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7/15 - MLB Breakdown Sheets

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7-15





 
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No NYM/ATL sheet because of Sheets ????
There is no 100% cappers in the world
 
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TEX -162 ...... 70.8 %

DET -163 ...... 66.4 %

WSH -138 ...... 65.7 %

TOR -136 ...... 64.1 %

There is no 100% cappers in the world
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

No NYM/ATL sheet because of Sheets ????

No usable data on Sheets, correct.
 
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Posted: #5
Since baltimore and seattle pitchers have only one start each, does this minimize the accuracy of these breakdowns?
 
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Quote Originally Posted by whisperman:

Since baltimore and seattle pitchers have only one start each, does this minimize the accuracy of these breakdowns?

Yep.  Wouldn't put a lot of stock in Toronto's sheet either for the same reason
 
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Leans?
 
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si1ly I respect what your're trying to do but you do more damage than good with these sheets and are giving young kids bad habits thinking this is how you win in MLB. 

Baseball is DiMaggio rounding second, not breakdown sheets.

 
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165yds, Let him do what he wants.Sure these threads are just a beautiful bodio redux presentation,but that's what sells.If his sheets help just one person,then he's better than most on here.
There is no 100% cappers in the world
 
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Si1y I told you the + 1 1/2 on Boston was a bad bet!!! And you agreed and then you said you had action on it later on.  +1 1/2 is one of the worst bets you can make.  There's no value unless it's a big dog on the ml.  You might as well take the reverse run line that has a very larger pay out.
 
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@ 165 & King
Well, I guess I'm the person he helps with the sheets. They're showing a statistical edge and provide for a pretty good starting point when capping games and every one should find this useful information. On the other side the thing kids should stay away from is fixed minimum value in lines when making picks. 40 cents of value on a PK game and on a -300 fav have nothing in common. The same can be said about the totals with the line being 7 in one game and 11 and having a 2 run edge in both.

@ hots
High/low odds have nothing to do with value so why bring it up and if there's value on the ML, there's a high probability there's also value on the RL with no difference if it's the -1.5 or the +1.5, as they are all closely connected.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

165yds, Let him do what he wants.Sure these threads are just a beautiful bodio redux presentation,but that's what sells.If his sheets help just one person,then he's better than most on here.




 
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Gogic you must that person he's helping.  For every person he helps he hurts 99 more.  These sheets have nothing to do with finding a winner, show me the statistical edge your're talking about Gogic.  The projected ML on these games is a joke.  He can't use his sheets two days in advance and half the time it seems the games are invalid due to not enough statistical info which should tell you something.  I promise you there isn't one bookmaker on the planet shaking in their boots with these sheets.  

Put these sheets on twitter.

 
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@ 165
I think you got it all wrong. The sheets aren't the Holy grail and they aren't supposed to be. Some one was tracking the results and they are showing a (tiny) profit and therefore a statistical edge. How this is hurting people is beyond me. I find them as a good starting point and the info in them shaves time it takes me to cap a game. Just my 2 cents.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by 165yds:

si1ly I respect what your're trying to do but you do more damage than good with these sheets and are giving young kids bad habits thinking this is how you win in MLB. 

Baseball is DiMaggio rounding second, not breakdown sheets.



You know what 165, show us how to win in MLB then. There's a reason you rarely post picks anymore. Taking a shot at one of the classiest posters on covers is a really dick move. Do us a favour and post your picks, keep a record with units, and please show us how to win in this game of baseball. The beautiful thing about baseball is that it is one of the few sports that can be capped strictly on statistics and numbers and will allow you to be successful. So please, unless you're going to provide something informative, helpful, or relevant in any way, just don't post anything.
 
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This is my first time looking at this thread, good stuff man, thanks for taking the time to post. As far as it hurting people, PLZ, most of the nonsense in the thread is what hurts people. The bottom line the forum should be used as a guideline, and this thread shares that purpose. Good work man, keep it up. At the end of the day, the bettor is responsible for making his bet, not the person that posts legit stats/information.
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Spartacus10:



You know what 165, show us how to win in MLB then. There's a reason you rarely post picks anymore. Taking a shot at one of the classiest posters on covers is a really dick move. Do us a favour and post your picks, keep a record with units, and please show us how to win in this game of baseball. The beautiful thing about baseball is that it is one of the few sports that can be capped strictly on statistics and numbers and will allow you to be successful. So please, unless you're going to provide something informative, helpful, or relevant in any way, just don't post anything.



 
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165 hating?!!? lol his sheets showing info and posting his plays along with tracking his record seperately each year and sport is definitely hurting mllions!!! Silly forces people to pick losers in his spare time im sure lmao shut up dude and dimaggio doesnt play anymore so that is not even relevant as Silly would probably had  factored him into his model if him rounding second was true
 
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Posted: #22
keep up the write ups silly your stats are helpful
 
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Si1ly wouldn't be putting this much time and effort into these sheets if he wasn't confident in their efficiency. He isn't posting them because he is trying to mislead the poor ignorant betting public. He doesn't have to post them at all, but he has been good enough to do it so far.

WARNING ----> Poor ignorant betting public, don't blindly follow si1ly's sheets.

There's a disclaimer.

si1ly, thanks for posting the sheets. 
 
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Posted: #24

Obviously, that guy doesn't have any working knowledge of mathematics or statistics.

This stuff is golden. Keep doing what you do.

 
 
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Posted: #25
as an OVER player, i didn't see too many OVERS in these sheets

hard to account for the " X " factor when both teams hit 15+ runs


OVER

who cares who wins
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