Just curious friend. What changed from last nightwhen you were on boston.I was thinking of going Boston tonight. Can you convince me to do otherwise? Thanks for your help . ||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
0
Just curious friend. What changed from last nightwhen you were on boston.I was thinking of going Boston tonight. Can you convince me to do otherwise? Thanks for your help . ||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
What's up Pills?
Three reasons:
1. Doc now has an extra-day off in his pocket. This is, in my opinion, a much needed day of rest for him as he was averaging 120 pitches in his last four outings.
2. Boston's offensive run was much better off with no day off. The rain thing hurt their momentum a bit in my opinion.
3. On the other hand, the Jays were given time to prepare for this series mentally. It would've been a lot harder for them to just travel to Boston from Detroit on a losing note without being able to compose themselves. Now they have had a day to think about their approach in this series.
||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
0
What's up Pills?
Three reasons:
1. Doc now has an extra-day off in his pocket. This is, in my opinion, a much needed day of rest for him as he was averaging 120 pitches in his last four outings.
2. Boston's offensive run was much better off with no day off. The rain thing hurt their momentum a bit in my opinion.
3. On the other hand, the Jays were given time to prepare for this series mentally. It would've been a lot harder for them to just travel to Boston from Detroit on a losing note without being able to compose themselves. Now they have had a day to think about their approach in this series.
||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
Very soild reasoning. Makes a lot of sence to me. I can never be convinced to bet on Toronto here however you have made it a no play for me. Thank you very much for sharing your insight with me. I wish you the best of luck on you play tonight sir.||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
0
Very soild reasoning. Makes a lot of sence to me. I can never be convinced to bet on Toronto here however you have made it a no play for me. Thank you very much for sharing your insight with me. I wish you the best of luck on you play tonight sir.||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
OH! There you go THINKIN' again! I'm sure that's why Bostons line dropped from -244 last night to -116 this AM!!
I had all your above reasons as to why I had Boston yesterday and then I go jump on Boston today when the line dropped thinking it was a gift-not such a big loss if the bet went south.
0
OH! There you go THINKIN' again! I'm sure that's why Bostons line dropped from -244 last night to -116 this AM!!
I had all your above reasons as to why I had Boston yesterday and then I go jump on Boston today when the line dropped thinking it was a gift-not such a big loss if the bet went south.
Wait a minute. You guys are going too fast for me.
Did I miss out on something? I thought the game was delayed because of the activities for the Jimmy Fund. Same matchup? Okay. Same thing for me.
BOSOX... big time
UNDER 8 1/2 parlayed in various ways.
Best to ya' all. Thanks.
||an_cheers.gif' border=0> these early morning brews are dedicated to you!
0
Wait a minute. You guys are going too fast for me.
Did I miss out on something? I thought the game was delayed because of the activities for the Jimmy Fund. Same matchup? Okay. Same thing for me.
BOSOX... big time
UNDER 8 1/2 parlayed in various ways.
Best to ya' all. Thanks.
||an_cheers.gif' border=0> these early morning brews are dedicated to you!
fupap: Printed out the picks in the League Contest and it showsTor +206/ Bos -224 about 11:15PM (bedtime). Was shocked this AM- must have been one of those 'obvious' mistakes that sometimes happens....
0
fupap: Printed out the picks in the League Contest and it showsTor +206/ Bos -224 about 11:15PM (bedtime). Was shocked this AM- must have been one of those 'obvious' mistakes that sometimes happens....
GL on yours:
Mine is:
Danks to deal...Bats explode. (just a dream or a nightmare) Anyway, going CWS RL -1½ +110 $150/$165. Can't see the miserable handling of the "pen" 2 days in a row & hoping complete game from Danks.
0
GL on yours:
Mine is:
Danks to deal...Bats explode. (just a dream or a nightmare) Anyway, going CWS RL -1½ +110 $150/$165. Can't see the miserable handling of the "pen" 2 days in a row & hoping complete game from Danks.
Please read this with the intent it was meant to be delivered. Sometimes extensive research, which I do all the time, because this is truly a labor of love for me, can be taken as being a surefire guarantee that this game has no chance of losing. That isn't true, nor will it ever be. Just read and conclude for yourself if there is value in what you read, and if you choose to pluck down a few shekles on the game, then please do so responsibly. With that said here is my take on the Toronto @ Boston game today. Roy Halladay overall has not pitched well at Fenway Park, but the reality is, most of those poor performances occured during his early years, as the Sox beat him with regularity. His first 8 appearances at Fenway saw the Sox go 7-1 and scoring 6 runs a game on average. Since then, Halladay has led the Blue Jays to a 4-4 mark at the Fenz and the Red Sox team total has dipped to 4 runs from 6. The Red Sox it would appear are a hot offensive team right now, and dangerous to fade, but there is substantial evidence, that the value in this one tilts to the side of the Blue Jays. How is that possible with a team that is 43-16 at Fenway, to find value on the otherside? here is the answer. I looked at the Red Sox 10 games at home where they faced a high octane pitcher, and here are the results:
Wang 1-4 LOSS
Mussina 4-3 WIN
Halladay 1-0 WIN
Kazmir 7-3 WIN
Hernandez 0-8 LOSS
Bedard 2-1 WIN
Haren 1-2 LOSS
Chamberlain 0-1 LOSS
Lackey 2-6 LOSS
Duchscherer 2-1 WIN
A 43-16 teams has been just 5-5 vs the 10 best pitchers they have seen this season at home, making them 38-11 in the other 49, meaning you should play on them anytime they face a pitcher of a lesser ilk of the above mentioned. The fact is the Red Sox are lucky to be 5-5 in these games, as they scored 2 runs or less in 8 of the 10!!!! They are lucky because they happened to be games the opponent underachieved offensively scoring just 2.9 runs a game. Does good pitching stop this Boston team at home? Well a look at the other 49 games says yes. In those other 49 games at home Boston has averaged an amazing 7.6 runs a game, vs the 2 runs a game they average against top pitchers. So the quick question is this, the Red Sox offense is on fire, so they will hit anyone right? WRONG! I went and looked at the game immediately preceeding the 10 above mentioned games where the Sox were held to 2 runs a game, to see if maybe coincidentally, they were in an offensive slump. The fact is they scored 7.8 runs a game on average before facing these top pitchers, even more than the other 48 at Fenway!!!! So what is the verdict here? What stands out is the games involving top opposing pitchers at Fenway only one has gone over the total all year, and that was by a single run, so if you play under the record is 9-1 in your favor, with the average runs scored coming in at 4.9 to an average total of 8.64, or almost a 4 run margin of winning. It would also be smart to look at Toronto at +1.5 runs, as 4 of the 5 Red Sox wins have come by a single run, because they score 2 or less in 8 of the 10, and there is also value on Toronto +110 in this one. It is a trifecta. Heavy units on the UNDER, moderate units on Toronto +1.5, and smaller wager on Toronto +110. Hope this gives you a picture of what I look for in terms of value in sports investing.
