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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Somebody stop me from ...
MasterMG send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:37:27 PM
Going all in on the Heat ML -500

No KLove, Kirilenko, Pekovic, the injury list goes on and on for the Twolves. We all know they are not good, and that's being polite.

How does Miami lose? I know the #1 rule is not to do this BUT I'm literally 99% sure all my hard work, time, and winnings this season is about to be on the line. Also 99% sure this is a winner...

Who's against this play and who's with me lol 

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#2
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:40:19 PM
Go for it bro! 
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#3
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:42:58 PM
watch out -  Lebron has a minor knee issue and is "probable"- it might be a game time decision to play or not
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#4
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:44:46 PM
IMHO you should never go all in on any game as stuff happens....
BOL with pick
Posted using a mobile device.
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MasterMG send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:44:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thesheepdog:

watch out -  Lebron has a minor knee issue and is "probable"- it might be a game time decision to play or not

Hearing his knee responded good to the flight and is playing. 
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MasterMG send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:48:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by plevin15:

IMHO you should never go all in on any game as stuff happens....
BOL with pick

So TRUE... But we are talking about the best basketball team in the world (14 in a row and defending champs) against a very bad team.. a injury riddled very bad team at that. 


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#7
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:52:36 PM
hmmm, as funny as it sounds, I'd rather they were playing a good team tonight and I'd be getting a much better price. They play their A-game against top teams and seem to play down to lowly teams sometimes. Look at Sacramento, and Cleveland both giving them scares last week in Miami. You know the streak will end at the hands of a lowly team, I can almost guarantee that. But who am I kidding, I still think you'd probably win. Now that it's at 14, the likelihood of them just not showing up isn't very high, Im sure besting the clippers streak from earlier is on their mind
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#8
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:55:39 PM
Just don't know if the intensity will be there to cover the spread, even without Lebron they should win, but would rather put them in a teaser.
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#9
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:57:16 PM

The Heat play 18 games in March, the most of their season. Certain players' minutes may get cut down against so-called "weaker" opponents. Spo may decide to limit LBJ's minutes if there is any hint of injury/sprain after his exam today. We just don't know what his status is.

Potentially with a limited minutes LBJ, on a road B2B, I would give serious pause before wagering. Every team will be gunning to break this streak now.

But, my sincere good luck if you play the ML.

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#10
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:57:41 PM
Just lay the points....they are going to demolish them tonight.
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MasterMG send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#11
Posted: 3/4/2013 1:57:43 PM
Have a feeling they are gunning for the '71 Lakers 33 gamer lol 
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#12
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:00:18 PM
Under 197 is the play. Heat wont play hard or run & gun. Minny should show some intensity, but still cant score well.....



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#13
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:01:05 PM
Have a feeling they are gunning for the '71 Lakers 33 gamer lol 
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#14
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:01:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MasterMG:

Have a feeling they are gunning for the '71 Lakers 33 gamer lol 

They'll be going hard tonight.  They all want to break their team record for most wins.  
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#15
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:02:24 PM
why did that post twice.. my bad
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#16
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:09:11 PM
I don't think I'd ever lay -500 on any NBA moneyline. You think the Heat are really going to take this thing seriously? They could blow the door off of MIN but MIN still is full of professionals and if they shoot well from the outside and MIA doesn't, anything could happen. Ask yourself MIA's motivation for this out of conference game. If they lose, does it really matter? It ends their "streak" but this team knows that such streaks don't mean anything.

My $0.02 at least.
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#17
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:09:54 PM
Also, I think you are dead wrong about your "99% chance this is a winner". The -500 moneyline tells you that it is much closer to 80% chance they win SU.
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#18
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:19:27 PM
Heat beat Minny by 11 early this season.. KLove, Kirilenko, and Pecovic accounted for around 60% of the Wolves points and rebounds that game. Who can fill this void? and they still lost by double digits





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#19
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:21:28 PM
The paper won't read Timberwolves end the streak.. No way the that's how this NBA story goes.
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#20
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:22:04 PM
* No way that's how this NBA story goes.
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#21
Posted: 3/4/2013 2:38:12 PM
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#22
Posted: 3/4/2013 5:54:14 PM
Good Luck
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#23
Posted: 3/4/2013 6:04:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MasterMG:

The paper won't read Timberwolves end the streak.. No way the that's how this NBA story goes.


Then go ahead and lay the -500, but don't say no one warned you
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#24
Posted: 3/4/2013 7:27:46 PM
Layed -475 . Got it pretty good 


2375 / 500

Under 300 left in account... pretty darn close to all in 

Thanks for the feedback all 


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#25
Posted: 3/4/2013 7:32:01 PM
That's a lot of juice... BOL TO U
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