First Inning Runs 5/23

Question

First Inning Runs picks based on historical outcomes stratified by the full game O/U, the only variable that is highly correlated to the outcome of this prop.

This season 165-134, +31.95 units, last season 180-170, +37.05 units
Current YTD YES%=52.3%

NYM/Pit YES +105, 2 units (must bet -103 or better)
SF/Mil YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better)
LAA/Oak NO -140, 2 units (must bet -153 or better)
Tex/Sea YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better)

Will post night games as lines come out.

GL

totalguy · Answer

First Inning Runs picks based on historical outcomes stratified by the full game O/U, the only variable that is highly correlated to the outcome of this prop.

This season 165-134, +31.95 units, last season 180-170, +37.05 units
Current YTD YES%=52.3%

NYM/Pit YES +105, 2 units (must bet -103 or better)
SF/Mil YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better)
LAA/Oak NO -140, 2 units (must bet -153 or better)
Tex/Sea YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better)

Will post night games as lines come out.

GL

eyemtlaw · Answer

GL

totalguy · Answer

Good start.

1TimeLucky1 · Answer

Good stuff there buddy....I know we are gonna have a good day today.Let&#x27;s get that loot

SportsFreak69 · Answer

Best of Luck

monkeymark5 · Answer

all 4 games score 1st inning

totalguy · Answer

Thanks guys.  2-0, &#x2B;3.1 units so far today.  Adding:Was/Phi NO -140, 2 units (must bet -153 or better)Det/Cle YES -105, 1 unit (must bet -108 or better)Atl/Cin YES &#x2B;100, 2 units (must bet -108 or better)Col/Mia YES &#x2B;100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better)Min/CWS YES &#x2B;100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better)SD/Stl YES &#x2B;100, 1 unit (must bet -103 or better)GL

totalguy · Answer

I noticed that too.  I always root for the NO on the games I don&#x27;t play.

PujolsJunkie · Answer

Played the NYM/PIT and SF/MIL yes bets individually. Was so close to parlaying them for 3:1 and pussed out.

Did parlay them with a prop (Total Bases: Trout over J.Weeks -130) for 7:1. Thanks for the picks man.

totalguy · Answer

Nice work.  Congrats!

PujolsJunkie · Answer

I give you a lot of credit because there are inevitably bad days where seemingly every game goes NO in the 1st. You stick with it and get your money. It&#x27;s great to have emotions removed from the equation and you&#x27;ve got a great method here.

totalguy · Answer

Thanks PJ. When I first started playing this prop 7 years ago, it was a lot harder to keep the emotion out during those bad days as I hung on each and every play. But after playing literally over 5000 of these since then, it's a lot easier to keep the emotion out because I've seen it all on both sides.

I've lost YES plays on triple plays in the first and even had 2 outfield assists at the plate in the first one time. But I've also won on 2 out balks, ridiculous errors and steals of home so it evens out.

monkeymark5 · Answer

got the angels woo hoo

totalguy · Answer

3-1, &#x2B;4.1 units through the day games.GL

1TimeLucky1 · Answer

Great start.. Gl on next set

chicoezcuela · Answer

any thoughts on ny/kc yes

totalguy · Answer

Need a &#x2B;102 or better YES to make it a worthwhile bet.

monkeymark5 · Answer

no love from cincy

totalguy · Answer

7-3, &#x2B;6.05 units on the day.

First Inning Runs 5/23

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