field over the weekend if the A’s had not produced them. The Orioles are in disarray and sinking fast, never mind an occasional lucky win here and there. They never had the roster in the first place and good luck time is over, the balance of the teams are now playing to their ability as they come down the stretch.

Pirates +108 (Karstens / Francis)  

Maybe Francis has been a pleasant surprise for the Rockies so far but that won’t hold up for a season and I don’t think most bettors realize how bad this Rockies offense really is. The only reason totals at Coors Field are still posted high is that the visitors are having a better time of it than the Rockies.

Phillies +100 (Blanton / Eovaldi)  

Don’t look now, but guess who is hitting the ball lately and who isn’t? Yeah, right. The Dodgers pitchers are even more desperate for run support than the D-backs and that ain’t easy to accomplish. The Phillies may not be what we have seen in the past but they are still professionals and still have pride. The Dodgers have beaten only 4 of the last 15 right handed starters they have seen and exactly 0 since Kemp’s return. That folks is true futility.

BOL

All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at Best Available American Online Book as I post

5 Inning YTD: 55-71-14, -1159 9 Inning YTD: 104-93, +2,479 NET. +1320 (+4.1% RoR)

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Raider99
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#2
Posted: 7/16/2012 1:50:05 PM
Lets get em today Key!!!!!
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#3
Posted: 7/16/2012 1:51:55 PM

With you on the Rats.......like the plays on Cleveland and Philly.

 

As always, good luck

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#4
Posted: 7/16/2012 1:52:59 PM
CLE, PITT, BAL/MIN UNDER
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#5
Posted: 7/16/2012 1:57:04 PM
Great grab getting philly before the line flipped 


BOL today Key 
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#6
Posted: 7/16/2012 1:57:38 PM
with you on the pirates and minnesota/baltimore under
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KeyElement
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#7
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:04:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by switchwalk:

Great grab getting philly before the line flipped 

BOL today Key 
Yeah, that can be a problem typing up all this garbage between the time I played and the time I get it on the board. Did not help today as I had a long wait to get in at Covers and get a slot. Probably a ton of dickheads checking in to get their pre season football garbage together, lol.
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#8
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:05:15 PM
Pitt on the road this year playing first game of series is
4-11 BOL
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#9
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:06:50 PM

gl tonight...

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KeyElement
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#10
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:11:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tuck321:

Pitt on the road this year playing first game of series is
4-11 BOL
Trend players never like my opinion, so what?
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#11
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:15:06 PM
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#12
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:16:21 PM
Good luck Key...hope you cash a few of those.
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#13
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:26:21 PM
The 3 they won
Reds
Cards
Brewers
All divisional opponents.

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#14
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:30:45 PM
4th was Miami a 2 game series
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#15
Posted: 7/16/2012 2:32:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tuck321:

Pitt on the road this year playing first game of series is
4-11 BOL



throw those out the window... The Pirates are playing much much better baseball now. If you are gonna point those out, you gotta point the other side too. The Rockies have 4, I repeat 4, home wins in their last 16 games. The Pirates for + money is great value regardless the final outcome tonight
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#16
Posted: 7/16/2012 3:14:05 PM
GL Key, probably be on Tribe & Bucs as well 
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#17
Posted: 7/16/2012 3:14:55 PM
good luck 
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#18
Posted: 7/16/2012 3:15:27 PM
back after a week break.  Had to take the time after that horrible losing day that no one remembers.  Worst thing to do is press when losing.  On to today:

First 5 inning plays:

Boston -128
Not a homer pick

Pirates +102
This would be a POD but with the start of the week lets just take things slow and really POD when we get a great play.

Brewers -113
Good looking rookie this Fiers kid is...fantasy owners should start investing in this guy if you haven't yet.

Toronto +157
There is no way Hughes should be this big of a favorite over Hughes... unless the blue jays decided to start there triple A team today and bench every starter on the team
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#19
Posted: 7/16/2012 3:19:34 PM
BOL KEY  
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#20
Posted: 7/16/2012 3:21:30 PM
Great write-ups BOL today
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#21
Posted: 7/16/2012 3:35:28 PM
Best of Luck 
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KeyElement
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#22
Posted: 7/16/2012 4:37:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by backdooor_cover:

back after a week break.  Had to take the time after that horrible losing day that no one remembers.  Worst thing to do is press when losing.  On to today:

First 5 inning plays: Boston -128 Not a homer pick

Pirates +102 This would be a POD but with the start of the week lets just take things slow and really POD when we get a great play.

Brewers -113 Good looking rookie this Fiers kid is...fantasy owners should start investing in this guy if you haven't yet.

Toronto +157 There is no way Hughes should be this big of a favorite over Hughes... unless the blue jays decided to start there triple A team today and bench every starter on the team
Just give us the Patrots, Bruins and Celtics while yer at it, then you will be covered for a year!
Pirates = Copycat pick. 
Brewers
is probably a nice call. I like Fiers myself.
Toronto?
Uh, I dunno, Alvarez is sinking fast. Nice payout though.
Anyway, welcome back, and noone will remember the disastrous day, unless of course your ego starts to run amok, then everyone will remember it. Price of membership at Covers you know.
 
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#23
Posted: 7/16/2012 4:38:58 PM

Key Element still doin your thing !!

GL ole friend !!!!

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#24
Posted: 7/16/2012 4:40:44 PM
good luckkkkk!!!!
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KeyElement
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#25
Posted: 7/16/2012 4:42:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tuck321:

The 3 they won
Reds
Cards
Brewers
All divisional opponents.
4th was Miami a 2 game series
Please read before you post. I don't give a rat's patootie about trends. Is that clear enough?
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