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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 6-25 lines/discussion/opening the books a bit
Gordon Gekko
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#1
Posted: 6/24/2012 5:44:19 PM

Oakland @ Seattle

Looking at possibly playing against Milone on the road as his H/A record and other major statistics are one of the worst in the league.  1 QS out of 8 and an above 7 ERA, while Ramirez hasn't been much better but team won on the road at a heavy dog.  Waiting for market response..

St. Louis @ Miami

Westbrook on four days rest has been much different on 5 days rest and maybe Miami makes the list..Opened at 120 and looks like books opened Westbrook at his 2nd highest road opener this year figuring his last outing will outdraw his 4/5 day rest form.  I'm not sure if I would like to back Nolasco with his starts at home.  Will wait and see what the market does with this..

more to follow..

 

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Gordon Gekko
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#2
Posted: 6/24/2012 5:52:16 PM

Ny Mets @ Chicago Cubs

Hoping the under is reasonable?  If it's 7.5, I'll be on the under.  Mets coming off a subway series while Cubs returning home from a west coast series.  Wind expected to be blowing in at significant amount, while Cubs haven't hit well vs a lefty all year and record wise is atrocious.  No books have opened it yet as expected but will be watching ...

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#3
Posted: 6/24/2012 5:54:24 PM
Been checking out your picks, you are one solid capper. appreciate the insight.
Posted using a mobile device.
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Gordon Gekko
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#4
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:01:16 PM

Washington @ Colorado

Strasburg has been efficient and one of the best pitchers in the game and the oddsmakers have continully tried to up the ante on his opening bids, he's currently the 5th best pitcher to back when pitching and the 165 road opening is the highest on the season.  He's facing Francis who owns a 21 era this year at home but has improved from that 1st start.  Does the market push this higher to the 75's or possibly higher?  Washington bats been a little quiet of late only hitting .185 over past week and under 225 for past month.  This is not a good thing to back on the road with a well known pitcher who's a market favorite.  Colorado may be the play here, or RL getting that 1/2 vs a lackluster offense. 

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Gordon Gekko
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#5
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:02:46 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by nautic:

Been checking out your picks, you are one solid capper. appreciate the insight.

It's taken years to learn to model, utilize team chemistry, forget emotion and try and beat the NVL...Although, I'm hoping for 5 years in a row to show a profit in Baseball.  NFL was good along with NCAAF. 

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#6
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:05:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

It's taken years to learn to model, utilize team chemistry, forget emotion and try and beat the NVL...Although, I'm hoping for 5 years in a row to show a profit in Baseball.  NFL was good along with NCAAF. 

Do you cap NCAA basketball
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ac_bum
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#7
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:08:22 PM
 getting at it early i see
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Gordon Gekko
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#8
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:11:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by hoopsvader:

Do you cap NCAA basketball

Absolutely!  Smaller limits per game but wider variance due to so many games.. Can make some money when buying the right side..

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Gordon Gekko
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#9
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:13:21 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ac_bum:

 getting at it early i see

Yes, I'm on vacation and have some time to show some thought process behind the listing each night,,,What the hell?  It's only money!

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#10
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:15:11 PM
Yes, GG is always a must-read. Keep up the good work. I like all your angles so far for tomorrow.
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#11
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:15:28 PM
would you take the yanks at -124 for tonight
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Gordon Gekko
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#12
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:16:06 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by nautic:

Been checking out your picks, you are one solid capper. appreciate the insight.

Another form of advice is learn not to get drawn into headlines on sites or cappers who haven't shown significant forms of handicapping, there are some quality cappers on the site that have no headings such as "Lock of the Month, Play of the year, ect..this market is beatable but in marathon form not 100m dash. 

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#13
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:16:36 PM
nevermind, found your remarks on the yanks. thx
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Gordon Gekko
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#14
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:26:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

Oakland @ Seattle

Looking at possibly playing against Milone on the road as his H/A record and other major statistics are one of the worst in the league.  1 QS out of 8 and an above 7 ERA, while Ramirez hasn't been much better but team won on the road at a heavy dog.  Waiting for market response..

St. Louis @ Miami

Westbrook on four days rest has been much different on 5 days rest and maybe Miami makes the list..Opened at 120 and looks like books opened Westbrook at his 2nd highest road opener this year figuring his last outing will outdraw his 4/5 day rest form.  I'm not sure if I would like to back Nolasco with his starts at home.  Will wait and see what the market does with this..

more to follow..

 

St. Louis -120/down to 106 and may close as underdog, I did buy at 110 for medium portion waiting to see if it does come back up before I fill my position..

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#15
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:37:20 PM
Thoughts on the Yanks/Indians? Kinda like the Tribe myself, especially if the Yanks win tonight.
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Gordon Gekko
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#16
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:45:04 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Thoughts on the Yanks/Indians? Kinda like the Tribe myself, especially if the Yanks win tonight.

I think the Indians hold some value at the current price, especially if the bullpen is used again like last night, following a big series, yes...I've bought it at 167 for small purchase..

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Louis_IV
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#17
Posted: 6/24/2012 6:48:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

I think the Indians hold some value at the current price, especially if the bullpen is used again like last night, following a big series, yes...I've bought it at 167 for small purchase..

Tribe bast have been on ice the last few days...be careful.  Yanks can out slug them and Tribe starting pitching is not exactly stellar.  They are minus 40 runs I think in terms of scoring versus opponents. Not a great sign.

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juniormac24
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#18
Posted: 6/24/2012 11:24:38 PM
GG,

Am I reading the White Sox line right? Peavy caught my eye, under might be a better play with the cold sticks. This looks so good, I have to stay away. 


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#19
Posted: 6/25/2012 1:38:44 AM

hello sir,

great insights.

Just wondering your opinions on the Jays/ Red-Sox game?

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#20
Posted: 6/25/2012 5:47:58 AM
Yankees up to -180s already,Tomlin hard to back but this old Dodger pitcher isnt great either,if they keep pushing it I could see a small play on Indians
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#21
Posted: 6/25/2012 6:36:00 AM
A fisherman always sees another fisherman from afar. I have two big parlays running one ML and one O/U. What you think?

Parlay 1

Seattle 
Minnesota
Texas
Boston 
NY Yankees
Washington
St Louis
Cincinnati 

This is a $10 to win $810.

Parlay 2


Chicago at Minnesota over 8
Toronto at Boston over 10.50
Cleveland at Ny under 9.50
Washington at Colorado under 9.50
St Louis at Miami under 9
Milwaukee at Cincinatti Over 9
Pittsburg at Philadelphia over 8


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#22
Posted: 6/25/2012 6:36:27 AM
Thanks for the analysis. Where did you find the stats on Westbrook on 4 day rest? These stats are very useful and would like to know where to find it. Thanks in advance!
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#23
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:25:25 AM
If I'm reading your thread right you are on the Cardinals (medium) and Indians (small) so far right GG?


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#24
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:43:41 AM
BOL to you, dude! 
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capskip
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#25
Posted: 6/25/2012 9:55:47 AM
 best of luck ....Thanks for your input.
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