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*SJP's Winner's Circle* (Thursday---July 7th, 2011)

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Hello, hello!

Great day yesterday going 3-1 (+2.10 Units) and accomplishing my season goal of $10,000.

That sent my current streak to 37-20-1 (+20.00 Units) which is a phenomenal run.

So, what's next? Let's do it again!

My next Covers column is now featured. Check it out!
Sarah J. Phillips: On Deadly Ground

If you have comments or suggestions about the column itself, please leave those in the article's comment field (found at the bottom of the column's web page) so it doesn't clutter this thread. I really appreciate your feedback, both good and constructive.

Let's get some winners on the board! I'm still looking at a couple things on the Braves/Rockies early game, but I should have a platy on it shortly.

Have a solid play? Post it!

Thanks to everyone who supports this thread. I enjoy discussing the games with you.

SJP
 
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Posted: #2
nice day for baseball but only 1 day game... oh well.. it has been a while since we have a bigger thursday card.. good luck today sarah
 
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Posted: #3
If you won 10K in real money congrats and keep it up.
 
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I really want to back the Colorado Rockies today, but the fact that Nicasio is 0-1 with a 7.47 ERA is keeping me from pulling the trigger.

It seems like, if Colorado was to win today, it would need to be a lower scoring game. The Under is juiced at -120 to -135 right now.
 
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The part of the rockies lineup that have done pretty well against hudson are out. Hinske and McCann are out for the Braves. Think Braves win a close one and would not back the rockies in their current form with their current lineup. Nicasio has only one a lot of his starts due to major run support, can't see him getting that support today.
 
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Hudson "trend":

06/05@ NYML 4-6
06/10@ HOUW 11-4
06/15vs NYML 0-4
06/20vs TORW 2-0
06/26@ SDL 1-4
07/02vs BALW 5-4

The loss that stands out, obviously, is the San Diego Padres because their offense is just as anemic as the one the Rockies will send out today. Hudson has been rotating wins and losses for the past 6 games.
 
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Posted: #7

500 dollar units

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #8
lovin these moneylines:

boston
sea
oak
florida
sd
tb
kc

lots of value today

 
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Posted: #9
Fuck sarah why you have to that Hudson stat up! FML!!!
 
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Posted: #10
I took the ROCKIES ML..talk me out of it SJP! 
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

Hudson "trend":

06/05 @ NYM L 4-6
06/10 @ HOU W 11-4
06/15 vs NYM L 0-4
06/20 vs TOR W 2-0
06/26 @ SD L 1-4
07/02 vs BAL W 5-4


The loss that stands out, obviously, is the San Diego Padres because their offense is just as anemic as the one the Rockies will send out today. Hudson has been rotating wins and losses for the past 6 games.

Thats a trend for the braves when hudson is the starter, as hudson did not lose to the padres, the braves sucked for 8 innings and the padres won that game late off venters.  now that the braves have been producing at the plate like they did for him last year when he was so great record when the braves gave him 3 runs or more of support. I think he gets those 3 runs of support today and then some.

 
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@minion0812: LOL! What?

@GIMMETHEPOINTS: I'm currently trying to talk myself out of it. LOL!
 
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Posted: #13
If you wanna know the stats of tim hudson last year when he had 3 runs of support e-mail straight shooter he is like the biggest braves homer on the planet, hes got it written down somewhere i'm sure. I think he may have even started a topic on it last year for a WS debate.
 
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Posted: #14
I initially liked the rockies too, but they are getting basically getting zero production from their 6-9 hitters against R pitchers (all hitting .200 and below)
 
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Quote Originally Posted by eliminat0r85:

Thats a trend for the braves when hudson is the starter, as hudson did not lose to the padres, the braves sucked for 8 innings and the padres won that game late off venters.  now that the braves have been producing at the plate like they did for him last year when he was so great record when the braves gave him 3 runs or more of support. I think he gets those 3 runs of support today and then some.



I judge pitcher's based on Team W/L. Players have a certain mindset when a guy is on the mound, ya know? Some great pitchers get crappy run support because their players feel like the pitcher will throw a gem.

Wouldn't Atlanta Team Total be a better platy (less vig) than Braves ML if you think he's going to get good support today?
 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

@minion0812: LOL! What?

@GIMMETHEPOINTS: I'm currently trying to talk myself out of it. LOL!

fuck it i'm rolling with it

 

 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by GIMMETHEPOINTS:

fuck it i'm rolling with it

 




 
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Posted: #18
Colorado's the fake sharp play.  Not all heavy favorites are dumb.  Maybe half.  

I wanted to take Colorado bad, I am no sharp, so no reason to back a shit team because the public is on the other side and they are "due."  

They are "due" to sucker you out of money like the last 3 games if anything.

But I'm probably wrong.
 
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Posted: #19

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



I judge pitcher's based on Team W/L. Players have a certain mindset when a guy is on the mound, ya know? Some great pitchers get crappy run support because their players feel like the pitcher will throw a gem.

Wouldn't Atlanta Team Total be a better platy (less vig) than Braves ML if you think he's going to get good support today?

No not really, just cause I think he'll get 3 runs of support and then some doesn't mean he'll actually get run support, rockies are anemic right now and the braves have been anemic when hudson is on the mound. This could easily be a 1-0 game. It shouldn't be, i don't know wehat changed with the braves hitters since last year but they just are not scoring for Hudson this year, when last year they did a solid job at the plate for him.

 
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Posted: #20
Hey sarah,

       Personal Question if you don't mind ?
How Old are you ? maybe I missed it somewhere
I ask because you look like you are 16 years old

and if you are Not, then How and When did you start gambling ?
I know that women gamble, But Nowhere near as Pretty as You
 
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LVL is on it so it can't be but so bad
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:

Colorado's the fake sharp play.  Not all heavy favorites are dumb.  Maybe half.  

I wanted to take Colorado bad, I am no sharp, so no reason to back a shit team because the public is on the other side and they are "due."  

They are "due" to sucker you out of money like the last 3 games if anything.

But I'm probably wrong.


So, do you like Colorado, or do you like Atlanta? Pre-fading yourself.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by eliminat0r85:

No not really, just cause I think he'll get 3 runs of support and then some doesn't mean he'll actually get run support, rockies are anemic right now and the braves have been anemic when hudson is on the mound. This could easily be a 1-0 game. It shouldn't be, i don't know wehat changed with the braves hitters since last year but they just are not scoring for Hudson this year, when last year they did a solid job at the plate for him.



Got ya.


 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by thehorsemen2:

Hey sarah,

       Personal Question if you don't mind ?
How Old are you ? maybe I missed it somewhere
I ask because you look like you are 16 years old

and if you are Not, then How and When did you start gambling ?
I know that women gamble, But Nowhere near as Pretty as You


I'm actually 11 years old. I graduated from Harvard last month.




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