That certainly was not a good weekend off the break at 6-7, -294, but it only makes me more intense and dedicated. All systems are still go, we just need the boys to throw the ball and hit the ball the way they should. Sounds simple enough doesn’t it? Best laid plans of mice and men, blah, blah, blah.
5 Inning POD
Indians +108 (McAllister / Cobb)
Don’t tell the Indians they are not going to win the Central or go to the playoffs because they don’t know it yet and may take one of their productive bats to your head, which would do the bat very little harm but you can probably figure about what it would do to your head. If you can’t, your head probably is not worth having anyway. All that being said and set aside, the pitching matchup is very close and just comes down to who has the better evening. Obviously my money is on McAllister, since he faces a far less productive offense.
5 Inning Over
Angels-Tigers Over 5.5, -105 (Santana / Porcello)
Neither one of these guys is likely to make it 5 innings and the offenses should be good for 6 or more when either one or both exits the game. This is easily the most offensive oriented game of the night and should be rock and roll right from the outset.
Full Game Plays
Diamondbacks-Reds Under 8.5, +100 (Miley / Arroyo)
The betting world is stunned and holding its collective breath waiting for the explosion from the D-backs but frankly folks I will have to see it to believe it. Only 3 runs over the weekend at the Cubs (I gave you 2 unders and a Reds win), one of which scored on a double play the Reds turned and the other 2 were scored at meaningless times after the game was essentially over. The Reds will also struggle versus Miley, one of very few bright spots in the season for the Diamondbacks and at this point, probably their most likely winner. If he does get the win this game should be far under as he will probably have to throw a shutout to do it.
Indians +111 (McAllister / Cobb)
See above.
Orioles-Twins Under 8.5, +110 (Tillman / Diamond)
Not much offense here to speak of. There would have been no overs at Target Field over the weekend if the A’s had not produced them. The Orioles are in disarray and sinking fast, never mind an occasional lucky win here and there. They never had the roster in the first place and good luck time is over, the balance of the teams are now playing to their ability as they come down the stretch.
Pirates +108 (Karstens / Francis)
Maybe Francis has been a pleasant surprise for the Rockies so far but that won’t hold up for a season and I don’t think most bettors realize how bad this Rockies offense really is. The only reason totals at Coors Field are still posted high is that the visitors are having a better time of it than the Rockies.
Phillies +100 (Blanton / Eovaldi)
Don’t look now, but guess who is hitting the ball lately and who isn’t? Yeah, right. The Dodgers pitchers are even more desperate for run support than the D-backs and that ain’t easy to accomplish. The Phillies may not be what we have seen in the past but they are still professionals and still have pride. The Dodgers have beaten only 4 of the last 15 right handed starters they have seen and exactly 0 since Kemp’s return. That folks is true futility.
BOL
All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at Best Available American Online Book as I post
5 Inning YTD: 55-71-14, -1159 9 Inning YTD: 104-93, +2,479 NET. +1320 (+4.1% RoR)