Since it's the blizzardo of 20-12 here and I'm gonna be hunkered in the bunker watching the tube tonight. And since all the NBA games are televised I think I'll make a play or two this evening,starting with a ML parlay.
The WIZ did play the HAWX tight earlier in the year and took them to o.t but I don't think a quality ATL team overlooks them tonight after that scare. And sure they beat the HEAT but this could be a let down spot,I mean if they weren't already a shitty team and have a goose egg in the win column to go with 7 loses on the road
Next I like the BUCKS at home to a CAVS team that is missing a few players tonight. And despite what I read about them being solid ATS on the road they still only have 2 wins to go with DD loses on the road so I'll take MIL to get the W. Also teasing up the total and taking the U,probably parlayed with OKC at -2 or 3,whatever I can get the parlay to even money with.
The GRIZ are recommended by Unkie Bods and although I was/am a lil surprised at how well they are doing from what I've seen first hand it doesn't appear to be a fluke,they're a pretty solid team,even on the road
OKC is one team I may play S.U tonight as well. They are rolling right now (9-1 L10 w/ an average margin of victory of 17+ points per) and have a ton of weapons and arguably the best scorer in the league. They also are beasts at home and face a LAKERS team that is just about always overrated. 7 points seems reasonable to me especially with LAL only sporting a pair of road wins this season and under 500 overall
The 5th play will be the UATH JAZZercisers who get the T.O pile of CRAPtors tonight who suck everywhere but are making an art form of blowing on the road.......thats it RAPS suck on the road UTAH is MUCH better at home....fin
I was also leaning towards the SPURS S.U since they are clutch at home but HOU is pretty hot and have a few x-factors in Harden and Lin that can go off on a given night or suck so I think I may just leave that on out for now at least and just use the ML in the parlay.
NBA:
(1)Double Result OKC/OKC -150 to win 1 unit
(2)OKC -2.5 -250 to LAL/OKC O 202.5 -220 = +105 risking a half unit
(3)MEM ML -375 to OKC -2.5 -250 to CLE/MIN U 197.5 -230 = +155 risking a half unit
(4)ATL ML -500 to MIN ML -500 to MEM ML -375 to UTAH ML -310 to SAS ML -425 to OKC ML -370 =+280 risking a half unit
I almost bet the RAPS at the half to win the game (@ +825 as a hedge) and now it's deja vu all over again with OKC up 14 at the half the Lakeshow are exactly +825 to win the game as well. This OKC ML is much more important than the JAZZ as this will polish off a bunch of plays.
Weird to say but hopefully this costs me the sweep tonight.
NBA:
(1)LAL to win the game (LIVE at the half down 67-53) +825 risking 0.1 units
NBA:
(1)Double result BROK/BROK -150 to Double result OKC/OKC -350 = +115 risking 1 unit
(2)BROK ML -320 to S.A ML -170 to Double result OKC/OKC -350 = +170 risking a half unit
(3)BROK ML -320 to S.A ML -170 to LAC ML -425 to MEM ML -275 to ATL ML -200 to OKC -7 -330 to G.S +15.5 -320 to MIN ML -170 to HOU ML -800 to CLE +15.5 -330 = +2000 risking 0.05 units
Big-Baby-Davis was playing well for ORL who is getting wins but with him out I think they may regress a bit. And I can't believe I'm saying this but I kinda like the RAPS at home who are playing well with some confidence. I also like that Calderon is starting which he's far better at than subbing in off the bench. And Big-box-Bargnani is on the shelf which seems to be addition by subtraction for T.O
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Another play I'm liking is ATL laying a deuce in PHI who will be without their top scorer which is trouble for a team that doesn't light up the scoreboard and if Turner doesn't suit up it's even better. ATL has also shown they can win on the road with a solid 7-3 record away from home.
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I was thinking KNICKS when I saw the line and thought this would be a good revenge spot but after seeing their injury list this is a no play for me.
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INDY is a 4 point road fave but since it's against a bad CAVS team it may be worth a poke. INDY just tuned CLE a few weeks ago and although this "could" be a revenge spot it also has the potential to be another beatdown as CLE has lost 5 in a row and just once in their L11 game.
