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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: do want me to teach u how to bet over/under and predict final score?
bogaty send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 4/5/2013 12:31:29 AM
its quite easy and bookies make lots of mistakes at it at this stage of the season.examples spurs-thunder,hornets warriors and rockets-kings yesterday all lines were way to high and its gonna continue
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#2
Posted: 4/5/2013 12:36:59 AM

I bet you're rookie on gamble

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#3
Posted: 4/5/2013 12:40:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bogaty:

its quite easy and bookies make lots of mistakes at it at this stage of the season.examples spurs-thunder,hornets warriors and rockets-kings yesterday all lines were way to high and its gonna continue

what's so called mistake?

oddsmaker's goal is to set total line to attract equal people on both side of over and under, so this way book can win juice without losing money.

rookie think he's smart behind....

lol
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#4
Posted: 4/5/2013 12:44:22 AM
lol guys i've been on a 20-0 winning streak and more earlier here.many times giving picks against the public and winning them all.im sure there r some guys here who recognize me
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#5
Posted: 4/5/2013 12:55:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Melo7:


what's so called mistake?

oddsmaker's goal is to set total line to attract equal people on both side of over and under, so this way book can win juice without losing money.

rookie think he's smart behind....

lol

bookies make lines based on how certain teams played last couple f games. its ok but u need to check some other things before

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#6
Posted: 4/5/2013 1:07:54 AM
So where's the lesson?  Teach...
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Hockeyjock
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#7
Posted: 4/5/2013 1:20:40 AM

over 207

prediction 118;95 nuggets win

 What happened to your so called 20-0 streak?

Do you need to use this forum to give your ego a boost?  You must because that would be the only explanation for this crap. If you actually have some legit info to share with people, then please do it and save the arrogance. 

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#8
Posted: 4/5/2013 1:48:02 AM
The Kings/Rockets shoulda easily went over needed 48 4th qtr pts and had nothing less than 53 or so going into 4th jn a close game and they scored 1 pt in final 1:45 and came 3 pts short...you're a clown
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theguru1
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#9
Posted: 4/5/2013 1:59:19 AM
always a no it all in the forum. everyone hates a know it all.
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#10
Posted: 4/5/2013 2:00:49 AM
if you had some ":secret" to cracking the books, or even if such a thing existed, then the books would be out of business, you are probably lying to begin with , but if not then are just on a hot streak like everyone gets on once in a while. you will probably lose 10 in a row now after posting this. lol
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#11
Posted: 4/5/2013 2:16:20 AM

ok the lets begin the journey.its ur lucky day!! u'll finally learn how to get rich on betting nba lines

to understand know-how lets analize spurs at thunder game

spurs-thunder    over/under 201

now 1st thing we need to check out is

Head to Head between these 2 all games have been played in the season

11/01/12 thunder at spurs  86;84 spurs win          170 

12/17/12 spurs at thunder 107;93 thunder win     200

03/11/13 thunder at sputs 105;93 spurs win         198

last game between teams is always a bit more important than others dont forget

ok then as u can see none of previous games hits over 200

2nd thing we need to check is current form of both..to check it out lets look at last 3 games of each.remember always 3 games not more

San Antonio Spurs

04/03/13 magic at spurs 98-84 spurs win

04/01/13 spurs at frizzlies 92-90 grizzlies win

03/31/13 heat at spurs 88;86 heat win

Analize

offense -only 98 points scored against defenseless magic team at home,90 against grizzlies away and 86 against heat at home.2 losses in last 3 games.opinion -team struggles as of late

defense-allowed 84 against magic.92 in memphis and 86 against heat.opinion-very good

Oklahoma City Thunder

03/30/13 thunder at bucks 109-99 thunder win

03/29/13 thunder at wolves 101;93 wolves win

03/27/13 wizards at thunder 103;80 thunder win

Analize

offence 109 at bucks not impressive cuz everyone's scoring over 100 against bucks.93 against wolves away and 103 against wizards home.opinion- avarege

defense-hold bucks under 100 away.allowed 101 in minnesota and hold wizards under 80 home.opinion very good

spurs season avarege against thunder 93,5

thunder season avarege against spurs 95,5

spurs last 3 games avarege 91

thunder last 3 games avarege 101,5

projection 102;92 thunder win

as u can see i have no bloody idea why the line was high at 201 and why was the public all on over

 

ok guys will be back later with picks and analysis on all tonights games if someone have time and want to have fun with me please do a research and write off things as it is above on couple of forthcoming games u would want to bet on later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

quote SusPect3 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | SusPect3
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#12
Posted: 4/5/2013 4:54:34 AM
Ehhhhh... quote Reefdragon send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | Reefdragon
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#13
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:53:12 AM
quote DanTos8715 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | DanTos8715
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#14
Posted: 4/5/2013 8:00:44 AM
hindsight is always 20/20

break these down before the games.  numbers dont always add up, they just happened to in this one case.
quote bogaty send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | bogaty
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#15
Posted: 4/5/2013 4:51:27 PM

