9/30 - 2 early MLB picks plus a quick question

Question

Did good on my only bet yesterday, with the Cubbies blowing out the Bucs and easily covering the -1.5 run line. Here's who I like today.

Minn -113 ML (Pavano has OWNED the Tigers this year)
NYM/Was Under 8.5 (2 bad offenses, very few starters)

I'll have more once more lines are posted, especially both of the PIT/CHC games and the Sox/Indians game. For some reason, The Greek only has 9 games up for betting so far. Do sportsbooks normally cancel this many games, or do you think more lines will pop up later?

thatguy7 · Answer

Did good on my only bet yesterday, with the Cubbies blowing out the Bucs and easily covering the -1.5 run line. Here's who I like today.

Minn -113 ML (Pavano has OWNED the Tigers this year)
NYM/Was Under 8.5 (2 bad offenses, very few starters)

I'll have more once more lines are posted, especially both of the PIT/CHC games and the Sox/Indians game. For some reason, The Greek only has 9 games up for betting so far. Do sportsbooks normally cancel this many games, or do you think more lines will pop up later?

NoWorries21 · Answer

How do you know the MEts and NAts are sitting starters? I like the under as well and the Nats as Lannan is good at home but I am gonna wait for lineups.

cappinthepigs · Answer

More lines will be up.. Both CHC games are completely up now.

GM 1:11:05 AM

931	PIT GM1, P: C MORTON-R	+1½+105	o8-110	+240
932	CUBS GM1, P: T LILLY-L	-1½-125	u8-110	-290

GM2: 5:05 PM

909	PIT GM2, P: J KARSTENS-R	+1½+110	o8½EV	+230
910	CUBS GM2, P: C ZAMBRANO-R	-1½-130	u8½-120	-270

thatguy7 · Answer

Sweetness.  Thank you sir.

thatguy7 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by NoWorries21] How do you know the MEts and&#xD;&#xA;NAts are sitting starters? I like the under as well and the Nats as&#xD;&#xA;Lannan is good at home but I am gonna wait for lineups.  [/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;I haven&#x27;t placed any bets yet, but even if the Mets and Nats were&#xD;&#xA;playing their starters, I would still feel comfortable with the under&#xD;&#xA;at 8.5.  I also looked at the lineups they played yesterday to get a&#xD;&#xA;feel for what the lineup would look like.  Wright/Beltran and&#xD;&#xA;Zimmerman/Dunn have absolutely NO protection in their respective&#xD;&#xA;lineups.

thatguy7 · Answer

Okay, first placed bet of the day: 3 team parlay

Mets/Nats Under 8.5
Cubs GM 1 -1.5
Cubs team total GM 1 Over 5

Explained the Mets/Nats pick, and here's my explaination for the Cubs/Bucs game. First, Bucs are absolutely terrible, especially on the road ::CAPTAIN OBVIOUS ALERT::. Also, Morton's last start on the road against the Cubs, he barely lasted 1 inning and gave up 10 runs, all earned. So let's parlay it up!

Bet 25 to win 140

Let's do this!!

cappinthepigs · Answer

I looked at that game and have no feel for it... Thinking no play... Both Teams are just flat out horrible and not consistent at all, just consistently shitty... My only lean so far today through some early looks is FLA/ATL over 7.5

My .02

Good Luck to ya

thatguy7 · Answer

EDITFuck.  Rookie mistake.  No inter-game betting allowed.  So, let&#x27;s keep the Cubs team total over 5 and leave it at that:Mets/Nats Under 8.5Cubs team total GM1 Over 5Bet 20 to win 58.10There we go.

thatguy7 · Answer

Yeah, I&#x27;ve been burned by the Nats before, but looking at the past 2 games in the series, there has been NO offense whatsoever (10 runs combined for the past 2 games).  Good luck on the FLA/ATL over!

thatguy7 · Answer

Added another parlay due to the fact that the Cubs are playing absolutely NOBODY in their lineup3 team parlayTwins ML (-110)Twins/Tigers Under 9.5 (-125)Cubs/Pirates Under 8 (-115)

thatguy7 · Answer

Heh, so far, so good.  Glad I hedged my bets with the under on the cubs game.Also decided to do just a straight bet on the under for the Nats/Mets game.To sum up:Mets/Nats Under 8.5Cubs team total GM1 Over 5Bet 20 to win 58.10::pretty much counting this as a loss::Twins ML (-110)Twins/Tigers Under 9.5 (-125)Cubs/Pirates Under 8 (-115)Bet 15 to win 81.37Mets/Nats Under 8.5 (-110)Bet 20 to win 18.18I&#x27;m feeling it, 2 - 1 record for the day, end up $80.  I&#x27;ll be watching the Tigers game a bit more intently than usual.

9/30 - 2 early MLB picks plus a quick question

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