Posted:
#1
NBA: 90-67 (57.3%) +19.90u
NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u
MLB: 90-64-4 (58.4%) +26.85u
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-130)
So Guillermo Moscoso has only given up 11 hits in his last 20 innings and has an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.75 during that span. Oakland has scored 36 runs in their last 4 games (9 rpg). Is Boston in jeopardy of losing two in a row at home? Should they be scared of the Athletics? No, not even close, and I'll tell you why.
Moscoso's advanced stats indicate how poor of a pitcher he really is. He has one of the worst ground ball percentages in the league at a measly 25%. He gives up more than two fly balls to every ground ball. This just will not work in Fenway against the extremely potent left-handed heavy Red Sox line-up. Against lefties the right-handed Moscoso has a 4.53 FIP, 5.33 xFIP, .235 BABIP, 1.44 K/BB. I included his BABIP instead of his BA (as I usually would) to indicate his likelihood to regress in his next series of starts. He's a contact fly-ball pitcher going on the road against one of the most powerful line-ups in the league in a hitters ballpark. I don't expect him to be as lucky as he has been with balls hit in play finding defenders. The Red Sox will crush him today.
Lester is a much better pitcher. He has extremely good numbers against lefties and he's better than average against righties. He likes pitching in Fenway where he strikes out a hitter per inning and three to every one that he walks. He's had minor control problems lately, but he's also been very hard to hit. Even if he has a mediocre outing by his standards, I'm expecting the Sox to score enough to win this game with insurance. I feel so confident that I'm not even taking the insurance of the -1 RL. Sox take the first game of this double header with ease.
NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u
NCAA: 8-1 (88.9%) +7.90u
NHL-P: 11-4 (73.3%) +7.00uBoston Red Sox -1.5 (-130)
So Guillermo Moscoso has only given up 11 hits in his last 20 innings and has an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.75 during that span. Oakland has scored 36 runs in their last 4 games (9 rpg). Is Boston in jeopardy of losing two in a row at home? Should they be scared of the Athletics? No, not even close, and I'll tell you why.
Moscoso's advanced stats indicate how poor of a pitcher he really is. He has one of the worst ground ball percentages in the league at a measly 25%. He gives up more than two fly balls to every ground ball. This just will not work in Fenway against the extremely potent left-handed heavy Red Sox line-up. Against lefties the right-handed Moscoso has a 4.53 FIP, 5.33 xFIP, .235 BABIP, 1.44 K/BB. I included his BABIP instead of his BA (as I usually would) to indicate his likelihood to regress in his next series of starts. He's a contact fly-ball pitcher going on the road against one of the most powerful line-ups in the league in a hitters ballpark. I don't expect him to be as lucky as he has been with balls hit in play finding defenders. The Red Sox will crush him today.
Lester is a much better pitcher. He has extremely good numbers against lefties and he's better than average against righties. He likes pitching in Fenway where he strikes out a hitter per inning and three to every one that he walks. He's had minor control problems lately, but he's also been very hard to hit. Even if he has a mediocre outing by his standards, I'm expecting the Sox to score enough to win this game with insurance. I feel so confident that I'm not even taking the insurance of the -1 RL. Sox take the first game of this double header with ease.
0
Hot Forum Topics
