All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

Bodio's MLB Wed 09/14

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 19333
Posts: 91
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 7370
Posted: #1

I know there are some early games so pasting the breakdowns now.  I'm still capping the games..

Final plays posted in a bit.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 7370
Posted: #2
Florida Marlins 67-80 (46%) @ Atlanta Braves 85-64 (57%)

R. Nolasco, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.55 (#54 in MLB), xFIP of 3.53 (#38 in MLB), and tERA of 4.53 (#126 in MLB), with a BABIP of .329, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.74. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.26, with a WHIP of 1.39, and opponent BA of .286. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 32% for a 1.38 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

R. Delgado, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 5.31 (#209 in MLB), xFIP of 4.43 (#160 in MLB), and tERA of 5.83 (#212 in MLB), with a BABIP of .2, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -1.71. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.1, and opponent BA of .211. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 33%, FB%: 47% for a 0.71 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.

Florida Marlins have the #8 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a road record of 39-36 (52%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Atlanta Braves have the #1 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding. They have a home record of 45-29 (61%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.



Odds: FLA +157 (39%) ATL -167 (63%) O/U = 8

Lean: Marlins
=======================================

St Louis Cardinals 80-68 (54%) @ Pittsburgh Pirates 67-81 (45%)

E. Jackson, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.71 (#75 in MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of 4.71 (#148 in MLB), with a BABIP of .329, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.23. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.37, with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .283. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 30% for a 1.52 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

C. Morton, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 3.67 (#70 in MLB), xFIP of 3.91 (#90 in MLB), and tERA of 4.67 (#140 in MLB), with a BABIP of .316, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.04. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.46, with a WHIP of 1.49, and opponent BA of .274. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 18% for a 3.38 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.

St Louis Cardinals have the #15 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road record of 39-34 (53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

Pittsburgh Pirates have the #19 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a home record of 34-43 (44%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.



Odds: STL -145 (59%) PIT +136 (42%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: none
=======================================

Philadelphia Phillies 94-51 (65%) @ Houston Astros 51-97 (35%)

R. Halladay, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 2.12 (#1 in MLB), xFIP of 2.57 (#2 in MLB), and tERA of 2.32 (#1 in MLB), with a BABIP of .311, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of 0.44. He has a K/BB ratio of 7.91, with a WHIP of 1.05, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.66 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.

B. Norris, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 3.9 (#96 in MLB), xFIP of 3.64 (#53 in MLB), and tERA of 4.28 (#96 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.22. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.52, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .242. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.

Philadelphia Phillies have the #13 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a road record of 45-29 (61%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.

Houston Astros have the #27 bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a home record of 28-45 (38%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.



Odds: PHI -243 (71%) HOU +226 (31%) O/U = 7

Lean: Phillies
=======================================

San Diego Padres 63-86 (42%) @ San Francisco Giants 78-70 (53%)

M. Latos, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.29 (#31 in MLB), xFIP of 3.73 (#67 in MLB), and tERA of 2.85 (#7 in MLB), with a BABIP of .287, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.45. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.6, with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .233. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 42% for a 1 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

T. Lincecum, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.87 (#11 in MLB), xFIP of 3.14 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.05 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP of .274, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.7, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of .206. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

San Diego Padres have the #6 bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road record of 33-44 (43%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.

San Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a home record of 43-34 (56%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.



Odds: SDP +153 (40%) SFG -163 (62%) O/U = 5.5

Lean: none
=======================================

Washington Nationals 69-77 (47%) @ New York Mets 71-77 (48%)

#N/A

M. Pelfrey, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP of 4.52 (#154 in MLB), xFIP of 4.47 (#171 in MLB), and tERA of 4.58 (#130 in MLB), with a BABIP of .29, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.04. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.74, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 36% for a 1.27 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

Washington Nationals have the #15 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a road record of 28-44 (39%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

New York Mets have the #19 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a home record of 31-42 (42%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.



