Posted:
#1
5/28 - Saturday
Cws@Tor
Jackson - candidate for positive regression and has been horrible on the road so far. The interesting thing here is that last year he actually pitched better on the road. Note: his away games this year have been against TB, DET, NYY and TEX. Carlos for TOR must posess some nasty 'stuff'. High K/9. Struggles a bit with control but looks to be effectively wild. His FB% has been way up from last year while his LD rate has been much lower. Anyway, Offenses: Toronto 6th in Runs and SLG%. CWS: Midpack. CWS bullpen is highly underrated and TOR has been tidy this year. 'Under' ump calling strikes. Early line movement against Sox
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
White Sox are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings.
White Sox are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in Toronto
Early Lean: Strong lean to the Under
Clv@TB
Carrasco has deceptive ERA. Positive regression very likely although he is not 'pitching' as well as he did last year. Shields - I guess you can fade him if you're feeling lucky. Advantage CLV with bats and bullpen
CLE are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Tampa Bay
Rays are 2-5 in Shields' last 7 starts vs. Indians
Early Lean: Under
Pit@Chi
Wells hasn't been good since 2009. Pitched OK last time out. Malholm: what you see is what you get, consistently average. Hitting adv goes to Cubs; Bullpen to Bucs.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 4-1 in Maholms last 5 starts vs. Cubs.
Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.
Pirates are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.
Pirates are 10-4 in Maholms last 14 starts vs. Cubs
Early Lean: Pirates with the money
SD@Was
Both pitchers have very nice advanced stats suggesting positive regression. Good looking K/BB ratios. Zimmerman has struggled a bit this year, but this kid can deal. Weak ass offenses. Pads bullpen top-notch and the Nats pen has been surprisingly effective.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Padres are 38-18 in the last 56 meetings.
Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Washington
Early Lean: Pads with the money and Under
Sfo@Mil
--Sanchez has High K/9 but comes with heavy walks. Numbers spot on with last year.
--Wolf is a flyball pitcher. Negative regression is possible. Struggled in May but pitched very well last time out vs COL.
--Huge advantage to MIL bats. Giants have a shut-down pen.
Giants are 1-4 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. Brewers
Giants are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.
Giants are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Early Lean: Under
Cws@Tor
Jackson - candidate for positive regression and has been horrible on the road so far. The interesting thing here is that last year he actually pitched better on the road. Note: his away games this year have been against TB, DET, NYY and TEX. Carlos for TOR must posess some nasty 'stuff'. High K/9. Struggles a bit with control but looks to be effectively wild. His FB% has been way up from last year while his LD rate has been much lower. Anyway, Offenses: Toronto 6th in Runs and SLG%. CWS: Midpack. CWS bullpen is highly underrated and TOR has been tidy this year. 'Under' ump calling strikes. Early line movement against Sox
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
White Sox are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings.
White Sox are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in Toronto
Early Lean: Strong lean to the Under
Clv@TB
Carrasco has deceptive ERA. Positive regression very likely although he is not 'pitching' as well as he did last year. Shields - I guess you can fade him if you're feeling lucky. Advantage CLV with bats and bullpen
CLE are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Tampa Bay
Rays are 2-5 in Shields' last 7 starts vs. Indians
Early Lean: Under
Pit@Chi
Wells hasn't been good since 2009. Pitched OK last time out. Malholm: what you see is what you get, consistently average. Hitting adv goes to Cubs; Bullpen to Bucs.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 4-1 in Maholms last 5 starts vs. Cubs.
Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.
Pirates are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.
Pirates are 10-4 in Maholms last 14 starts vs. Cubs
Early Lean: Pirates with the money
SD@Was
Both pitchers have very nice advanced stats suggesting positive regression. Good looking K/BB ratios. Zimmerman has struggled a bit this year, but this kid can deal. Weak ass offenses. Pads bullpen top-notch and the Nats pen has been surprisingly effective.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Padres are 38-18 in the last 56 meetings.
Padres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Washington
Early Lean: Pads with the money and Under
Sfo@Mil
--Sanchez has High K/9 but comes with heavy walks. Numbers spot on with last year.
--Wolf is a flyball pitcher. Negative regression is possible. Struggled in May but pitched very well last time out vs COL.
--Huge advantage to MIL bats. Giants have a shut-down pen.
Giants are 1-4 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. Brewers
Giants are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.
Giants are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Early Lean: Under
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