Good luck to all today!
0
Please read this with the intent it was meant to be delivered. Sometimes extensive research, which I do all the time, because this is truly a labor of love for me, can be taken as being a surefire guarantee that this game has no chance of losing. That isn't true, nor will it ever be. Just read and conclude for yourself if there is value in what you read, and if you choose to pluck down a few shekles on the game, then please do so responsibly. With that said here is my take on the Toronto @ Boston game today. Roy Halladay overall has not pitched well at Fenway Park, but the reality is, most of those poor performances occured during his early years, as the Sox beat him with regularity. His first 8 appearances at Fenway saw the Sox go 7-1 and scoring 6 runs a game on average. Since then, Halladay has led the Blue Jays to a 4-4 mark at the Fenz and the Red Sox team total has dipped to 4 runs from 6. The Red Sox it would appear are a hot offensive team right now, and dangerous to fade, but there is substantial evidence, that the value in this one tilts to the side of the Blue Jays. How is that possible with a team that is 43-16 at Fenway, to find value on the otherside? here is the answer. I looked at the Red Sox 10 games at home where they faced a high octane pitcher, and here are the results:
Wang 1-4 LOSS
Mussina 4-3 WIN
Halladay 1-0 WIN
Kazmir 7-3 WIN
Hernandez 0-8 LOSS
Bedard 2-1 WIN
Haren 1-2 LOSS
Chamberlain 0-1 LOSS
Lackey 2-6 LOSS
Duchscherer 2-1 WIN
A 43-16 teams has been just 5-5 vs the 10 best pitchers they have seen this season at home, making them 38-11 in the other 49, meaning you should play on them anytime they face a pitcher of a lesser ilk of the above mentioned. The fact is the Red Sox are lucky to be 5-5 in these games, as they scored 2 runs or less in 8 of the 10!!!! They are lucky because they happened to be games the opponent underachieved offensively scoring just 2.9 runs a game. Does good pitching stop this Boston team at home? Well a look at the other 49 games says yes. In those other 49 games at home Boston has averaged an amazing 7.6 runs a game, vs the 2 runs a game they average against top pitchers. So the quick question is this, the Red Sox offense is on fire, so they will hit anyone right? WRONG! I went and looked at the game immediately preceeding the 10 above mentioned games where the Sox were held to 2 runs a game, to see if maybe coincidentally, they were in an offensive slump. The fact is they scored 7.8 runs a game on average before facing these top pitchers, even more than the other 48 at Fenway!!!! So what is the verdict here? What stands out is the games involving top opposing pitchers at Fenway only one has gone over the total all year, and that was by a single run, so if you play under the record is 9-1 in your favor, with the average runs scored coming in at 4.9 to an average total of 8.64, or almost a 4 run margin of winning. It would also be smart to look at Toronto at +1.5 runs, as 4 of the 5 Red Sox wins have come by a single run, because they score 2 or less in 8 of the 10, and there is also value on Toronto +110 in this one. It is a trifecta. Heavy units on the UNDER, moderate units on Toronto +1.5, and smaller wager on Toronto +110. Hope this gives you a picture of what I look for in terms of value in sports investing.
Good luck to all today!
Toronto +1.5 ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
Toronto ML ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
Under in 5 ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
Under in 9 ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
||an_dance.gif' border=0>||an_dance.gif' border=0>||an_dance.gif' border=0>
0
Toronto +1.5 ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
Toronto ML ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
Under in 5 ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
Under in 9 ||moneybag.gif' border=0>
||an_dance.gif' border=0>||an_dance.gif' border=0>||an_dance.gif' border=0>
CWS only won 6 of 34 & now 7 of 35 vs OAK. Man they play bad vs OAK! This is a team they should destroy at this time, & tried to lose last night. Bats sure didn't explode lol...lost my RL bet.
Nice call on TOR.
0
CWS only won 6 of 34 & now 7 of 35 vs OAK. Man they play bad vs OAK! This is a team they should destroy at this time, & tried to lose last night. Bats sure didn't explode lol...lost my RL bet.
Nice call on TOR.
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