Odds: WSN +120 (45%) NYM -127 (56%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: none
=======================================

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 7370
Posted: #3
Chicago Cubs 65-83 (44%) @ Cincinnati Reds 72-76 (49%)

C. Coleman, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.79 (#184 in MLB), xFIP of 4.98 (#213 in MLB), and tERA of 5.43 (#190 in MLB), with a BABIP of .354, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 2.03. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.29, with a WHIP of 1.89, and opponent BA of .305. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

J. Cueto, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 3.41 (#40 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#84 in MLB), and tERA of 3.45 (#28 in MLB), with a BABIP of .239, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -1.36. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.2, with a WHIP of 1.06, and opponent BA of .204. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 31% for a 1.71 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.

Chicago Cubs have the #17 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road record of 30-43 (41%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Cincinnati Reds have the #13 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a home record of 38-35 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.



Odds: CHC +169 (37%) CIN -180 (64%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: Reds
=======================================

Colorado Rockies 69-78 (47%) @ Milwaukee Brewers 87-62 (58%)

K. Millwood, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 5.38 (#213 in MLB), xFIP of 3.86 (#81 in MLB), and tERA of 6.47 (#222 in MLB), with a BABIP of .253, LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -1.12. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.75, with a WHIP of 1.14, and opponent BA of .26. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 42% for a 0.94 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 19%.

S. Marcum, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.59 (#58 in MLB), xFIP of 3.81 (#76 in MLB), and tERA of 3.73 (#46 in MLB), with a BABIP of .259, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .224. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 44% for a 0.82 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Colorado Rockies have the #17 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a road record of 31-42 (42%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Milwaukee Brewers have the #7 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a home record of 52-22 (70%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.



Odds: COL +169 (37%) MIL -180 (64%) O/U = 8

Lean: Brewers
=======================================

Arizona Diamondbacks 87-62 (58%) @ Los Angeles Dodgers 72-75 (49%)

D. Hudson, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 3.25 (#30 in MLB), xFIP of 3.66 (#57 in MLB), and tERA of 3.83 (#59 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.68, with a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 42%, FB%: 37% for a 1.13 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

C. Kershaw, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 2.51 (#3 in MLB), xFIP of 2.79 (#4 in MLB), and tERA of 2.59 (#5 in MLB), with a BABIP of .277, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of 0. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.31, with a WHIP of 1.02, and opponent BA of .208. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.14 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.

Arizona Diamondbacks have the #12 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a road record of 42-35 (55%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.

Los Angeles Dodgers have the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They have a home record of 36-37 (49%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.



Odds: ARI +130 (43%) LAD -138 (58%) O/U = 6

Lean: Dodgers
=======================================

Toronto Blue Jays 74-74 (50%) @ Boston Red Sox 86-61 (59%)

R. Romero, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 3.94 (#98 in MLB), xFIP of 3.73 (#67 in MLB), and tERA of 3.71 (#44 in MLB), with a BABIP of .246, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -1.16. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.24, with a WHIP of 1.14, and opponent BA of .211. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 13%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 32% for a 1.72 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.

J. Lackey, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 4.71 (#181 in MLB), xFIP of 4.51 (#177 in MLB), and tERA of 5.36 (#184 in MLB), with a BABIP of .33, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.27. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.28, with a WHIP of 1.55, and opponent BA of .297. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 38% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.

Toronto Blue Jays have the #21 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road record of 36-38 (49%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Boston Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a home record of 43-29 (60%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.



Odds: TOR +110 (48%) BOS -117 (54%) O/U = 10.5

Lean: Blue Jays
=======================================

Detroit Tigers 86-62 (58%) @ Chicago White Sox 73-74 (50%)

B. Penny, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.78 (#183 in MLB), xFIP of 4.65 (#188 in MLB), and tERA of 4.97 (#160 in MLB), with a BABIP of .303, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.3, with a WHIP of 1.5, and opponent BA of .293. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 34% for a 1.47 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

#N/A

Detroit Tigers have the #25 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road record of 41-33 (55%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 11 in a row.