CLE has trouble scoring at the best of times and now host a PACERS team thats 3rd in the league overall in points allowed and in winning 4 of 5 INDY's held each opponent to under 85 points respectively in those 4 wins. And if that wasn't bad enough CLE may have to play this game without a crucial player in Anderson Varejao whos logging 36 minutes per game,a league leading 14.4 boards and just about as many points. Sure Zeller came out with a big game to fill in but before I have a rookie scare me off a potential play I'd like to see him do it more than once.
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I like betting the GRIZ at home,especially when they host a crappy road team but -11 seems to be right where it should be. The haven't really truly blown anyone out in awhile and I don't have the exact number but just from looking over the games they have won they usually seem to win buy 9-12 points,at least recently. Thats a decent margin but not when the line is bang on with that. I think MEM has enough to get the win but 11 is a lil close for me so if (and it's a big if) I use this one it'll probably be in a teaser where I can get it down to 4 or so.
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This N.O/S.A game is kinda like the MEM game in that I like betting this team at home and even more so against crap road teams but this line is higher than me at 4:20 and even if I were to tease it the line would only get down to 7 which is still an important and tricky number to cover in b-ball. May have to leave this one alone.
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Deja vu all over again. This game is somewhat like the last two as well. We have a top team who dominates at home vs (lets be honest) a shitty team who extra sucks on the road where they only have the single W in 11 games. This one I do like though. Maybe not at -13.5/-14 but this one I will definitely drop to -6.5 or -7 like I did with them the other night vs N.O. The CLIPS keep winning and they keep winning big. The other two games above I was unsure about but I like the CLIPS to lay a bit of a backhander on the QUEENS tonight. Maybe not the 35 point whoop'in they gave them early this month but it still could get ugly.
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GS has been playing great ball this year and I agree with BODs Mark Jackson has gotta be C.O.Year at this point in the season. He has the team playing proper basket ball,not and-1 style circus ball just trying to outscore the other team every night. They just had a 7 game roadie where they won the first 5 and rebounded from a loss in the 6th to win the final game of the trip. Then they returned home after two weeks away and grind out a 7 point win over N.O only to go on the road and get sucked into their old ways and a shootout loss to a bad SAC team.
I think with how well Jackson has prepared his team for nearly all of
the games this year they will be looking to get back on track and he'll
have them ready and focused tonight,at home to beat up on another
brutal team in the B-CATS. 10 is a high number but I like the spot for
G.S here to take out some frustrations of the SAC loss on CHAR so I may
just add this one to the card. Or I may also go with a Double Result
LAC/LAC at -350 and parlay that to Double result GS/GS -220 for a
combined price of -115.
Posted 1 hour ago # Quote
NBA:
(1)TO -3.5 -110 to win a half unit
(2)ATL -2 -110 to win a half unit
(3)IND -4 -110 to win a half unit
(4)TO +3.5 -310 to ATL +5 -330 to INDY +3 -320 to GS -3.5 -330 to LAC -6.5 -310 = +290 risking 0.25 units
(5)Double Result LAC/LAC -325 to Double Result GS/GS -225 = -115 to win 1 unit
(1)UCF ML -300 to UCF/BALLST O 53.5 -270 = -120 to win 1 unit
TONY PARKER with the buzzer beater of the earlier year. And if the GRIZ lose by 9 in o.t I will never bet NBA AGAIN EVER !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
NBA:
(1)Double result OKC/OKC -135 to win a half unit
(2)OKC -2 -205 to win 1 unit
(3)GS SH -4 -110 (before the game starts) to win 0.25 units
NBA:
(1)Double result SA/SA -250 to Double result DEN/DEN -225 = +100 risking 1 unit
(2)Double result SA/SA -250 to Double result DEN/DEN -225 to MEM -2.5 -340 to DAL +13 -340 = +240 risking a half unit
(3)Double result TIE/SA +2000 risking 0.05 units
(4)Double result TIE/DEN +2000 risking 0.05 units
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