Cleveland at Boston  over/under 201,5 bos -6,5

Head 2 Head

20/12/12 cavs at celtics 103;91 celtics win   194

23/01/13 celtics at cavs 95;90 cavs win        185

28/03/13 celtics at cavs 93;92 celtics win     185

Current form-last 3 games of each

Cleveland Cavs

04/04/13 nets at cavs 113;95 nets win

02/04/13 cavs at hawks 102;94 hawks win

01/04/13 cavs at hornets 112;92 hornets win

Analize

offense-  just under 95 points against nets and hawks-good defensive teams w/o irving and 92 in new orleans w/o irving.opinion-good

defense- 113 llowed against nets home,102 in atlanta and 112 against hornets away.opinion-tragic

Boston Celtics

04/05/13 pistons at celtics 98;93 celtics win

02/04/13 celtics at wolves 110;100 wolves win

01/04/13 celtics at knicks 108 ;89 knicks win

Analize

offense 98 against pistons,100 away at wolves and 89 against knicks without 2 topscorers pierrce and garnett.opinion-very good

defense-93 allowed against pistons,110 in minnesota and 108 in new york.2 losses in 3 games.opinion-team struggles

cavs season avarege against celtics 92,5

celtics season avarege against cavs 95

cavs last 3 games avarege 93,5

celtics last 3 games avarege 95,5

PROJECTED SCORE 106;97 celtics win

PICK over 201,5

 

 

 

 

quote MACKY send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | MACKY
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#16
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:19:13 PM

I like you hard work but to tell me you win everything it's not easy

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#17
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:20:21 PM
On the over of Celtics game you could be right.
But please dont describe yourself as a wizard of betting,it s ridicolous.
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#18
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:24:41 PM
Hey bogaty quote swanman87 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | swanman87
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#19
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:31:14 PM
Followed threads months ago from this guy some days good others awful projection are ludicrous. Checked threads everyday then quit following and he disappeared for long while, now back quote bogaty send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | bogaty
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#20
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:44:10 PM

Milwaukee at New york  over/under 201,5 knicks -7

Head to Head

29/11/12 knicks at bucks 102;88 knicks win  190

02/03/13 bucks at knicks 96;86 knicks win     182

Current form-last 3 games of each

Milwaukee Bucks

04/04/13 wolves at bucks 107;98 wolves win

02/04/13 bobcats at bucks 131;102 bucks win

31/03/13 thunder at bucks 109;99 thunder win

Analize

offense-around 100 against tough west teams and 131 against bobcats.opinion-very good

defense- avarege 106 allowed in last 3 games.opinion not there

New York Knicks

04/04/13 knicks at hawks 95;82 knicks win

03/04/13 knicks at heat 102;90 knicks win

01/04/13 celtics at knicks 108;89 knicks win

Analize

offense-last 3 games against top opponents and around 100 avarege which is very good

defense-only 82 allowed against hawks away.90 against heat and 89 against celtics.opinion superb

bucks season avarege against knicks 87

knicks season avarege against bucks 99

bucks last 3 games avarege 109

knicks last 3 games avarege 101,5

PROJECTED SCORE 102;99 knicks win

PICK Bucks +7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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#21
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:56:13 PM
There are days where teams make every shot and days teams miss every shot.  Your logic is flawed
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#22
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:08:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bogaty:

bookies make lines based on how certain teams played last couple f games. its ok but u need to check some other things before

Youre right you will see a teams total go up a little if theyve been scoring alot in previous games, but its moved up because of perception, books are anticipating the public is gonna bet over because they see that team has been scoring alot in previous games, still the goal is to balance betting and not have one side overloaded, you may think youre onto something but I can assure you youre not. quote duranizm
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#23
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:13:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bogaty:

lol guys i've been on a 20-0 winning streak and more earlier here.many times giving picks against the public and winning them all.im sure there r some guys here who recognize me


yeap, i DO remember reading yuors with short reasoning. i think you are quite good
quote bogaty send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | bogaty
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#24
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:59:43 PM

Oklahoma city at Indiana  over/under 192,5 ind -3

Head 2 Head

10/12/12 pacers at thunder  104;93 thunder win

Current form-last 3 games of each

Oklahoma City

02/04/13 spurs at thunder 100;88 thunder win

31/03/13 thunder at bucks 109;99 thunder win

30/03/13 thunder at wolves 101;93 wolves win

Analize

offense- very good

defense-very good

Indiana Pacers

02/04/13 pacers at clippers 109;106 pacers win

31/03/13 pacers at suns 112;104 pacers win

29/03/13 pacers at mavs 103;78 pacers win

Analize

offense-and we have a trap here as u can see they've been scoring huge amount in each of last 3 games but all these teams they played against r not good at defense as of late.opinion-very good

defense-allowed only 78 against mavs away,104 and 106 against suns/clippers-superb

PROJECTED SCORE 97;93 pacers win

PICK under 192,5

this line is a masterpiece,really good job i was hoping its gonna be much higher after pacers been scoring huge amounts last couple of games.1st game was also higher than 192.i sniff overtime here which will spoil the under.this is gonna be really close so get ready for some sweating

 

 

 

 

 

 

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#25
Posted: 4/5/2013 7:31:06 PM
20/12/12 cavs at celtics  
 23/01/13 celtics at cavs  
 28/03/13 celtics at cavs
no play?????
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