Yesterday: 2-0 -Pavano was great in a CG victory as a team that shouldn't be favored on the road against a team who has been playing great baseball after a terrible start took a beating. The Pirates didn't get as much as I expected from Charlie Morton yet the team played well enough to win. Game ball goes to Xavier Paul who was huge with a 2-out double that led to a rally and he also hit his first HR of the year into the Crawford Boxes adding some breathing room for the Bucs to win without a crisis late. Rays lost on one bad pitch from Hellboy that sailed over the wall off Youkilis's bat. The BoSox have grounded into so many double plays I can't stand it...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
-11.354
Dogs 14-16 +1.301 Favs 14-11 +3.004 RLs 0-2 -2.10 1st 5 4-5 -1.25 Over 3-6 -3.20 Under 11-14 -4.36 Team Totals 1-5 -4.75
March 0-1 -0.889 April 14-30 -18.097 May 23-19-1 +4.729 June 12-9-1 +2.913
Yesterday: 2-0 -Pavano was great in a CG victory as a team that shouldn't be favored on the road against a team who has been playing great baseball after a terrible start took a beating. The Pirates didn't get as much as I expected from Charlie Morton yet the team played well enough to win. Game ball goes to Xavier Paul who was huge with a 2-out double that led to a rally and he also hit his first HR of the year into the Crawford Boxes adding some breathing room for the Bucs to win without a crisis late. Rays lost on one bad pitch from Hellboy that sailed over the wall off Youkilis's bat. The BoSox have grounded into so many double plays I can't stand it...
interests w/o lines: TEX -110 or less MIN u7.5 ARI -1
leans: WAS +115: Bucknor ARI -130: Danley MIN +105/u8: Diaz TB -120/u8: Darling
locked in: Arizona ML (-130) vs. San Francisco -Thought the line was extremely short so I grabbed it at the open. Helps that the Giants have taken the first two of this series, so the home team should give it their all tomorrow to avoid the sweep. The Beard was used twice in the last two nights getting saves, while Putz was bad tonight giving two runs away late making it a much easier save for Wilson. The Giants supposedly have this team's number, but there's a huge pitching advantage and the team should fight tooth and nail to avoid the sweep so I'll take the -130.
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interests w/o lines: TEX -110 or less MIN u7.5 ARI -1
leans: WAS +115: Bucknor ARI -130: Danley MIN +105/u8: Diaz TB -120/u8: Darling
locked in: Arizona ML (-130) vs. San Francisco -Thought the line was extremely short so I grabbed it at the open. Helps that the Giants have taken the first two of this series, so the home team should give it their all tomorrow to avoid the sweep. The Beard was used twice in the last two nights getting saves, while Putz was bad tonight giving two runs away late making it a much easier save for Wilson. The Giants supposedly have this team's number, but there's a huge pitching advantage and the team should fight tooth and nail to avoid the sweep so I'll take the -130.
BOS-TB -Price 7ip 3er 10h 0bb with Darling in his career. Buchholz also good with him as his only start saw 6ip 5h 0r 2bb. He's 2-1 with a 2.30 ERA @TB, 2.76 career in the dome and 3-2 1.81 all-time against TB. He loves 5 days rest for ERA, best WHIP on normal 4 days though. He's at his best when he doesn't get a lot of support, which would help an under. He's struggled with lefties a bit, which helps Jaso/Zobrist/Joyce/Brignac/Johnson as they have a heavy lefty lineup. Price likes Jaso so he should be in there against Buchholz, and he's always been a ton better at home than on the road. Also, he's 4-2 3.18 vs. BOS and loves 5 days rest like Buchholz. It's surprising how similar they are, we just need to get them when they aren't on extended rest and they should be at their best. Righties have hit him better, naturally, and their OBP is great but the 2011 Red Sox are filled with lefties. We'll see Cameron in RF because Drew isn't playing much against LHP, but that still leaves Ellsbury, Gonzalez, Ortiz, and Crawford if the lineup is at full strength. Cameron is 3/6 against Price, followed by Youkilis (.385) then Lowrie (.364) and Darnell McDonald (.333). McDonald is just off the DL and Tito likes to play guys when they come up so we may see a day off for Crawford or Ellsbury to get McDonald at the 7 or the 8 and Cameron in RF. That should help Price, even though they're the only two on the team with a HR against him, while he hasn't