Posted:
#1
2011 MLB Record:
43 - 26 @ 62% for +15.36 Units
Tue, 05/03
#1: New York Yankees (-1 RL) -133
Penny is becoming an 'almost' auto-fade for me right now. He has a FIP of 4.90 with xFIP of 4.82, one of the lowest in the league out of pitchers that 'qualify'. His .265 BABIP is the 35th luckiest but is offset somewhat by a 50% GB%. Either way, he has a very low 1.27 K/BB ratio and a high 1.02 HR/9 ratio that is sure to be exploited by this Yankee lineup. Speaking of this Yankee lineup, they are batting .336 off him with .388 OBP and a ridiculous 1.027 OPS. In addition, Penny is coming off a 112 pitch outing, his highest since 2009.
New York is scoring 6.5 rpg on the road this season. Tigers at home are averaging 3.8 rpg. That's a difference of almost 3 runs per game. With CC Sabathia on the mound, I expect the Bombers to win this one by 2+ tonight.
#2: Chicago White Sox -128
Two struggling teams with two struggling pitchers face-off in this one. The difference here is that Jackson has pitched a lot better at home this season than on the road. He has an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP of 1.1 in the US Cellular Field with a 17 to 3 K/BB ratio. Liriano has a road-ERA of 5.75 and WHIP of 1.7. He has given up 4 HR's in ony 15 innings and has issued 13 BB's to only 10 K's. Something is just not right with him as he has an FIP of 6.06 (one of the worst in the league) and xFIP of 5.25 (the worst). Jackson has an FIP of 3.71 and xFIP of 3.70. His .357 BABIP is one of the unluckiest in the league and against a Twins lineup that hasn't scored more than 3 runs in the past 6 games, I expect that number to regress further to the mean. White Sox are 4-0 in Jackson's last 4 home starts and I expect them to get their 2nd consecutive win tonight.
43 - 26 @ 62% for +15.36 Units
Tue, 05/03
#1: New York Yankees (-1 RL) -133
Penny is becoming an 'almost' auto-fade for me right now. He has a FIP of 4.90 with xFIP of 4.82, one of the lowest in the league out of pitchers that 'qualify'. His .265 BABIP is the 35th luckiest but is offset somewhat by a 50% GB%. Either way, he has a very low 1.27 K/BB ratio and a high 1.02 HR/9 ratio that is sure to be exploited by this Yankee lineup. Speaking of this Yankee lineup, they are batting .336 off him with .388 OBP and a ridiculous 1.027 OPS. In addition, Penny is coming off a 112 pitch outing, his highest since 2009.
New York is scoring 6.5 rpg on the road this season. Tigers at home are averaging 3.8 rpg. That's a difference of almost 3 runs per game. With CC Sabathia on the mound, I expect the Bombers to win this one by 2+ tonight.
#2: Chicago White Sox -128
Two struggling teams with two struggling pitchers face-off in this one. The difference here is that Jackson has pitched a lot better at home this season than on the road. He has an ERA of 2.84 and WHIP of 1.1 in the US Cellular Field with a 17 to 3 K/BB ratio. Liriano has a road-ERA of 5.75 and WHIP of 1.7. He has given up 4 HR's in ony 15 innings and has issued 13 BB's to only 10 K's. Something is just not right with him as he has an FIP of 6.06 (one of the worst in the league) and xFIP of 5.25 (the worst). Jackson has an FIP of 3.71 and xFIP of 3.70. His .357 BABIP is one of the unluckiest in the league and against a Twins lineup that hasn't scored more than 3 runs in the past 6 games, I expect that number to regress further to the mean. White Sox are 4-0 in Jackson's last 4 home starts and I expect them to get their 2nd consecutive win tonight.
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
0
Why yes they sure can. They are freaking horrible this year. There top 3 guys arent even hitting .200. Plus they have seizmore and some other upcoming studs, tearing up the AAA, that Leyland wont call up. I hope the yanks sweep them, for 3 CONSECUTIVE sweeps. GL to everyone though. 
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