GiLz Thread'ers ((Thurs. 4/26))

Gambling Gods were on our side yesterday and we'll take it! 

Went 3-0 on the Big Plays  -  6-3 total on the day collecting back +8.65 unit$

Lots of action this morning  -  all morning/day games.  Diggin' it  -  been hittin'em pretty hard this morning.  I believe I got some good reads on Ricky P. for the Tigers & Homer B. for the Reds.

ANY questions/comments/concerns on ANY games  -  just ask...

GiLz got you, Thread'ers.   


_________________________________________________________


=  *YTD*  @  -9.79 units

•  [1U/2U] Standard Play$  =  65-75-2
•  [3U/4U] Big Play$  =  18-12-1
•  [5U/plus] Huge Play$  =  1-0-0


_________________________________________________________

  TODAY$ PLAY$      (Thurs. 4/26)


 Reds ML @ -119  =  [3U]
 Reds RL @ +170  =  [1U]

 Tigers RL @ +100  =  [3U]

 Mets ML @ -108  =  [2U]
 Mets RL @ +200  =  [.5u]

 Rays/Angels *OVER 8.5* @ -105  =  [2U]
 Angels ML @ +140  =  [1U]

 Royals ML @ +145  =  [1U]

Best of Luck today, Thread'ers.   

Quote Originally Posted by Theone324:

Reds Royals Angels

Against you on the Muts, BOL as always brotha

My play is on Niese continuing to excel and Nolasco ready to implode.

Nolasco has only averaged 5IP on the bump his past 2 games  -  allowing 3ER in each.

I haven't seen any quality out of Nolasco in bounce back form.  Taking odds over mojo in this one and hoping/expecting for the Muts to jump on early... but who knows.  Morning action hasn't worked out that well for me thus far in the year...

Wondering if 'dem Gambling Gods are going to cast a HOT STREAK upon me?! 

One 

Quote Originally Posted by nuggins:

me: i really don't care for much today... 2 x degen @ work plays: SF TT O 4 -- -- Clev/KC O 8.5   ... 1 x small parlay to get nhl action for tonight...  Clev ML + FLA PL +1.5

taking an angels game over is playing with fire... maybe you got a good read but that's a scary one ...as a Halo fan...i hope they crush for an 8-2 win for you...

BOL

Matt Moore is trying to find his '11 postseason groove.  I think overall, it's just going to be a tough April for the kid.  All trends for this game point to the UNDER  -  so I like my change-up on going for the OVER based on all lineups are in tune, and I like this being the Rays' first weekday, day game @ The Trop this year.  All regular starters this series are in play for today.  No key players on a day off.

I guess the hunch is in effect with Moore having a tough outing and Jerome Williams not being all that far off.  But a key thing I do like is seeing the total set @ 8.5  -  these teams haven't been hitting and the UNDER has hit 4 of their last 5 meetings.  Add that in with the UNDER has been 6-1 in the Angels last 7 total games + the UNDER has being 4-0 the last 4 games for the Rays, I don't see how this total wasn't a 7.5 O/U opener, or 8.  Something telling me that the oddsmakers are expecting some early runs and bullpen play will have to hold this to an UNDER.

I'll be very happy with an Angels victory  -  something of the tune of 6-4, 5-4.

But I'll be satisfied as well if the Rays pull of the win and the total hits 9 or more as I'll still profit from the game...

nuggins 

Brian Matusz has lost 12 STRAIGHT games dating back to last year.  Early going this year has him looking just like he did last year  -  0-3 with an ERA of nearly 8 (7.98) that gets foaming @ the mouth if looking to back the oppositions.  Clear cut choice looks like Blue Birds.....

But I won't be pulling the trigger on this game until I further look into it.  I have absolutely no read on Drew Hutchinson who picked up the win in his first ever career start in the bigs... but his stat line looks like 5ER off 8 hits in only 5IP. 

From what historically has the O's/Blue Birds meetings providing the offensive spark for the OVER to hit before the 7th inning stretch, this series thus far has been seemingly quiet with either ball club able to produce enough runs in the first 2 games.

I have been wanting to play this OVER badly because of Matsuz on the mound.  And I've been waiting for these 2 ballclubs bats to wake up -vs- each other.  Here's what I came up with when they played each other last year  -  each # is combined total for the games they played, starting in April all the way through September...

12, 8, 11, 11, 5, 7, 16, 3, 13, 9, 8, 9, 11, 13, 14, 2, 9, 11

* 172 runs scored / 18 games played  =  9.5 averaged runs per meeting.

Governor 

CURRENT CARD:


 Reds ML @ -119  =  

[3U]
 Reds RL @ +170  =  [1U]

 Tigers RL @ +100  =  [3U]

 Mets ML @ -108  =  [2U]
 Mets RL @ +200  =  [.5u]

 Rays/Angels *OVER 8.5* @ -105  =  [2U]
 Angels ML @ +140  =  [1U]

 Royals ML @ +145  =  [1U]

 Orioles/Blue Jays *OVER 9.5* @ +105  =  [2U]

GiLz

Reds??? Homer??? Bailey??? redlegs bats are rockin... i like the over in that game

nats? over 6.5? think aboot it Gilly manilly

I forgot to add in Matsuz's struggles -vs- the Blue Jays the 4 times he's faced them in his career:

0-3 with an ERA @ 13.09, and a god awful WHIP of 2.64.

YepYup  -  they've had that 1 big inning the past 2 games.  Thinking a 3rd time in a row is likely as well...

As for the *OVER* in the Nats/Pads game  -  I like it.  And you know who I don't like  -  Edwin Jackson.  His last outing, he gave up 5 earned to the disAstros.  Similar hitting team is the Padres  -  and @ PetCo, I expect a lot of hits today with Edwin leaving 'em layed up over home plate.

Volquez hasn't found his groove early on.  Pads side may be a play too.

JMiLz