Lots of personal shit going on the last few weeks but it's hitting the apex today. Approach with caution as I may not be thinking with 100% clarity. Just some leans right now....
Leans: Kansas City +142, Oakland +106, TOR-TB Under 8, ATL @ CIN Under 9, COL-MIA Under 8, San Francisco -105, LAD-ARI Over 9,
Lots of personal shit going on the last few weeks but it's hitting the apex today. Approach with caution as I may not be thinking with 100% clarity. Just some leans right now....
Leans: Kansas City +142, Oakland +106, TOR-TB Under 8, ATL @ CIN Under 9, COL-MIA Under 8, San Francisco -105, LAD-ARI Over 9,
can i ask why you think Reds Under? Blue jays UNDER is one of my strong lean right now.
The Braves' offense is downright impotent without Chipper. I don't have the splits in front of me at the moment, but they're scoring something like 1 or 1.5 runs less per game with him out of the lineup. Sure, Leake has been bad, but he's also pitching for his job and probably picked up some confidence with a solid outing last week. Minor has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball with a .336 BABIP and 52.7% strand rate. His ERA is north of 7.00, but his FIP is 3.82. Progression to the mean is coming soon, and it may well be tonight. The Reds have also never seen Minor before, and are coming home after a successful 7-game road trip, including two wins over the Yankees. A letdown is highly possible.
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Quote Originally Posted by duranizm:
can i ask why you think Reds Under? Blue jays UNDER is one of my strong lean right now.
The Braves' offense is downright impotent without Chipper. I don't have the splits in front of me at the moment, but they're scoring something like 1 or 1.5 runs less per game with him out of the lineup. Sure, Leake has been bad, but he's also pitching for his job and probably picked up some confidence with a solid outing last week. Minor has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball with a .336 BABIP and 52.7% strand rate. His ERA is north of 7.00, but his FIP is 3.82. Progression to the mean is coming soon, and it may well be tonight. The Reds have also never seen Minor before, and are coming home after a successful 7-game road trip, including two wins over the Yankees. A letdown is highly possible.
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