Nationals are 0-6 in this situation

I posted this thread Sunday and it held true to push this trend 6-0 this season. 

This season when the Nationals are put in a spot on the road to go above .500 they are 0-6 on the moneyline and 3-3 against the runline.  Overall the Nationals are 3-11 in the attempt to go above .500 all 3 of those wins coming at home.

I'm an Astros fan and have done pretty well going against them, which doesn't say much about handicapping skills because anybody would be doing well betting against them.  I thought your trend was interesting as I have never followed how teams fare when approaching a winning record.  I looked into it a little further and think WAS is actually 3-12 when trying to break .500.  I think the only problem with applying this today's game is that 2 losses were to PHI, 4 losses to ATL and 4 losses to PIT.  That's 10 of the 12 losses to the #1, #2 and #4 teams in the NL.  The other 2 losses were to LAA with Haren starting and COL with Jimenez starting.  McDonald (PIT) has the highest ERA of all the starters they lost to at 4.42.  J. Happ (HOU) has an ERA of 5.76.  I'm taking WAS today, but GL if you decide to bet on Houston.   

example #1 Hoston's winning percentage is 20.6%

example #2 Houston's winning percentage is 34%

My example Nationals winning percentage is 0%

Even if Nationals do win tonight, their winning percentage in this situation will be 14%. 

Of course based on the line Washington should win this game 66% of the time.  Washington backers have nearly all the right percentages in their favor, except for the inability to get over the .500 hump on the road.  Which they have failed to do, when presented the opportunity every single time this season.  However, this is the first time they will be given this chance against the Happless  Astro's.  Unless the Astros are Happful on the mound today.  Ok that was lame. 

Zimmermann is very gifted...

JA ( Hapless) Happ is carrying a gascan into an inferno....

Wouldn't it be funny if he eats tacos today and they lose. 

I know what you mean, but couldn't this be a psychological hurdle for the Nationals?  Or perhaps it is just a coincidence and they are a hovering .500 team.  Sometimes they get over the hump and sometimes they don't.  But for the most part they are not good enough.

Can't disagree with that. 

Happless Happ is 0-7, 5.52 in his last ten starts

I'm sure you've seen the overall outcome for the Astro's in his last 10 appearances.  Then look at Zimmer's last 10. 

It's the perfect storm for a bunch threads wondering how in the hell did Happ beat Zimmerman.  Life of the degenerate.

I'm on the OVER 7.5

And as Happ will give up 8 himself... I believe Zimmerman gives up about 3 or 4 as well tonight.

Of course, then when it get's to something like 0-14.  Then you'll pull out the "due" factor. 

I hope the over hits, I just hope you have the wrong person giving up the predicted runs.  Then we both

I wasn't aware you're rolling with your Natty Situation 

I'm gonna give it a shot, even if it's a small wager.