needed much with Scutaro (.111), Pedroia (1/9) and Ortiz (.167). Price is on 4 days and he should respond off a bad outing @BAL, while Buchholz is on his beloved 5 days and he is trying to build momentum off a great start @TOR. Clay has been owned by Kotchman (6/9) and hit hard by Upton (.400, HR), while Jaso sits at 1/7 and Longoria at .278 without a longball. I just have a hard time believing these two offenses, which scored 7 runs in 2 games with each alternating shutouts, will continue to struggle. Boston has struggled in St. Pete for years, though, and the Rays haven't hit at all while at home. Beckett gave the Sox pen a huge break with the CG tonight and Shields did that yesterday for a team that really needed it. Ramos and Russell were used lightly today so that shouldn't put the Rays in trouble with relief, but Price isn't going to require much help unless he gets shelled where we'd lose anyways. A big move just came on the u8, which I would happily wait for 7.5 because there isn't much value between the two. I think I'm going to play it when I can get odds on the u7.5
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BOS-TB -Price 7ip 3er 10h 0bb with Darling in his career. Buchholz also good with him as his only start saw 6ip 5h 0r 2bb. He's 2-1 with a 2.30 ERA @TB, 2.76 career in the dome and 3-2 1.81 all-time against TB. He loves 5 days rest for ERA, best WHIP on normal 4 days though. He's at his best when he doesn't get a lot of support, which would help an under. He's struggled with lefties a bit, which helps Jaso/Zobrist/Joyce/Brignac/Johnson as they have a heavy lefty lineup. Price likes Jaso so he should be in there against Buchholz, and he's always been a ton better at home than on the road. Also, he's 4-2 3.18 vs. BOS and loves 5 days rest like Buchholz. It's surprising how similar they are, we just need to get them when they aren't on extended rest and they should be at their best. Righties have hit him better, naturally, and their OBP is great but the 2011 Red Sox are filled with lefties. We'll see Cameron in RF because Drew isn't playing much against LHP, but that still leaves Ellsbury, Gonzalez, Ortiz, and Crawford if the lineup is at full strength. Cameron is 3/6 against Price, followed by Youkilis (.385) then Lowrie (.364) and Darnell McDonald (.333). McDonald is just off the DL and Tito likes to play guys when they come up so we may see a day off for Crawford or Ellsbury to get McDonald at the 7 or the 8 and Cameron in RF. That should help Price, even though they're the only two on the team with a HR against him, while he hasn't needed much with Scutaro (.111), Pedroia (1/9) and Ortiz (.167). Price is on 4 days and he should respond off a bad outing @BAL, while Buchholz is on his beloved 5 days and he is trying to build momentum off a great start @TOR. Clay has been owned by Kotchman (6/9) and hit hard by Upton (.400, HR), while Jaso sits at 1/7 and Longoria at .278 without a longball. I just have a hard time believing these two offenses, which scored 7 runs in 2 games with each alternating shutouts, will continue to struggle. Boston has struggled in St. Pete for years, though, and the Rays haven't hit at all while at home. Beckett gave the Sox pen a huge break with the CG tonight and Shields did that yesterday for a team that really needed it. Ramos and Russell were used lightly today so that shouldn't put the Rays in trouble with relief, but Price isn't going to require much help unless he gets shelled where we'd lose anyways. A big move just came on the u8, which I would happily wait for 7.5 because there isn't much value between the two. I think I'm going to play it when I can get odds on the u7.5
add Boston-Tampa Bay UNDER 7.5 (-115) -Surprised to see it go from 8 all the way to 7.5 with some extra juice I have to pay, but I'd much rather save the money and go under 7.5 than 8 when I'm late to the party like this so I'm not phased by it. Need a big day from Buchholz for the future and for this under, so let's go Clay (clap-clap-clap clap clap)
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add Boston-Tampa Bay UNDER 7.5 (-115) -Surprised to see it go from 8 all the way to 7.5 with some extra juice I have to pay, but I'd much rather save the money and go under 7.5 than 8 when I'm late to the party like this so I'm not phased by it. Need a big day from Buchholz for the future and for this under, so let's go Clay (clap-clap-clap clap clap)
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