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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: Who's for Overtime?
WriterGuy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
WriterGuy
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#1
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:05:04 PM
NHL in the playoffs, NBA coming down the home stretch, MLB getting underway ... what's not to like?

In my case, I'm involved in a series of wagers that are determined by how many games go into sudden death overtime. Doesn't matter what teams are involved, the winning goal must occur in OT.

Yeah, it's a crapshoot to be sure. However, the payoff(s) are substantial and definitely worth the investment, IMO. As such, I'm taking a total of six games, three tonight and three tomorrow. I'd like to get your feedback on how likely you think these six have to make it to a fourth period:

Friday
Game 1: Detroit @ Nashville
Game 2: Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Game 3: L.A. @ Vancouver

Saturday
Game 4: Washington @ Boston
Game 5: San Jose @ St. Louis
Game 6: Chicago @ Phoenix

The rules of this wager demand that you must be correct in two of the games to get back your investment and a small profit. (You can play a maximum of six games total). Get three,right and you receive a larger return. To get four or more means you're celebrating on a plane to the next playoff game that most interests you. Etc. Etc.

Lotsa excellent posters here, so I'm truly looking forward to reading your words of wisdom in this unusual approach to wagering.

Thanks, guys. BOL to one and all!     .
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Dith
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#2
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:15:26 PM
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canadaguy_25
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#3
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:19:48 PM
No NJ/Florida? I would say tonights game has the most potential to go to overtime.
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WriterGuy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#4
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:29:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by canadaguy_25:

No NJ/Florida? I would say tonights game has the most potential to go to overtime.
You're right about the possibility in this match-up. I've been holding off, waiting to see who's between the pipes for the Panthers tonight. What I've been able to gather is that the likelihood is Theodore. Still, it remains unconfirmed (so far as I can find).

Just makes me the slightest bit nervous if there is no definite word on the status of a key player (or in this case, a key position).

Tell ya one thing ... if I decide to go with NJ @ Fla, I'd be inclined to drop the LA @ Van contest to make up my six games.
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canadaguy_25
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#5
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:01:36 PM
I think that would be a smart play. After the abysmal performance by the Canucks on Wednesday, I expect them to come out tonight with guns blazing. I love the Detroit/Nashville play as well.
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WriterGuy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:33:35 PM
The deed is done. Now, let's see the *gulp* winning results...

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#7
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:35:12 PM
BTW, continued wishes of success to those playing OT games and to those playing smart.  

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#8
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:54:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by canadaguy_25:

I think that would be a smart play. After the abysmal performance by the Canucks on Wednesday, I expect them to come out tonight with guns blazing. I love the Detroit/Nashville play as well.

I agree ... Wings @ Preds should be considered for OT for damn near every encounter. Barring the loss of top players, these teams have a history of playing close, tough games. Add in the playoff atmosphere and it makes a lot of sense.

Also agreed about the Canucks. They didn't play a smart game on Wednesday, and if they don't improve their overall play, the Kings are capable of taking them out.

Frankly, I had more confidence in Vancouver going into the playoffs last year. This year, while they certainly played a goodly number of games that squarely placed them among the elite, they played just as many (or more) that were problematic and questionable.

In my opinion, the ongoing difficulties are in their collective head. The team confidence comes and goes, There's no getting away from it ... the goalie situation has thrown a pall over them.

When Roberto is on, he's among the best in the league. But he has lapses, mental breakdowns and crisis in self-confidence more than is understandable. In a bad game when he misplays at least one goal, he'll start fighting the puck, which causes his defensemen  to become a little more shaky. In other words, it filters down and eventually spreads throughout the team.

As great as Luongo is a good portion of the time (he was the Canuck hero in the Wednesday game, for instance), the smart move would be to retain Schneider and move Lou. The trick is in how to get another team to accept his annual salary for the next X number of years.
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canadaguy_25
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#9
Posted: 4/13/2012 8:31:17 PM
As a diehard Canucks fan, I can honestly say you nailed them! That's exactly it! Their mentality can easily be shaken. If luo gives up a bad one, its almost like the entire just says BOHICA ("bend over here it comes again" for those who may not know) and packs it in. They also have to focus only on whistle to whistle and avoid all the other crap. Kesler especially plays best without the post whistle antics and Richards will dominate him if Kesler less him get under his skin.
As for goaltending, I'm on the fence. I love Lu and truly believe he is capable of bringing us a cup, but we've all seen the inconsistency that has plagued his career. As for Schneider, he's put up amazing numbers, but can those translate into 65 games a year as the go to guy? How deep we go this year will have a huge impact on that situation.
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