Chicago White Sox have the #5 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a home record of 33-41 (45%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.



Odds: DET +106 (49%) CHW -113 (53%) O/U = 9.5

Lean: White Sox
=======================================

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 7370
Posted: #4
LAA Angels 81-67 (55%) @ Oakland Athletics 67-81 (45%)

J. Weaver, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.98 (#16 in MLB), xFIP of 3.73 (#67 in MLB), and tERA of 2.94 (#9 in MLB), with a BABIP of .251, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -0.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.5, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .208. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 33%, FB%: 49% for a 0.68 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.

R. Harden, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.34 (#142 in MLB), xFIP of 3.68 (#60 in MLB), and tERA of 4.49 (#124 in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of 0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.64, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .231. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 29%, FB%: 49% for a 0.6 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.

LAA Angels have the #22 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 37-36 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.

Oakland Athletics have the #11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a home record of 40-33 (55%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.



Odds: LAA -150 (60%) OAK +141 (41%) O/U = 7

Lean: none
=======================================

Minnesota Twins 59-88 (40%) @ Kansas City Royals 63-86 (42%)

#N/A

L. Hochevar, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.5 (#152 in MLB), xFIP of 4.14 (#125 in MLB), and tERA of 4.99 (#164 in MLB), with a BABIP of .277, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.41. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.87, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .258. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.

Minnesota Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-46 (39%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.

Kansas City Royals have the #24 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a home record of 35-39 (47%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.



Odds: MIN +143 (41%) KCR -152 (60%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: none
=======================================

Tampa Bay Rays 82-65 (56%) @ Baltimore Orioles 59-88 (40%)

W. Davis, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 4.65 (#174 in MLB), xFIP of 4.88 (#210 in MLB), and tERA of 4.84 (#155 in MLB), with a BABIP of .28, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.36. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.66, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 45% for a 0.78 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

J. Guthrie, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.57 (#161 in MLB), xFIP of 4.45 (#166 in MLB), and tERA of 5.24 (#175 in MLB), with a BABIP of .284, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of -0.08. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.96, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .266. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 39% for a 1 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

Tampa Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road record of 40-32 (56%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Baltimore Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a home record of 34-40 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.



Odds: TBR -139 (58%) BAL +131 (43%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: none
=======================================

Cleveland Indians 72-73 (50%) @ Texas Rangers 84-64 (57%)

D. Huff, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.36 (#37 in MLB), xFIP of 4.8 (#202 in MLB), and tERA of 2.47 (#3 in MLB), with a BABIP of .258, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.66. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.88, with a WHIP of 1.25, and opponent BA of .218. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 11%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 53% for a 0.68 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 3%.

D. Holland, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 3.96 (#101 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#84 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#117 in MLB), with a BABIP of .32, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.23, with a WHIP of 1.43, and opponent BA of .275. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a 1.43 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

Cleveland Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road record of 33-40 (45%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.

Texas Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a home record of 47-29 (62%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.



Odds: CLE +183 (35%) TEX -195 (66%) O/U = 10

Lean: none
=======================================

New York Yankees 90-57 (61%) @ Seattle Mariners 61-87 (41%)

I. Nova, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 4.07 (#117 in MLB), xFIP of 4.01 (#107 in MLB), and tERA of 4.39 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .289, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.15. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.8, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .26. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 28% for a 1.89 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.

J. Vargas, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 4.34 (#142 in MLB), xFIP of 4.47 (#171 in MLB), and tERA of 4.39 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .285, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.18. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.08, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 43% for a 0.88 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

New York Yankees have the #3 bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road record of 44-30 (59%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.

Seattle Mariners have the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a home record of 36-41 (47%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.



