So far I've been picking every side and total in each game since Monday, going 13-8 (62%) -- respectable enough for capping every available line over 11 games.Today might be the first day this week I'll leave some picks on the table. Not finding a good edge on some of these totals and capping this Spurs / Lakers game makes me queasy. I feel like it's a play on the Lakers or no play.
Picks so far:
Celtics -2.5
Nuggets +1
Leaning:
Lakers +5
Will post back later with any totals and final picks.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
1.0 unit full game bets: 13-8-1 (+4.2)
0.5 unit halftime bets: 0-1 (-0.5)
Total: 13-9-1 (+3.7)
Last Night: 3-2-1
So far I've been picking every side and total in each game since Monday, going 13-8 (62%) -- respectable enough for capping every available line over 11 games.Today might be the first day this week I'll leave some picks on the table. Not finding a good edge on some of these totals and capping this Spurs / Lakers game makes me queasy. I feel like it's a play on the Lakers or no play.
Picks so far:
Celtics -2.5
Nuggets +1
Leaning:
Lakers +5
Will post back later with any totals and final picks.
can't imagine how the lakers will play w/o a point gurad..
duhon? morris? gasol? nahhhhhh
BOL
Might as well just have Dwight Howard walk the ball up the court.
I'm still figuring out my final thoughts on the pick. There could be some value in the 1Q or 1H line. If they're not close at the end of the first half, it's doubtful they'll make a meaningful run to get back into it. Therefore, one thought is that if you like them for the full game, you like them in the 1H as much or better, which would remove a bit of the risk of the Lakers tailing off in the 2H if the Spurs take over.
Also, worth keeping in mind that the Spurs haven't won a road game since February. 7 straight road losses (1-6 ATS, 0-3 SU and ATS as Favs over that stretch). The relevance of that fact is debatable at this stage of the series, but given the historical trend of bouncebacks (home team down 2-0 in the series are 59% ATS and 61% SU since 2003), the Lakers are still worth a look.
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Quote Originally Posted by BatangTae:
can't imagine how the lakers will play w/o a point gurad..
duhon? morris? gasol? nahhhhhh
BOL
Might as well just have Dwight Howard walk the ball up the court.
I'm still figuring out my final thoughts on the pick. There could be some value in the 1Q or 1H line. If they're not close at the end of the first half, it's doubtful they'll make a meaningful run to get back into it. Therefore, one thought is that if you like them for the full game, you like them in the 1H as much or better, which would remove a bit of the risk of the Lakers tailing off in the 2H if the Spurs take over.
Also, worth keeping in mind that the Spurs haven't won a road game since February. 7 straight road losses (1-6 ATS, 0-3 SU and ATS as Favs over that stretch). The relevance of that fact is debatable at this stage of the series, but given the historical trend of bouncebacks (home team down 2-0 in the series are 59% ATS and 61% SU since 2003), the Lakers are still worth a look.
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