Posted:
#1
I spent the past hour or so trying to find angles for both sides, but the Dubs side really outweighs all the intangibles with the LA side.
First off - Dubs have not won this in 6 tries, while it could be reason to lay down on LA - looking deeper into it they Dubs have seemed to have slowly figured things out and have all the tools to beat LA this time around. While Curry may be a little banged up coming into this game, I see the backcourt of GSW really dictating the flow of this game.
For whatever reason LAL is 0-3 on mondays while GSW is 7-2. I usually do not put much consideration into how teams play on the days of the week, but something like this becomes noticeable over time. LA is playing on statistically their worst day while GSW is playing statistically on their best day. Just something to take into consideration.
What really pushes this play into the bet category for me is the way Mark Jackson has seemed to have been gameplanning for this one for awhile after the OT loss at home last time. This just feeds more into the motivation to beat LA. Overall, when this is factored in, you can definitely consider the Dubs to come out with strong defensive intensity and trying to keep LA in the half-court.
Throw in some solid refs who don't give out superstar treatment and toss whiners - then I'd say GSW turns into a SOLID 5 unit play.
Final:
GSW 5 to win 5 ML
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