Odds: NYY -190 (66%) SEA +178 (36%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: none
=======================================

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2011
Posts: 6230
Posted: #5
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 488
Posted: #6
 BOL
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 12474
Posted: #7
GL today Bodio,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 1215
Posted: #8
gl bodio.....
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 1677
Posted: #9
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 1210
Posted: #10
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 828
Posted: #11

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 4010
Posted: #12
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 910
Posted: #13
GL today Bodio
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 6580
Posted: #14
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 23609
Posted: #15
BOL BODIO
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 488
Posted: #16
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 50021
Posted: #17
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1243
Posted: #18
YO BODI!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 2897
Posted: #19
BOL Bodio
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 300
Posted: #20
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 21804
Posted: #21

*BOL* today, Bodio.   

 

How bout DAAAA BEARS...   

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 8485
Posted: #22
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 7370
Posted: #23
2011 MLB Record:
186 - 145 @ 56% for +22.47 Units




Wed 09/14

#1: Chicago White Sox -112

Yeah I know Detroit is on a huge winning streak, but let's all remember that this is Brad Penny pitching for them on the mound today! Brad "I suck really bad" Penny! I faded him in his last start against the Chi-Sox where he promptly gave up 8 runs (4 ER's), 10 hits, 3 HR's and only 2 K's in 5 innings of work. Unfortunately, the Tigers came back from an 8-0 deficit to win that one. Well, gambling gods owe me one and I expect them to redeem themselves in this one. Axelrod is making his first MLB start ever today. We definitely have the 'unfamiliarity' angle in our favor. He's not an overpowering pitcher (87-89 MPH fastball) but his control is excellent. In his 59 innings in AA this year he had an 8.65 K/9 ratio (excellent) with a 2.12 BB/9 and a 2.36 FIP (3.34 ERA). In 91 innings with AAA he had a 7.39 K/9 with a 2.07 BB/9 and 2.66 FIP (2.27 ERA). The guy is a 'pitcher' and not just a flame-thrower, and I expect him to be fairly successful today. Even if he struggles a bit, White Sox have the superior BP behind him. I expect Detroit's streak to come to an end today.

#2: 2-team PARLAY
Philadelphia Phillies ML / New York Yankees ML: +114 (Combined odds!)

Yeah, I know I haven't had success with parlays this season but I can't help myself here. Doc is on the mound for Philly so no more needs to be said here. Opposite him is Norris, who is a solid young pitcher, except for when he's facing Philadelphia. He is 1-2 against them with a 5.30 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. He's coming off a couple of 'high-pitch' outings and I expect Philly to be successful off him today as they try to avoid a 3-game sweep in Houston.

Yankees are 33-14 (70%) against left-handers this year and 109-62 (63%) over the last couple of seasons. They're facing a Seattle team that scored more than 3 runs only once in the past 9 games. Vargas is 0-3 against the Bombers with a 8.14 ERA and 1.7 WHIP. His xFIP of 5.17 in August with a 1.09 K/BB ratio is the worst of this MLB season. He's clearly slowing down here in the stretch run. Nova comes into this one having faced Seattle only once in his career, which happened earlier this season. He got hit hard allowing 4 ER's on 5 hits in 3.7 innings of work. Well, there are a number of new bats in the Mariners lineup today that haven't seen Nova yet. More importantly that last outing was in May, when he had a 4.63 xFIP and 1.15 K/BB ratio. Since then Nova has been pitching much better. He finished August with a 3.19 xFIP and a 3.43 K/BB ratio. He's allowed 3 ER's or less in 8 of his last 9 starts, and I expect Yankees to provide plenty of run-support for him in this one.

I expect comfortable wins for both Phillies and New York tonight, so will play them in a parlay to reduce the juice.

Good luck!

_________________

'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
'10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
'10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
'10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
'10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575

-----------------------------------
TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580




"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 350
Posted: #24
I'm on the jays...Lackey sucks...period. I'm also leaning over cause jays will rock him. Romero pitching well. If Lackey wasn't playing Romero I'd take the over...but gonna lay off. Waiting to see who u play Bodio....tks for your analysis once again.
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 350
Posted: #25
Like the plays...parlay has better odds than I thought...will also play. You also sold me on the sox. Tks again and GL!
All Forums | MLB Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.